Eredivisie·Etapa 12·
Eredivisie·Etapa 12·Statistici estimate
Goluri
30%
23%
46%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,381,753,12sigur0,41–2,340,89–2,601,30–4,95mai sigur0,16–2,600,67–2,830,82–5,43
Șuturi pe poartă
34%
53%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,345,069,40sigur2,48–6,203,32–6,805,80–13,01mai sigur1,99–6,692,85–7,274,84–13,96
Total șuturi
53%
39%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție14,7913,8428,63sigur10,87–18,7210,28–17,4021,15–36,12mai sigur9,78–19,819,32–18,3619,10–38,17
Șuturi din careu
38%
53%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție8,709,5218,23sigur5,76–11,656,84–12,2012,60–23,85mai sigur4,93–12,486,11–12,9411,04–25,42
Șuturi blocate
50%
14%
36%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,243,717,95sigur2,36–6,122,05–5,364,41–11,48mai sigur1,82–6,671,56–5,853,38–12,52
Cornere
44%
44%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,355,3310,69sigur3,14–7,573,33–7,336,47–14,90mai sigur2,57–8,142,80–7,875,37–16,01
Posesie %
47%
48%
gazdeoaspețipredicție49,5849,92sigur42,79–56,3743,13–56,70mai sigur41,12–58,0441,46–58,37
Pase
50%
50%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție452452904sigur385–519385–518770–1037mai sigur367–537368–536734–1073
Precizie pase %
40%
55%
gazdeoaspețipredicție68,9170,35sigur64,88–72,9466,03–74,68mai sigur63,59–74,2464,72–75,99
Faulturi
43%
48%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție9,8510,1119,96sigur7,01–12,697,17–13,0614,18–25,75mai sigur6,26–13,446,42–13,8112,68–27,25
Ofsaiduri
32%
24%
44%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,371,643,00sigur0,21–2,530,54–2,730,75–5,26mai sigur0,00–2,830,26–3,020,16–5,85
Cartonașe galbene
32%
25%
44%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,291,562,85sigur0,24–2,340,43–2,690,67–5,03mai sigur0,00–2,610,14–2,980,11–5,59
Cartonașe roșii
89%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,050,070,12sigur0,00–0,210,00–0,260,00–0,47mai sigur0,00–0,360,00–0,390,00–0,75
Parade portar
48%
16%
36%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,423,036,45sigur1,98–4,861,47–4,593,46–9,44mai sigur1,60–5,241,05–5,012,65–10,26
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,38 0,41–2,34 0,16–2,60 | 1,75 0,89–2,60 0,67–2,83 | 3,12 1,30–4,95 0,82–5,43 | 30% 23% 46% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,34 2,48–6,20 1,99–6,69 | 5,06 3,32–6,80 2,85–7,27 | 9,40 5,80–13,01 4,84–13,96 | 34% 53% |
| Total șuturi | 14,79 10,87–18,72 9,78–19,81 | 13,84 10,28–17,40 9,32–18,36 | 28,63 21,15–36,12 19,10–38,17 | 53% 39% |
| Șuturi din careu | 8,70 5,76–11,65 4,93–12,48 | 9,52 6,84–12,20 6,11–12,94 | 18,23 12,60–23,85 11,04–25,42 | 38% 53% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,24 2,36–6,12 1,82–6,67 | 3,71 2,05–5,36 1,56–5,85 | 7,95 4,41–11,48 3,38–12,52 | 50% 14% 36% |
| Cornere | 5,35 3,14–7,57 2,57–8,14 | 5,33 3,33–7,33 2,80–7,87 | 10,69 6,47–14,90 5,37–16,01 | 44% 44% |
| Posesie % | 49,58 42,79–56,37 41,12–58,04 | 49,92 43,13–56,70 41,46–58,37 | — | 47% 48% |
| Pase | 452 385–519 367–537 | 452 385–518 368–536 | 904 770–1037 734–1073 | 50% 50% |
| Precizie pase % | 68,91 64,88–72,94 63,59–74,24 | 70,35 66,03–74,68 64,72–75,99 | — | 40% 55% |
| Faulturi | 9,85 7,01–12,69 6,26–13,44 | 10,11 7,17–13,06 6,42–13,81 | 19,96 14,18–25,75 12,68–27,25 | 43% 48% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,37 0,21–2,53 0,00–2,83 | 1,64 0,54–2,73 0,26–3,02 | 3,00 0,75–5,26 0,16–5,85 | 32% 24% 44% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,29 0,24–2,34 0,00–2,61 | 1,56 0,43–2,69 0,14–2,98 | 2,85 0,67–5,03 0,11–5,59 | 32% 25% 44% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,05 0,00–0,21 0,00–0,36 | 0,07 0,00–0,26 0,00–0,39 | 0,12 0,00–0,47 0,00–0,75 | 89% |
| Parade portar | 3,42 1,98–4,86 1,60–5,24 | 3,03 1,47–4,59 1,05–5,01 | 6,45 3,46–9,44 2,65–10,26 | 48% 16% 36% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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