Eredivisie·Etapa 12·
Eredivisie·Etapa 12·Statistici estimate
Goluri
29%
23%
47%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,341,753,09sigur0,37–2,310,90–2,611,27–4,91mai sigur0,12–2,560,67–2,830,79–5,39
Șuturi pe poartă
30%
58%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,475,6310,10sigur2,61–6,333,88–7,376,49–13,70mai sigur2,12–6,823,42–7,845,54–14,66
Total șuturi
34%
58%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,7915,4529,24sigur9,86–17,7111,89–19,0121,75–36,72mai sigur8,77–18,8010,93–19,9719,70–38,77
Șuturi din careu
36%
55%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție8,559,5618,11sigur5,61–11,506,88–12,2412,49–23,74mai sigur4,78–12,336,14–12,9810,92–25,30
Șuturi blocate
43%
14%
43%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,114,128,22sigur2,22–5,992,47–5,774,69–11,76mai sigur1,68–6,531,97–6,263,65–12,80
Cornere
51%
36%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,424,8110,23sigur3,20–7,632,81–6,816,01–14,44mai sigur2,63–8,212,28–7,344,91–15,55
Posesie %
48%
47%
gazdeoaspețipredicție50,1749,96sigur43,38–56,9743,18–56,75mai sigur41,71–58,6341,51–58,42
Pase
50%
50%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție469469938sigur402–536402–535804–1071mai sigur384–555385–553768–1107
Precizie pase %
32%
63%
gazdeoaspețipredicție70,8173,97sigur66,78–74,8469,65–78,30mai sigur65,49–76,1368,34–79,60
Faulturi
45%
46%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,9911,0222,01sigur8,15–13,838,07–13,9616,22–27,79mai sigur7,39–14,587,32–14,7114,72–29,29
Ofsaiduri
30%
22%
48%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,531,973,51sigur0,37–2,690,88–3,071,25–5,76mai sigur0,07–3,000,59–3,350,66–6,35
Cartonașe galbene
39%
23%
38%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,701,663,36sigur0,65–2,750,53–2,791,18–5,53mai sigur0,38–3,010,24–3,080,62–6,09
Cartonașe roșii
88%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,070,070,13sigur0,00–0,230,00–0,250,00–0,48mai sigur0,00–0,380,00–0,390,00–0,76
Parade portar
46%
16%
38%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,373,126,49sigur1,93–4,801,56–4,683,49–9,48mai sigur1,54–5,191,14–5,102,68–10,29
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,34 0,37–2,31 0,12–2,56 | 1,75 0,90–2,61 0,67–2,83 | 3,09 1,27–4,91 0,79–5,39 | 29% 23% 47% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,47 2,61–6,33 2,12–6,82 | 5,63 3,88–7,37 3,42–7,84 | 10,10 6,49–13,70 5,54–14,66 | 30% 58% |
| Total șuturi | 13,79 9,86–17,71 8,77–18,80 | 15,45 11,89–19,01 10,93–19,97 | 29,24 21,75–36,72 19,70–38,77 | 34% 58% |
| Șuturi din careu | 8,55 5,61–11,50 4,78–12,33 | 9,56 6,88–12,24 6,14–12,98 | 18,11 12,49–23,74 10,92–25,30 | 36% 55% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,11 2,22–5,99 1,68–6,53 | 4,12 2,47–5,77 1,97–6,26 | 8,22 4,69–11,76 3,65–12,80 | 43% 14% 43% |
| Cornere | 5,42 3,20–7,63 2,63–8,21 | 4,81 2,81–6,81 2,28–7,34 | 10,23 6,01–14,44 4,91–15,55 | 51% 36% |
| Posesie % | 50,17 43,38–56,97 41,71–58,63 | 49,96 43,18–56,75 41,51–58,42 | — | 48% 47% |
| Pase | 469 402–536 384–555 | 469 402–535 385–553 | 938 804–1071 768–1107 | 50% 50% |
| Precizie pase % | 70,81 66,78–74,84 65,49–76,13 | 73,97 69,65–78,30 68,34–79,60 | — | 32% 63% |
| Faulturi | 10,99 8,15–13,83 7,39–14,58 | 11,02 8,07–13,96 7,32–14,71 | 22,01 16,22–27,79 14,72–29,29 | 45% 46% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,53 0,37–2,69 0,07–3,00 | 1,97 0,88–3,07 0,59–3,35 | 3,51 1,25–5,76 0,66–6,35 | 30% 22% 48% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,70 0,65–2,75 0,38–3,01 | 1,66 0,53–2,79 0,24–3,08 | 3,36 1,18–5,53 0,62–6,09 | 39% 23% 38% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,07 0,00–0,23 0,00–0,38 | 0,07 0,00–0,25 0,00–0,39 | 0,13 0,00–0,48 0,00–0,76 | 88% |
| Parade portar | 3,37 1,93–4,80 1,54–5,19 | 3,12 1,56–4,68 1,14–5,10 | 6,49 3,49–9,48 2,68–10,29 | 46% 16% 38% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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