Eredivisie·Etapa 20·
Eredivisie·Etapa 20·Statistici estimate
Goluri
57%
21%
21%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,051,183,24sigur1,09–3,020,33–2,041,42–5,06mai sigur0,83–3,270,10–2,270,94–5,54
Șuturi pe poartă
71%
19%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,873,699,56sigur4,00–7,731,95–5,435,95–13,16mai sigur3,51–8,221,48–5,905,00–14,12
Total șuturi
80%
15%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție16,0311,2127,24sigur12,10–19,957,65–14,7819,75–34,73mai sigur11,01–21,046,69–15,7317,70–36,78
Șuturi din careu
79%
15%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,577,5819,15sigur8,63–14,514,90–10,2613,53–24,77mai sigur7,80–15,344,16–11,0011,96–26,34
Șuturi blocate
60%
13%
27%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,493,287,77sigur2,61–6,381,63–4,934,24–11,31mai sigur2,07–6,921,14–5,433,20–12,34
Cornere
73%
18%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,453,9910,44sigur4,24–8,671,99–5,996,23–14,66mai sigur3,67–9,241,46–6,525,12–15,76
Posesie %
74%
22%
gazdeoaspețipredicție55,9944,01sigur49,20–62,7837,23–50,80mai sigur47,53–64,4535,56–52,47
Pase
81%
18%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție508401909sigur441–575334–467775–1042mai sigur423–593317–485739–1078
Precizie pase %
53%
42%
gazdeoaspețipredicție72,1271,07sigur68,09–76,1566,75–75,39mai sigur66,79–77,4465,44–76,70
Faulturi
47%
45%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,5712,5025,07sigur9,73–15,409,55–15,4419,28–30,85mai sigur8,97–16,168,81–16,1917,78–32,35
Ofsaiduri
42%
24%
33%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,571,362,93sigur0,41–2,730,27–2,450,67–5,18mai sigur0,10–3,030,00–2,740,08–5,77
Cartonașe galbene
32%
23%
45%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,471,763,23sigur0,42–2,520,63–2,891,06–5,41mai sigur0,16–2,790,34–3,180,50–5,97
Cartonașe roșii
87%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,060,080,15sigur0,00–0,220,00–0,270,00–0,49mai sigur0,00–0,370,00–0,400,00–0,78
Parade portar
25%
14%
61%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,623,826,44sigur1,19–4,062,26–5,383,45–9,43mai sigur0,80–4,451,84–5,802,64–10,25
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 2,05 1,09–3,02 0,83–3,27 | 1,18 0,33–2,04 0,10–2,27 | 3,24 1,42–5,06 0,94–5,54 | 57% 21% 21% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 5,87 4,00–7,73 3,51–8,22 | 3,69 1,95–5,43 1,48–5,90 | 9,56 5,95–13,16 5,00–14,12 | 71% 19% |
| Total șuturi | 16,03 12,10–19,95 11,01–21,04 | 11,21 7,65–14,78 6,69–15,73 | 27,24 19,75–34,73 17,70–36,78 | 80% 15% |
| Șuturi din careu | 11,57 8,63–14,51 7,80–15,34 | 7,58 4,90–10,26 4,16–11,00 | 19,15 13,53–24,77 11,96–26,34 | 79% 15% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,49 2,61–6,38 2,07–6,92 | 3,28 1,63–4,93 1,14–5,43 | 7,77 4,24–11,31 3,20–12,34 | 60% 13% 27% |
| Cornere | 6,45 4,24–8,67 3,67–9,24 | 3,99 1,99–5,99 1,46–6,52 | 10,44 6,23–14,66 5,12–15,76 | 73% 18% |
| Posesie % | 55,99 49,20–62,78 47,53–64,45 | 44,01 37,23–50,80 35,56–52,47 | — | 74% 22% |
| Pase | 508 441–575 423–593 | 401 334–467 317–485 | 909 775–1042 739–1078 | 81% 18% |
| Precizie pase % | 72,12 68,09–76,15 66,79–77,44 | 71,07 66,75–75,39 65,44–76,70 | — | 53% 42% |
| Faulturi | 12,57 9,73–15,40 8,97–16,16 | 12,50 9,55–15,44 8,81–16,19 | 25,07 19,28–30,85 17,78–32,35 | 47% 45% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,57 0,41–2,73 0,10–3,03 | 1,36 0,27–2,45 0,00–2,74 | 2,93 0,67–5,18 0,08–5,77 | 42% 24% 33% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,47 0,42–2,52 0,16–2,79 | 1,76 0,63–2,89 0,34–3,18 | 3,23 1,06–5,41 0,50–5,97 | 32% 23% 45% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,06 0,00–0,22 0,00–0,37 | 0,08 0,00–0,27 0,00–0,40 | 0,15 0,00–0,49 0,00–0,78 | 87% |
| Parade portar | 2,62 1,19–4,06 0,80–4,45 | 3,82 2,26–5,38 1,84–5,80 | 6,44 3,45–9,43 2,64–10,25 | 25% 14% 61% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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