Ligue 1·Etapa 9·
Ligue 1·Etapa 9·Statistici estimate
Goluri
38%
26%
36%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,361,332,70sigur0,39–2,330,48–2,190,87–4,52mai sigur0,14–2,580,25–2,420,39–5,00
Șuturi pe poartă
49%
13%
38%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,964,509,46sigur3,10–6,822,76–6,245,86–13,07mai sigur2,61–7,312,29–6,714,90–14,02
Total șuturi
67%
26%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție14,7811,9426,72sigur10,86–18,718,38–15,5019,23–34,21mai sigur9,76–19,807,42–16,4617,18–36,26
Șuturi din careu
54%
37%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție9,268,3417,60sigur6,32–12,205,66–11,0211,98–23,23mai sigur5,49–13,034,92–11,7610,41–24,79
Șuturi blocate
50%
15%
35%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,753,236,99sigur1,87–5,641,58–4,893,45–10,52mai sigur1,33–6,181,09–5,382,42–11,56
Cornere
61%
28%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,894,5110,40sigur3,68–8,102,51–6,516,19–14,61mai sigur3,10–8,681,98–7,045,08–15,72
Posesie %
15%
83%
gazdeoaspețipredicție41,6058,41sigur34,81–48,3951,62–65,19mai sigur33,14–50,0649,95–66,86
Pase
91%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție364526891sigur297–432460–593757–1024mai sigur279–450442–610721–1060
Precizie pase %
88%
gazdeoaspețipredicție64,3773,92sigur60,34–68,4069,60–78,24mai sigur59,05–69,6968,29–79,55
Faulturi
34%
59%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,6713,2624,92sigur8,83–14,5110,31–16,2019,14–30,71mai sigur8,08–15,269,56–16,9517,64–32,21
Ofsaiduri
42%
21%
37%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,021,893,91sigur0,86–3,180,80–2,981,66–6,17mai sigur0,56–3,480,51–3,271,07–6,76
Cartonașe galbene
35%
22%
43%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,731,923,65sigur0,68–2,780,79–3,051,47–5,82mai sigur0,41–3,050,50–3,340,91–6,38
Cartonașe roșii
83%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,100,100,19sigur0,00–0,260,00–0,280,00–0,54mai sigur0,00–0,410,00–0,420,00–0,82
Parade portar
39%
16%
45%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,073,266,33sigur1,63–4,511,70–4,823,34–9,32mai sigur1,25–4,891,28–5,242,52–10,13
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,36 0,39–2,33 0,14–2,58 | 1,33 0,48–2,19 0,25–2,42 | 2,70 0,87–4,52 0,39–5,00 | 38% 26% 36% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,96 3,10–6,82 2,61–7,31 | 4,50 2,76–6,24 2,29–6,71 | 9,46 5,86–13,07 4,90–14,02 | 49% 13% 38% |
| Total șuturi | 14,78 10,86–18,71 9,76–19,80 | 11,94 8,38–15,50 7,42–16,46 | 26,72 19,23–34,21 17,18–36,26 | 67% 26% |
| Șuturi din careu | 9,26 6,32–12,20 5,49–13,03 | 8,34 5,66–11,02 4,92–11,76 | 17,60 11,98–23,23 10,41–24,79 | 54% 37% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,75 1,87–5,64 1,33–6,18 | 3,23 1,58–4,89 1,09–5,38 | 6,99 3,45–10,52 2,42–11,56 | 50% 15% 35% |
| Cornere | 5,89 3,68–8,10 3,10–8,68 | 4,51 2,51–6,51 1,98–7,04 | 10,40 6,19–14,61 5,08–15,72 | 61% 28% |
| Posesie % | 41,60 34,81–48,39 33,14–50,06 | 58,41 51,62–65,19 49,95–66,86 | — | 15% 83% |
| Pase | 364 297–432 279–450 | 526 460–593 442–610 | 891 757–1024 721–1060 | 91% |
| Precizie pase % | 64,37 60,34–68,40 59,05–69,69 | 73,92 69,60–78,24 68,29–79,55 | — | 88% |
| Faulturi | 11,67 8,83–14,51 8,08–15,26 | 13,26 10,31–16,20 9,56–16,95 | 24,92 19,14–30,71 17,64–32,21 | 34% 59% |
| Ofsaiduri | 2,02 0,86–3,18 0,56–3,48 | 1,89 0,80–2,98 0,51–3,27 | 3,91 1,66–6,17 1,07–6,76 | 42% 21% 37% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,73 0,68–2,78 0,41–3,05 | 1,92 0,79–3,05 0,50–3,34 | 3,65 1,47–5,82 0,91–6,38 | 35% 22% 43% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,10 0,00–0,26 0,00–0,41 | 0,10 0,00–0,28 0,00–0,42 | 0,19 0,00–0,54 0,00–0,82 | 83% |
| Parade portar | 3,07 1,63–4,51 1,25–4,89 | 3,26 1,70–4,82 1,28–5,24 | 6,33 3,34–9,32 2,52–10,13 | 39% 16% 45% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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