Ligue 1·Etapa 6·
Ligue 1·Etapa 6·Statistici estimate
Goluri
37%
26%
37%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,371,362,73sigur0,40–2,340,51–2,220,91–4,55mai sigur0,15–2,590,28–2,450,43–5,03
Șuturi pe poartă
47%
14%
39%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,574,268,83sigur2,71–6,442,52–6,005,23–12,44mai sigur2,22–6,932,05–6,474,27–13,39
Total șuturi
48%
44%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,3213,0926,42sigur9,40–17,259,53–16,6618,93–33,90mai sigur8,31–18,348,57–17,6216,88–35,95
Șuturi din careu
44%
46%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție8,638,7117,34sigur5,69–11,576,03–11,3911,72–22,97mai sigur4,86–12,405,29–12,1310,15–24,53
Șuturi blocate
38%
15%
46%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,423,697,11sigur1,54–5,302,04–5,343,58–10,65mai sigur1,00–5,851,54–5,832,54–11,68
Cornere
53%
35%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,374,6510,02sigur3,16–7,582,65–6,655,81–14,23mai sigur2,58–8,162,12–7,194,70–15,34
Posesie %
42%
53%
gazdeoaspețipredicție49,0651,40sigur42,27–55,8544,62–58,19mai sigur40,60–57,5242,95–59,86
Pase
51%
48%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție496492988sigur429–563425–558854–1121mai sigur411–581408–576818–1157
Precizie pase %
28%
68%
gazdeoaspețipredicție72,0776,15sigur68,04–76,1071,83–80,48mai sigur66,75–77,4070,52–81,78
Faulturi
51%
41%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,3010,7122,01sigur8,47–14,147,76–13,6516,23–27,79mai sigur7,71–14,907,01–14,4014,72–29,29
Ofsaiduri
54%
21%
24%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,031,293,33sigur0,87–3,190,20–2,391,07–5,58mai sigur0,57–3,490,00–2,680,48–6,17
Cartonașe galbene
41%
21%
38%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,921,853,77sigur0,87–2,970,72–2,981,59–5,95mai sigur0,61–3,240,43–3,271,04–6,51
Cartonașe roșii
83%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,100,090,20sigur0,00–0,260,00–0,280,00–0,54mai sigur0,00–0,410,00–0,410,00–0,83
Parade portar
40%
17%
44%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,943,076,01sigur1,50–4,371,51–4,633,02–9,00mai sigur1,12–4,761,09–5,052,20–9,81
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,37 0,40–2,34 0,15–2,59 | 1,36 0,51–2,22 0,28–2,45 | 2,73 0,91–4,55 0,43–5,03 | 37% 26% 37% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,57 2,71–6,44 2,22–6,93 | 4,26 2,52–6,00 2,05–6,47 | 8,83 5,23–12,44 4,27–13,39 | 47% 14% 39% |
| Total șuturi | 13,32 9,40–17,25 8,31–18,34 | 13,09 9,53–16,66 8,57–17,62 | 26,42 18,93–33,90 16,88–35,95 | 48% 44% |
| Șuturi din careu | 8,63 5,69–11,57 4,86–12,40 | 8,71 6,03–11,39 5,29–12,13 | 17,34 11,72–22,97 10,15–24,53 | 44% 46% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,42 1,54–5,30 1,00–5,85 | 3,69 2,04–5,34 1,54–5,83 | 7,11 3,58–10,65 2,54–11,68 | 38% 15% 46% |
| Cornere | 5,37 3,16–7,58 2,58–8,16 | 4,65 2,65–6,65 2,12–7,19 | 10,02 5,81–14,23 4,70–15,34 | 53% 35% |
| Posesie % | 49,06 42,27–55,85 40,60–57,52 | 51,40 44,62–58,19 42,95–59,86 | — | 42% 53% |
| Pase | 496 429–563 411–581 | 492 425–558 408–576 | 988 854–1121 818–1157 | 51% 48% |
| Precizie pase % | 72,07 68,04–76,10 66,75–77,40 | 76,15 71,83–80,48 70,52–81,78 | — | 28% 68% |
| Faulturi | 11,30 8,47–14,14 7,71–14,90 | 10,71 7,76–13,65 7,01–14,40 | 22,01 16,23–27,79 14,72–29,29 | 51% 41% |
| Ofsaiduri | 2,03 0,87–3,19 0,57–3,49 | 1,29 0,20–2,39 0,00–2,68 | 3,33 1,07–5,58 0,48–6,17 | 54% 21% 24% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,92 0,87–2,97 0,61–3,24 | 1,85 0,72–2,98 0,43–3,27 | 3,77 1,59–5,95 1,04–6,51 | 41% 21% 38% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,10 0,00–0,26 0,00–0,41 | 0,09 0,00–0,28 0,00–0,41 | 0,20 0,00–0,54 0,00–0,83 | 83% |
| Parade portar | 2,94 1,50–4,37 1,12–4,76 | 3,07 1,51–4,63 1,09–5,05 | 6,01 3,02–9,00 2,20–9,81 | 40% 17% 44% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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