Ligue 1·Etapa 18·
Ligue 1·Etapa 18·Statistici estimate
Goluri
65%
19%
15%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,170,943,11sigur1,20–3,130,09–1,801,29–4,93mai sigur0,95–3,390,00–2,030,81–5,41
Șuturi pe poartă
78%
14%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,383,519,89sigur4,52–8,251,77–5,256,29–13,50mai sigur4,03–8,741,30–5,725,33–14,45
Total șuturi
87%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție17,4910,9228,41sigur13,56–21,417,36–14,4820,92–35,89mai sigur12,47–22,506,40–15,4418,87–37,94
Șuturi din careu
81%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,467,1418,60sigur8,52–14,404,46–9,8212,97–24,22mai sigur7,69–15,233,72–10,5611,41–25,79
Șuturi blocate
63%
24%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,563,157,70sigur2,67–6,441,49–4,804,17–11,24mai sigur2,13–6,981,00–5,293,13–12,27
Cornere
67%
22%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,234,2610,49sigur4,02–8,442,26–6,266,28–14,70mai sigur3,44–9,021,73–6,795,17–15,81
Posesie %
95%
gazdeoaspețipredicție64,9136,17sigur58,12–71,7029,38–42,95mai sigur56,45–73,3727,71–44,62
Pase
100%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție644329973sigur577–711262–395839–1106mai sigur559–729245–413803–1142
Precizie pase %
85%
gazdeoaspețipredicție73,7165,13sigur69,68–77,7460,81–69,46mai sigur68,39–79,0359,50–70,77
Faulturi
37%
55%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,3012,4523,75sigur8,46–14,149,51–15,4017,97–29,53mai sigur7,71–14,898,76–16,1416,46–31,04
Ofsaiduri
44%
23%
34%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,821,573,39sigur0,66–2,980,48–2,661,13–5,64mai sigur0,36–3,280,19–2,950,54–6,23
Cartonașe galbene
27%
22%
50%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,371,933,30sigur0,32–2,420,80–3,061,12–5,48mai sigur0,06–2,690,51–3,350,56–6,03
Cartonașe roșii
87%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,050,090,15sigur0,00–0,210,00–0,280,00–0,50mai sigur0,00–0,360,00–0,410,00–0,78
Parade portar
21%
13%
65%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,644,186,82sigur1,20–4,082,62–5,743,83–9,81mai sigur0,82–4,462,20–6,163,02–10,63
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 2,17 1,20–3,13 0,95–3,39 | 0,94 0,09–1,80 0,00–2,03 | 3,11 1,29–4,93 0,81–5,41 | 65% 19% 15% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 6,38 4,52–8,25 4,03–8,74 | 3,51 1,77–5,25 1,30–5,72 | 9,89 6,29–13,50 5,33–14,45 | 78% 14% |
| Total șuturi | 17,49 13,56–21,41 12,47–22,50 | 10,92 7,36–14,48 6,40–15,44 | 28,41 20,92–35,89 18,87–37,94 | 87% |
| Șuturi din careu | 11,46 8,52–14,40 7,69–15,23 | 7,14 4,46–9,82 3,72–10,56 | 18,60 12,97–24,22 11,41–25,79 | 81% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,56 2,67–6,44 2,13–6,98 | 3,15 1,49–4,80 1,00–5,29 | 7,70 4,17–11,24 3,13–12,27 | 63% 24% |
| Cornere | 6,23 4,02–8,44 3,44–9,02 | 4,26 2,26–6,26 1,73–6,79 | 10,49 6,28–14,70 5,17–15,81 | 67% 22% |
| Posesie % | 64,91 58,12–71,70 56,45–73,37 | 36,17 29,38–42,95 27,71–44,62 | — | 95% |
| Pase | 644 577–711 559–729 | 329 262–395 245–413 | 973 839–1106 803–1142 | 100% |
| Precizie pase % | 73,71 69,68–77,74 68,39–79,03 | 65,13 60,81–69,46 59,50–70,77 | — | 85% |
| Faulturi | 11,30 8,46–14,14 7,71–14,89 | 12,45 9,51–15,40 8,76–16,14 | 23,75 17,97–29,53 16,46–31,04 | 37% 55% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,82 0,66–2,98 0,36–3,28 | 1,57 0,48–2,66 0,19–2,95 | 3,39 1,13–5,64 0,54–6,23 | 44% 23% 34% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,37 0,32–2,42 0,06–2,69 | 1,93 0,80–3,06 0,51–3,35 | 3,30 1,12–5,48 0,56–6,03 | 27% 22% 50% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,05 0,00–0,21 0,00–0,36 | 0,09 0,00–0,28 0,00–0,41 | 0,15 0,00–0,50 0,00–0,78 | 87% |
| Parade portar | 2,64 1,20–4,08 0,82–4,46 | 4,18 2,62–5,74 2,20–6,16 | 6,82 3,83–9,81 3,02–10,63 | 21% 13% 65% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
Estimări statistice doar pentru informare și divertisment, nu sfaturi de pariere.