Ligue 1·Etapa 34·
Ligue 1·Etapa 34·Statistici estimate
Goluri
42%
24%
34%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,611,433,05sigur0,65–2,580,58–2,291,22–4,87mai sigur0,39–2,830,35–2,510,74–5,35
Șuturi pe poartă
48%
13%
39%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,954,589,53sigur3,08–6,812,84–6,335,92–13,13mai sigur2,59–7,302,38–6,794,97–14,09
Total șuturi
69%
25%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție14,6611,6726,33sigur10,74–18,588,10–15,2318,84–33,81mai sigur9,64–19,687,15–16,1916,79–35,87
Șuturi din careu
60%
31%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție9,297,7517,04sigur6,35–12,235,07–10,4311,42–22,66mai sigur5,52–13,064,33–11,179,85–24,23
Șuturi blocate
53%
15%
32%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,702,976,68sigur1,82–5,581,32–4,633,14–10,21mai sigur1,28–6,130,83–5,122,11–11,25
Cornere
52%
35%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,224,559,78sigur3,01–7,442,55–6,555,56–13,99mai sigur2,44–8,012,02–7,094,45–15,10
Posesie %
65%
30%
gazdeoaspețipredicție53,6545,93sigur46,86–60,4439,15–52,72mai sigur45,19–62,1137,48–54,39
Pase
67%
33%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5274741001sigur460–594408–541868–1135mai sigur442–613390–558832–1171
Precizie pase %
44%
51%
gazdeoaspețipredicție73,9674,60sigur69,93–77,9970,27–78,92mai sigur68,64–79,2868,96–80,23
Faulturi
38%
54%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,8411,7722,61sigur8,01–13,688,82–14,7116,83–28,39mai sigur7,25–14,448,07–15,4615,32–29,90
Ofsaiduri
28%
21%
51%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,522,093,61sigur0,36–2,681,00–3,181,36–5,86mai sigur0,06–2,980,71–3,470,77–6,45
Cartonașe galbene
36%
23%
41%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,601,723,32sigur0,55–2,650,59–2,851,14–5,50mai sigur0,29–2,920,30–3,140,59–6,06
Cartonașe roșii
86%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,070,090,16sigur0,00–0,230,00–0,270,00–0,51mai sigur0,00–0,380,00–0,410,00–0,79
Parade portar
32%
16%
52%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,783,456,22sigur1,34–4,211,89–5,003,23–9,21mai sigur0,95–4,601,47–5,432,42–10,03
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,61 0,65–2,58 0,39–2,83 | 1,43 0,58–2,29 0,35–2,51 | 3,05 1,22–4,87 0,74–5,35 | 42% 24% 34% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,95 3,08–6,81 2,59–7,30 | 4,58 2,84–6,33 2,38–6,79 | 9,53 5,92–13,13 4,97–14,09 | 48% 13% 39% |
| Total șuturi | 14,66 10,74–18,58 9,64–19,68 | 11,67 8,10–15,23 7,15–16,19 | 26,33 18,84–33,81 16,79–35,87 | 69% 25% |
| Șuturi din careu | 9,29 6,35–12,23 5,52–13,06 | 7,75 5,07–10,43 4,33–11,17 | 17,04 11,42–22,66 9,85–24,23 | 60% 31% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,70 1,82–5,58 1,28–6,13 | 2,97 1,32–4,63 0,83–5,12 | 6,68 3,14–10,21 2,11–11,25 | 53% 15% 32% |
| Cornere | 5,22 3,01–7,44 2,44–8,01 | 4,55 2,55–6,55 2,02–7,09 | 9,78 5,56–13,99 4,45–15,10 | 52% 35% |
| Posesie % | 53,65 46,86–60,44 45,19–62,11 | 45,93 39,15–52,72 37,48–54,39 | — | 65% 30% |
| Pase | 527 460–594 442–613 | 474 408–541 390–558 | 1001 868–1135 832–1171 | 67% 33% |
| Precizie pase % | 73,96 69,93–77,99 68,64–79,28 | 74,60 70,27–78,92 68,96–80,23 | — | 44% 51% |
| Faulturi | 10,84 8,01–13,68 7,25–14,44 | 11,77 8,82–14,71 8,07–15,46 | 22,61 16,83–28,39 15,32–29,90 | 38% 54% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,52 0,36–2,68 0,06–2,98 | 2,09 1,00–3,18 0,71–3,47 | 3,61 1,36–5,86 0,77–6,45 | 28% 21% 51% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,60 0,55–2,65 0,29–2,92 | 1,72 0,59–2,85 0,30–3,14 | 3,32 1,14–5,50 0,59–6,06 | 36% 23% 41% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,07 0,00–0,23 0,00–0,38 | 0,09 0,00–0,27 0,00–0,41 | 0,16 0,00–0,51 0,00–0,79 | 86% |
| Parade portar | 2,78 1,34–4,21 0,95–4,60 | 3,45 1,89–5,00 1,47–5,43 | 6,22 3,23–9,21 2,42–10,03 | 32% 16% 52% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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