Ligue 1·Etapa 8·
Ligue 1·Etapa 8·Statistici estimate
Goluri
39%
26%
35%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,341,272,61sigur0,37–2,310,41–2,120,79–4,43mai sigur0,12–2,560,18–2,350,31–4,91
Șuturi pe poartă
58%
29%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,803,718,51sigur2,94–6,671,97–5,454,91–12,12mai sigur2,45–7,161,50–5,923,95–13,07
Total șuturi
76%
19%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție14,7610,7725,54sigur10,84–18,697,21–14,3418,05–33,03mai sigur9,75–19,786,25–15,3016,00–35,08
Șuturi din careu
67%
24%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție9,226,9516,17sigur6,28–12,164,27–9,6310,54–21,79mai sigur5,45–12,993,53–10,378,98–23,36
Șuturi blocate
56%
15%
29%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,792,876,66sigur1,91–5,671,21–4,523,12–10,19mai sigur1,37–6,220,72–5,012,09–11,23
Cornere
56%
32%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,234,269,50sigur3,02–7,452,26–6,265,29–13,71mai sigur2,45–8,021,73–6,804,18–14,82
Posesie %
32%
64%
gazdeoaspețipredicție46,5453,45sigur39,75–53,3346,67–60,24mai sigur38,08–55,0045,00–61,91
Pase
24%
76%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție433517950sigur366–500450–583816–1084mai sigur348–519433–601781–1119
Precizie pase %
24%
72%
gazdeoaspețipredicție68,4973,58sigur64,46–72,5269,25–77,90mai sigur63,16–73,8167,94–79,21
Faulturi
40%
52%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,7112,4124,12sigur8,87–14,549,47–15,3618,34–29,90mai sigur8,11–15,308,72–16,1016,83–31,40
Ofsaiduri
33%
22%
45%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,661,963,62sigur0,50–2,820,87–3,051,37–5,88mai sigur0,20–3,120,58–3,340,78–6,47
Cartonașe galbene
41%
22%
37%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,821,743,56sigur0,77–2,870,61–2,871,38–5,74mai sigur0,50–3,130,32–3,160,83–6,30
Cartonașe roșii
86%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,080,080,16sigur0,00–0,240,00–0,270,00–0,51mai sigur0,00–0,390,00–0,400,00–0,79
Parade portar
28%
16%
56%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,453,325,77sigur1,02–3,891,76–4,872,77–8,76mai sigur0,63–4,271,33–5,301,96–9,57
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,34 0,37–2,31 0,12–2,56 | 1,27 0,41–2,12 0,18–2,35 | 2,61 0,79–4,43 0,31–4,91 | 39% 26% 35% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,80 2,94–6,67 2,45–7,16 | 3,71 1,97–5,45 1,50–5,92 | 8,51 4,91–12,12 3,95–13,07 | 58% 29% |
| Total șuturi | 14,76 10,84–18,69 9,75–19,78 | 10,77 7,21–14,34 6,25–15,30 | 25,54 18,05–33,03 16,00–35,08 | 76% 19% |
| Șuturi din careu | 9,22 6,28–12,16 5,45–12,99 | 6,95 4,27–9,63 3,53–10,37 | 16,17 10,54–21,79 8,98–23,36 | 67% 24% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,79 1,91–5,67 1,37–6,22 | 2,87 1,21–4,52 0,72–5,01 | 6,66 3,12–10,19 2,09–11,23 | 56% 15% 29% |
| Cornere | 5,23 3,02–7,45 2,45–8,02 | 4,26 2,26–6,26 1,73–6,80 | 9,50 5,29–13,71 4,18–14,82 | 56% 32% |
| Posesie % | 46,54 39,75–53,33 38,08–55,00 | 53,45 46,67–60,24 45,00–61,91 | — | 32% 64% |
| Pase | 433 366–500 348–519 | 517 450–583 433–601 | 950 816–1084 781–1119 | 24% 76% |
| Precizie pase % | 68,49 64,46–72,52 63,16–73,81 | 73,58 69,25–77,90 67,94–79,21 | — | 24% 72% |
| Faulturi | 11,71 8,87–14,54 8,11–15,30 | 12,41 9,47–15,36 8,72–16,10 | 24,12 18,34–29,90 16,83–31,40 | 40% 52% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,66 0,50–2,82 0,20–3,12 | 1,96 0,87–3,05 0,58–3,34 | 3,62 1,37–5,88 0,78–6,47 | 33% 22% 45% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,82 0,77–2,87 0,50–3,13 | 1,74 0,61–2,87 0,32–3,16 | 3,56 1,38–5,74 0,83–6,30 | 41% 22% 37% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,08 0,00–0,24 0,00–0,39 | 0,08 0,00–0,27 0,00–0,40 | 0,16 0,00–0,51 0,00–0,79 | 86% |
| Parade portar | 2,45 1,02–3,89 0,63–4,27 | 3,32 1,76–4,87 1,33–5,30 | 5,77 2,77–8,76 1,96–9,57 | 28% 16% 56% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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