Ligue 1·Etapa 6·
Ligue 1·Etapa 6·Statistici estimate
Goluri
23%
24%
53%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,021,682,70sigur0,06–1,990,82–2,530,88–4,53mai sigur0,00–2,240,60–2,760,40–5,01
Șuturi pe poartă
31%
57%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,205,259,45sigur2,33–6,063,51–6,995,84–13,05mai sigur1,85–6,553,04–7,464,89–14,01
Total șuturi
33%
60%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,4015,2228,62sigur9,47–17,3211,66–18,7821,13–36,11mai sigur8,38–18,4110,70–19,7419,08–38,16
Șuturi din careu
35%
56%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție8,779,9418,70sigur5,82–11,717,26–12,6213,08–24,33mai sigur5,00–12,546,52–13,3611,51–25,89
Șuturi blocate
36%
15%
50%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,554,037,57sigur1,67–5,432,37–5,684,04–11,11mai sigur1,12–5,971,88–6,173,00–12,15
Cornere
35%
52%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,785,4710,25sigur2,56–6,993,47–7,476,03–14,46mai sigur1,99–7,562,94–8,014,93–15,57
Posesie %
94%
gazdeoaspețipredicție36,3563,46sigur29,56–43,1456,67–70,24mai sigur27,89–44,8155,00–71,91
Pase
98%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție324582906sigur257–391516–649772–1040mai sigur239–409498–666737–1075
Precizie pase %
98%
gazdeoaspețipredicție60,2576,20sigur56,22–64,2871,88–80,53mai sigur54,93–65,5770,57–81,83
Faulturi
51%
40%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,0511,3823,44sigur9,22–14,898,44–14,3317,65–29,22mai sigur8,46–15,657,69–15,0816,15–30,72
Ofsaiduri
36%
22%
42%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,761,933,69sigur0,60–2,920,83–3,021,44–5,94mai sigur0,30–3,220,54–3,310,85–6,53
Cartonașe galbene
44%
22%
34%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,901,663,56sigur0,85–2,950,53–2,791,38–5,74mai sigur0,58–3,210,24–3,080,82–6,30
Cartonașe roșii
83%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,120,080,20sigur0,00–0,280,00–0,270,00–0,54mai sigur0,00–0,430,00–0,400,00–0,83
Parade portar
55%
15%
30%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,812,946,74sigur2,37–5,241,38–4,493,75–9,73mai sigur1,98–5,630,96–4,922,94–10,55
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,02 0,06–1,99 0,00–2,24 | 1,68 0,82–2,53 0,60–2,76 | 2,70 0,88–4,53 0,40–5,01 | 23% 24% 53% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,20 2,33–6,06 1,85–6,55 | 5,25 3,51–6,99 3,04–7,46 | 9,45 5,84–13,05 4,89–14,01 | 31% 57% |
| Total șuturi | 13,40 9,47–17,32 8,38–18,41 | 15,22 11,66–18,78 10,70–19,74 | 28,62 21,13–36,11 19,08–38,16 | 33% 60% |
| Șuturi din careu | 8,77 5,82–11,71 5,00–12,54 | 9,94 7,26–12,62 6,52–13,36 | 18,70 13,08–24,33 11,51–25,89 | 35% 56% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,55 1,67–5,43 1,12–5,97 | 4,03 2,37–5,68 1,88–6,17 | 7,57 4,04–11,11 3,00–12,15 | 36% 15% 50% |
| Cornere | 4,78 2,56–6,99 1,99–7,56 | 5,47 3,47–7,47 2,94–8,01 | 10,25 6,03–14,46 4,93–15,57 | 35% 52% |
| Posesie % | 36,35 29,56–43,14 27,89–44,81 | 63,46 56,67–70,24 55,00–71,91 | — | 94% |
| Pase | 324 257–391 239–409 | 582 516–649 498–666 | 906 772–1040 737–1075 | 98% |
| Precizie pase % | 60,25 56,22–64,28 54,93–65,57 | 76,20 71,88–80,53 70,57–81,83 | — | 98% |
| Faulturi | 12,05 9,22–14,89 8,46–15,65 | 11,38 8,44–14,33 7,69–15,08 | 23,44 17,65–29,22 16,15–30,72 | 51% 40% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,76 0,60–2,92 0,30–3,22 | 1,93 0,83–3,02 0,54–3,31 | 3,69 1,44–5,94 0,85–6,53 | 36% 22% 42% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,90 0,85–2,95 0,58–3,21 | 1,66 0,53–2,79 0,24–3,08 | 3,56 1,38–5,74 0,82–6,30 | 44% 22% 34% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,12 0,00–0,28 0,00–0,43 | 0,08 0,00–0,27 0,00–0,40 | 0,20 0,00–0,54 0,00–0,83 | 83% |
| Parade portar | 3,81 2,37–5,24 1,98–5,63 | 2,94 1,38–4,49 0,96–4,92 | 6,74 3,75–9,73 2,94–10,55 | 55% 15% 30% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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