Eredivisie·Etapa 25·
Eredivisie·Etapa 25·Statistici estimate
Goluri
55%
22%
22%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,901,133,03sigur0,93–2,870,28–1,991,21–4,85mai sigur0,68–3,120,05–2,220,73–5,33
Șuturi pe poartă
62%
26%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,454,019,46sigur3,58–7,312,27–5,755,85–13,06mai sigur3,09–7,801,80–6,224,90–14,02
Total șuturi
75%
19%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție15,9511,8727,83sigur12,03–19,888,31–15,4420,34–35,31mai sigur10,94–20,977,35–16,4018,29–37,36
Șuturi din careu
75%
18%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,327,9019,21sigur8,37–14,265,21–10,5813,59–24,84mai sigur7,55–15,094,48–11,3112,02–26,40
Șuturi blocate
53%
14%
33%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,593,848,43sigur2,71–6,472,19–5,504,90–11,97mai sigur2,16–7,021,70–5,993,86–13,00
Cornere
65%
24%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,324,5010,82sigur4,11–8,532,50–6,506,61–15,04mai sigur3,53–9,111,97–7,045,50–16,14
Posesie %
70%
26%
gazdeoaspețipredicție54,9244,88sigur48,13–61,7138,10–51,67mai sigur46,46–63,3836,42–53,34
Pase
77%
23%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție506418924sigur439–573352–485790–1058mai sigur420–591334–502755–1094
Precizie pase %
43%
52%
gazdeoaspețipredicție69,6170,40sigur65,58–73,6466,08–74,72mai sigur64,29–74,9364,77–76,03
Faulturi
28%
64%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție9,3011,4020,70sigur6,46–12,148,46–14,3514,92–26,48mai sigur5,71–12,897,71–15,0913,41–27,99
Ofsaiduri
50%
24%
27%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,741,212,95sigur0,58–2,900,12–2,310,69–5,20mai sigur0,27–3,200,00–2,590,11–5,79
Cartonașe galbene
25%
26%
50%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,001,532,53sigur0,00–2,050,41–2,660,36–4,71mai sigur0,00–2,320,11–2,950,00–5,27
Cartonașe roșii
89%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,050,070,12sigur0,00–0,210,00–0,260,00–0,47mai sigur0,00–0,360,00–0,390,00–0,75
Parade portar
24%
14%
62%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,723,996,71sigur1,28–4,162,44–5,553,72–9,71mai sigur0,90–4,542,01–5,972,91–10,52
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,90 0,93–2,87 0,68–3,12 | 1,13 0,28–1,99 0,05–2,22 | 3,03 1,21–4,85 0,73–5,33 | 55% 22% 22% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 5,45 3,58–7,31 3,09–7,80 | 4,01 2,27–5,75 1,80–6,22 | 9,46 5,85–13,06 4,90–14,02 | 62% 26% |
| Total șuturi | 15,95 12,03–19,88 10,94–20,97 | 11,87 8,31–15,44 7,35–16,40 | 27,83 20,34–35,31 18,29–37,36 | 75% 19% |
| Șuturi din careu | 11,32 8,37–14,26 7,55–15,09 | 7,90 5,21–10,58 4,48–11,31 | 19,21 13,59–24,84 12,02–26,40 | 75% 18% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,59 2,71–6,47 2,16–7,02 | 3,84 2,19–5,50 1,70–5,99 | 8,43 4,90–11,97 3,86–13,00 | 53% 14% 33% |
| Cornere | 6,32 4,11–8,53 3,53–9,11 | 4,50 2,50–6,50 1,97–7,04 | 10,82 6,61–15,04 5,50–16,14 | 65% 24% |
| Posesie % | 54,92 48,13–61,71 46,46–63,38 | 44,88 38,10–51,67 36,42–53,34 | — | 70% 26% |
| Pase | 506 439–573 420–591 | 418 352–485 334–502 | 924 790–1058 755–1094 | 77% 23% |
| Precizie pase % | 69,61 65,58–73,64 64,29–74,93 | 70,40 66,08–74,72 64,77–76,03 | — | 43% 52% |
| Faulturi | 9,30 6,46–12,14 5,71–12,89 | 11,40 8,46–14,35 7,71–15,09 | 20,70 14,92–26,48 13,41–27,99 | 28% 64% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,74 0,58–2,90 0,27–3,20 | 1,21 0,12–2,31 0,00–2,59 | 2,95 0,69–5,20 0,11–5,79 | 50% 24% 27% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,00 0,00–2,05 0,00–2,32 | 1,53 0,41–2,66 0,11–2,95 | 2,53 0,36–4,71 0,00–5,27 | 25% 26% 50% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,05 0,00–0,21 0,00–0,36 | 0,07 0,00–0,26 0,00–0,39 | 0,12 0,00–0,47 0,00–0,75 | 89% |
| Parade portar | 2,72 1,28–4,16 0,90–4,54 | 3,99 2,44–5,55 2,01–5,97 | 6,71 3,72–9,71 2,91–10,52 | 24% 14% 62% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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