Ligue 1·Etapa 19·
Ligue 1·Etapa 19·Statistici estimate
Goluri
37%
26%
37%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,311,312,63sigur0,35–2,280,46–2,170,81–4,45mai sigur0,09–2,530,23–2,400,33–4,93
Șuturi pe poartă
47%
14%
40%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,454,208,65sigur2,59–6,322,46–5,945,05–12,26mai sigur2,10–6,811,99–6,414,09–13,22
Total șuturi
45%
47%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,7712,9225,70sigur8,85–16,709,36–16,4818,21–33,18mai sigur7,76–17,798,40–17,4416,16–35,23
Șuturi din careu
41%
49%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție7,918,2916,20sigur4,97–10,855,61–10,9710,58–21,82mai sigur4,14–11,684,87–11,719,01–23,39
Șuturi blocate
41%
16%
43%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,143,206,35sigur1,26–5,031,55–4,862,81–9,88mai sigur0,72–5,571,06–5,351,78–10,92
Cornere
55%
33%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,454,5610,02sigur3,24–7,672,56–6,565,81–14,23mai sigur2,67–8,242,03–7,104,70–15,34
Posesie %
75%
22%
gazdeoaspețipredicție56,0843,82sigur49,29–62,8737,03–50,60mai sigur47,62–64,5435,36–52,27
Pase
89%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție555411966sigur488–622344–477832–1100mai sigur470–641327–495797–1135
Precizie pase %
63%
32%
gazdeoaspețipredicție73,6270,57sigur69,59–77,6566,24–74,89mai sigur68,30–78,9464,93–76,20
Faulturi
48%
44%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,0711,8723,94sigur9,23–14,918,92–14,8118,16–29,72mai sigur8,48–15,668,17–15,5616,65–31,22
Ofsaiduri
49%
22%
29%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,971,483,45sigur0,81–3,130,39–2,571,20–5,71mai sigur0,51–3,440,10–2,860,61–6,30
Cartonașe galbene
38%
22%
40%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,701,763,45sigur0,65–2,750,63–2,881,27–5,63mai sigur0,38–3,010,34–3,180,72–6,19
Cartonașe roșii
85%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,090,080,17sigur0,00–0,250,00–0,270,00–0,52mai sigur0,00–0,400,00–0,400,00–0,80
Parade portar
41%
17%
43%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,922,985,90sigur1,48–4,351,42–4,542,90–8,89mai sigur1,09–4,741,00–4,962,09–9,70
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,31 0,35–2,28 0,09–2,53 | 1,31 0,46–2,17 0,23–2,40 | 2,63 0,81–4,45 0,33–4,93 | 37% 26% 37% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,45 2,59–6,32 2,10–6,81 | 4,20 2,46–5,94 1,99–6,41 | 8,65 5,05–12,26 4,09–13,22 | 47% 14% 40% |
| Total șuturi | 12,77 8,85–16,70 7,76–17,79 | 12,92 9,36–16,48 8,40–17,44 | 25,70 18,21–33,18 16,16–35,23 | 45% 47% |
| Șuturi din careu | 7,91 4,97–10,85 4,14–11,68 | 8,29 5,61–10,97 4,87–11,71 | 16,20 10,58–21,82 9,01–23,39 | 41% 49% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,14 1,26–5,03 0,72–5,57 | 3,20 1,55–4,86 1,06–5,35 | 6,35 2,81–9,88 1,78–10,92 | 41% 16% 43% |
| Cornere | 5,45 3,24–7,67 2,67–8,24 | 4,56 2,56–6,56 2,03–7,10 | 10,02 5,81–14,23 4,70–15,34 | 55% 33% |
| Posesie % | 56,08 49,29–62,87 47,62–64,54 | 43,82 37,03–50,60 35,36–52,27 | — | 75% 22% |
| Pase | 555 488–622 470–641 | 411 344–477 327–495 | 966 832–1100 797–1135 | 89% |
| Precizie pase % | 73,62 69,59–77,65 68,30–78,94 | 70,57 66,24–74,89 64,93–76,20 | — | 63% 32% |
| Faulturi | 12,07 9,23–14,91 8,48–15,66 | 11,87 8,92–14,81 8,17–15,56 | 23,94 18,16–29,72 16,65–31,22 | 48% 44% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,97 0,81–3,13 0,51–3,44 | 1,48 0,39–2,57 0,10–2,86 | 3,45 1,20–5,71 0,61–6,30 | 49% 22% 29% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,70 0,65–2,75 0,38–3,01 | 1,76 0,63–2,88 0,34–3,18 | 3,45 1,27–5,63 0,72–6,19 | 38% 22% 40% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,09 0,00–0,25 0,00–0,40 | 0,08 0,00–0,27 0,00–0,40 | 0,17 0,00–0,52 0,00–0,80 | 85% |
| Parade portar | 2,92 1,48–4,35 1,09–4,74 | 2,98 1,42–4,54 1,00–4,96 | 5,90 2,90–8,89 2,09–9,70 | 41% 17% 43% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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