Eredivisie·Etapa 25·
Eredivisie·Etapa 25·Statistici estimate
Goluri
60%
20%
20%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,181,173,35sigur1,21–3,150,32–2,031,53–5,17mai sigur0,96–3,400,09–2,261,05–5,65
Șuturi pe poartă
73%
18%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,544,0510,59sigur4,68–8,402,31–5,796,99–14,20mai sigur4,19–8,891,84–6,266,03–15,15
Total șuturi
88%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție18,5811,6330,21sigur14,66–22,518,07–15,1922,72–37,70mai sigur13,57–23,607,11–16,1520,67–39,75
Șuturi din careu
84%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,707,8120,51sigur9,76–15,645,13–10,4914,89–26,13mai sigur8,93–16,474,39–11,2313,32–27,70
Șuturi blocate
65%
22%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,733,137,86sigur2,85–6,611,47–4,784,32–11,39mai sigur2,31–7,160,98–5,273,29–12,43
Cornere
67%
23%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,324,4110,73sigur4,11–8,542,41–6,416,52–14,94mai sigur3,54–9,111,87–6,945,41–16,05
Posesie %
67%
29%
gazdeoaspețipredicție54,6546,10sigur47,86–61,4439,31–52,88mai sigur46,19–63,1137,64–54,55
Pase
76%
23%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție515429944sigur448–583362–495811–1078mai sigur430–601345–513775–1114
Precizie pase %
50%
45%
gazdeoaspețipredicție73,4973,02sigur69,46–77,5268,70–77,35mai sigur68,17–78,8267,39–78,66
Faulturi
33%
59%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție9,8011,3621,16sigur6,96–12,648,42–14,3115,38–26,95mai sigur6,21–13,407,67–15,0613,88–28,45
Ofsaiduri
54%
21%
25%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,081,373,45sigur0,92–3,240,28–2,471,20–5,70mai sigur0,62–3,540,00–2,750,61–6,29
Cartonașe galbene
25%
24%
51%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,151,752,90sigur0,10–2,200,62–2,880,72–5,08mai sigur0,00–2,470,33–3,170,17–5,64
Cartonașe roșii
87%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,050,090,15sigur0,00–0,210,00–0,280,00–0,49mai sigur0,00–0,360,00–0,410,00–0,78
Parade portar
21%
67%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,764,437,19sigur1,32–4,192,88–5,994,20–10,18mai sigur0,93–4,582,45–6,413,39–11,00
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 2,18 1,21–3,15 0,96–3,40 | 1,17 0,32–2,03 0,09–2,26 | 3,35 1,53–5,17 1,05–5,65 | 60% 20% 20% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 6,54 4,68–8,40 4,19–8,89 | 4,05 2,31–5,79 1,84–6,26 | 10,59 6,99–14,20 6,03–15,15 | 73% 18% |
| Total șuturi | 18,58 14,66–22,51 13,57–23,60 | 11,63 8,07–15,19 7,11–16,15 | 30,21 22,72–37,70 20,67–39,75 | 88% |
| Șuturi din careu | 12,70 9,76–15,64 8,93–16,47 | 7,81 5,13–10,49 4,39–11,23 | 20,51 14,89–26,13 13,32–27,70 | 84% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,73 2,85–6,61 2,31–7,16 | 3,13 1,47–4,78 0,98–5,27 | 7,86 4,32–11,39 3,29–12,43 | 65% 22% |
| Cornere | 6,32 4,11–8,54 3,54–9,11 | 4,41 2,41–6,41 1,87–6,94 | 10,73 6,52–14,94 5,41–16,05 | 67% 23% |
| Posesie % | 54,65 47,86–61,44 46,19–63,11 | 46,10 39,31–52,88 37,64–54,55 | — | 67% 29% |
| Pase | 515 448–583 430–601 | 429 362–495 345–513 | 944 811–1078 775–1114 | 76% 23% |
| Precizie pase % | 73,49 69,46–77,52 68,17–78,82 | 73,02 68,70–77,35 67,39–78,66 | — | 50% 45% |
| Faulturi | 9,80 6,96–12,64 6,21–13,40 | 11,36 8,42–14,31 7,67–15,06 | 21,16 15,38–26,95 13,88–28,45 | 33% 59% |
| Ofsaiduri | 2,08 0,92–3,24 0,62–3,54 | 1,37 0,28–2,47 0,00–2,75 | 3,45 1,20–5,70 0,61–6,29 | 54% 21% 25% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,15 0,10–2,20 0,00–2,47 | 1,75 0,62–2,88 0,33–3,17 | 2,90 0,72–5,08 0,17–5,64 | 25% 24% 51% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,05 0,00–0,21 0,00–0,36 | 0,09 0,00–0,28 0,00–0,41 | 0,15 0,00–0,49 0,00–0,78 | 87% |
| Parade portar | 2,76 1,32–4,19 0,93–4,58 | 4,43 2,88–5,99 2,45–6,41 | 7,19 4,20–10,18 3,39–11,00 | 21% 67% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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