Eredivisie·Etapa 28·
Eredivisie·Etapa 28·Statistici estimate
Goluri
58%
20%
21%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,141,233,37sigur1,17–3,110,38–2,081,55–5,19mai sigur0,92–3,360,15–2,311,07–5,67
Șuturi pe poartă
67%
22%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,424,4410,86sigur4,56–8,292,69–6,187,25–14,46mai sigur4,07–8,782,23–6,646,30–15,42
Total șuturi
75%
19%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție17,2012,9430,14sigur13,27–21,129,38–16,5022,65–37,62mai sigur12,18–22,218,42–17,4620,60–39,68
Șuturi din careu
68%
24%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,188,5519,73sigur8,23–14,125,87–11,2314,10–25,35mai sigur7,40–14,955,13–11,9712,54–26,92
Șuturi blocate
53%
14%
33%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,393,698,08sigur2,51–6,272,04–5,344,55–11,62mai sigur1,96–6,821,55–5,843,51–12,65
Cornere
62%
27%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,144,6610,80sigur3,92–8,352,66–6,666,58–15,01mai sigur3,35–8,932,12–7,195,47–16,12
Posesie %
61%
35%
gazdeoaspețipredicție52,6046,91sigur45,81–59,3940,13–53,70mai sigur44,14–61,0638,45–55,37
Pase
69%
31%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție466407873sigur398–533341–474739–1006mai sigur380–551323–491703–1042
Precizie pase %
44%
51%
gazdeoaspețipredicție70,4571,10sigur66,42–74,4866,77–75,42mai sigur65,13–75,7765,46–76,73
Faulturi
23%
71%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție9,9913,0823,07sigur7,15–12,8210,14–16,0317,28–28,85mai sigur6,39–13,589,39–16,7715,78–30,35
Ofsaiduri
36%
23%
41%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,621,743,36sigur0,46–2,780,64–2,831,10–5,61mai sigur0,16–3,080,35–3,120,51–6,20
Cartonașe galbene
24%
23%
53%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,191,863,05sigur0,14–2,240,73–2,990,88–5,23mai sigur0,00–2,510,44–3,280,32–5,79
Cartonașe roșii
86%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,060,090,15sigur0,00–0,220,00–0,280,00–0,50mai sigur0,00–0,370,00–0,410,00–0,78
Parade portar
26%
13%
60%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,164,387,53sigur1,72–4,592,82–5,934,54–10,52mai sigur1,33–4,982,39–6,363,73–11,34
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 2,14 1,17–3,11 0,92–3,36 | 1,23 0,38–2,08 0,15–2,31 | 3,37 1,55–5,19 1,07–5,67 | 58% 20% 21% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 6,42 4,56–8,29 4,07–8,78 | 4,44 2,69–6,18 2,23–6,64 | 10,86 7,25–14,46 6,30–15,42 | 67% 22% |
| Total șuturi | 17,20 13,27–21,12 12,18–22,21 | 12,94 9,38–16,50 8,42–17,46 | 30,14 22,65–37,62 20,60–39,68 | 75% 19% |
| Șuturi din careu | 11,18 8,23–14,12 7,40–14,95 | 8,55 5,87–11,23 5,13–11,97 | 19,73 14,10–25,35 12,54–26,92 | 68% 24% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,39 2,51–6,27 1,96–6,82 | 3,69 2,04–5,34 1,55–5,84 | 8,08 4,55–11,62 3,51–12,65 | 53% 14% 33% |
| Cornere | 6,14 3,92–8,35 3,35–8,93 | 4,66 2,66–6,66 2,12–7,19 | 10,80 6,58–15,01 5,47–16,12 | 62% 27% |
| Posesie % | 52,60 45,81–59,39 44,14–61,06 | 46,91 40,13–53,70 38,45–55,37 | — | 61% 35% |
| Pase | 466 398–533 380–551 | 407 341–474 323–491 | 873 739–1006 703–1042 | 69% 31% |
| Precizie pase % | 70,45 66,42–74,48 65,13–75,77 | 71,10 66,77–75,42 65,46–76,73 | — | 44% 51% |
| Faulturi | 9,99 7,15–12,82 6,39–13,58 | 13,08 10,14–16,03 9,39–16,77 | 23,07 17,28–28,85 15,78–30,35 | 23% 71% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,62 0,46–2,78 0,16–3,08 | 1,74 0,64–2,83 0,35–3,12 | 3,36 1,10–5,61 0,51–6,20 | 36% 23% 41% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,19 0,14–2,24 0,00–2,51 | 1,86 0,73–2,99 0,44–3,28 | 3,05 0,88–5,23 0,32–5,79 | 24% 23% 53% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,06 0,00–0,22 0,00–0,37 | 0,09 0,00–0,28 0,00–0,41 | 0,15 0,00–0,50 0,00–0,78 | 86% |
| Parade portar | 3,16 1,72–4,59 1,33–4,98 | 4,38 2,82–5,93 2,39–6,36 | 7,53 4,54–10,52 3,73–11,34 | 26% 13% 60% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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