Eredivisie·Etapa 12·
Eredivisie·Etapa 12·Statistici estimate
Goluri
30%
24%
46%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,301,662,96sigur0,33–2,270,80–2,511,14–4,78mai sigur0,08–2,520,58–2,740,66–5,26
Șuturi pe poartă
39%
48%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,885,2610,14sigur3,02–6,743,52–7,006,54–13,75mai sigur2,53–7,233,05–7,475,58–14,70
Total șuturi
49%
44%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție15,4515,1330,58sigur11,53–19,3811,57–18,6923,10–38,07mai sigur10,44–20,4710,61–19,6521,05–40,12
Șuturi din careu
38%
53%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție9,3810,2119,59sigur6,44–12,327,53–12,8913,97–25,22mai sigur5,61–13,156,79–13,6312,40–26,78
Șuturi blocate
47%
14%
39%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,223,908,12sigur2,34–6,102,25–5,564,58–11,66mai sigur1,79–6,641,76–6,053,55–12,69
Cornere
35%
53%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,055,7710,82sigur2,84–7,263,77–7,776,61–15,04mai sigur2,26–7,843,24–8,315,50–16,14
Posesie %
41%
54%
gazdeoaspețipredicție48,2751,04sigur41,48–55,0644,26–57,83mai sigur39,81–56,7342,59–59,50
Pase
47%
53%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție419427846sigur352–486361–494712–980mai sigur334–504343–511677–1015
Precizie pase %
31%
64%
gazdeoaspețipredicție67,6671,03sigur63,63–71,6966,70–75,35mai sigur62,34–72,9865,39–76,66
Faulturi
66%
26%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,0010,4523,44sigur10,16–15,847,50–13,3917,66–29,23mai sigur9,40–16,596,75–14,1416,16–30,73
Ofsaiduri
42%
23%
35%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,781,613,39sigur0,62–2,940,52–2,701,14–5,64mai sigur0,32–3,240,23–2,990,55–6,23
Cartonașe galbene
42%
23%
35%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,711,553,26sigur0,66–2,760,42–2,681,08–5,44mai sigur0,39–3,030,13–2,970,53–6,00
Cartonașe roșii
85%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,090,080,17sigur0,00–0,250,00–0,270,00–0,51mai sigur0,00–0,400,00–0,400,00–0,80
Parade portar
47%
15%
38%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,793,487,27sigur2,36–5,231,92–5,034,28–10,26mai sigur1,97–5,621,50–5,463,47–11,08
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,30 0,33–2,27 0,08–2,52 | 1,66 0,80–2,51 0,58–2,74 | 2,96 1,14–4,78 0,66–5,26 | 30% 24% 46% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,88 3,02–6,74 2,53–7,23 | 5,26 3,52–7,00 3,05–7,47 | 10,14 6,54–13,75 5,58–14,70 | 39% 48% |
| Total șuturi | 15,45 11,53–19,38 10,44–20,47 | 15,13 11,57–18,69 10,61–19,65 | 30,58 23,10–38,07 21,05–40,12 | 49% 44% |
| Șuturi din careu | 9,38 6,44–12,32 5,61–13,15 | 10,21 7,53–12,89 6,79–13,63 | 19,59 13,97–25,22 12,40–26,78 | 38% 53% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,22 2,34–6,10 1,79–6,64 | 3,90 2,25–5,56 1,76–6,05 | 8,12 4,58–11,66 3,55–12,69 | 47% 14% 39% |
| Cornere | 5,05 2,84–7,26 2,26–7,84 | 5,77 3,77–7,77 3,24–8,31 | 10,82 6,61–15,04 5,50–16,14 | 35% 53% |
| Posesie % | 48,27 41,48–55,06 39,81–56,73 | 51,04 44,26–57,83 42,59–59,50 | — | 41% 54% |
| Pase | 419 352–486 334–504 | 427 361–494 343–511 | 846 712–980 677–1015 | 47% 53% |
| Precizie pase % | 67,66 63,63–71,69 62,34–72,98 | 71,03 66,70–75,35 65,39–76,66 | — | 31% 64% |
| Faulturi | 13,00 10,16–15,84 9,40–16,59 | 10,45 7,50–13,39 6,75–14,14 | 23,44 17,66–29,23 16,16–30,73 | 66% 26% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,78 0,62–2,94 0,32–3,24 | 1,61 0,52–2,70 0,23–2,99 | 3,39 1,14–5,64 0,55–6,23 | 42% 23% 35% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,71 0,66–2,76 0,39–3,03 | 1,55 0,42–2,68 0,13–2,97 | 3,26 1,08–5,44 0,53–6,00 | 42% 23% 35% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,09 0,00–0,25 0,00–0,40 | 0,08 0,00–0,27 0,00–0,40 | 0,17 0,00–0,51 0,00–0,80 | 85% |
| Parade portar | 3,79 2,36–5,23 1,97–5,62 | 3,48 1,92–5,03 1,50–5,46 | 7,27 4,28–10,26 3,47–11,08 | 47% 15% 38% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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