Ligue 1·Etapa 31·
Ligue 1·Etapa 31·Statistici estimate
Goluri
43%
25%
32%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,521,272,79sigur0,55–2,480,42–2,130,97–4,61mai sigur0,30–2,730,19–2,360,49–5,09
Șuturi pe poartă
52%
13%
35%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,884,219,09sigur3,02–6,742,46–5,955,48–12,69mai sigur2,53–7,232,00–6,414,53–13,65
Total șuturi
55%
37%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție14,4313,2527,68sigur10,50–18,359,69–16,8220,19–35,17mai sigur9,41–19,448,73–17,7818,14–37,22
Șuturi din careu
49%
42%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție9,168,7617,92sigur6,22–12,106,08–11,4412,29–23,54mai sigur5,39–12,935,34–12,1810,73–25,11
Șuturi blocate
47%
16%
38%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,413,116,52sigur1,53–5,291,46–4,762,98–10,05mai sigur0,98–5,830,97–5,261,95–11,09
Cornere
48%
39%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,344,9810,32sigur3,13–7,552,97–6,986,10–14,53mai sigur2,55–8,132,44–7,515,00–15,64
Posesie %
87%
gazdeoaspețipredicție60,0340,27sigur53,24–66,8233,48–47,05mai sigur51,57–68,4931,81–48,72
Pase
95%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție550354904sigur483–617287–420770–1037mai sigur465–635270–438734–1073
Precizie pase %
77%
19%
gazdeoaspețipredicție73,2867,12sigur69,26–77,3162,79–71,44mai sigur67,96–78,6161,49–72,75
Faulturi
52%
40%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,9812,2325,20sigur10,14–15,829,28–15,1719,42–30,99mai sigur9,38–16,578,53–15,9217,92–32,49
Ofsaiduri
34%
21%
45%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,812,113,92sigur0,65–2,971,01–3,201,66–6,17mai sigur0,35–3,270,73–3,491,07–6,76
Cartonașe galbene
35%
22%
44%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,711,933,64sigur0,66–2,760,80–3,061,46–5,81mai sigur0,39–3,030,51–3,350,90–6,37
Cartonașe roșii
85%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,060,110,17sigur0,00–0,220,00–0,290,00–0,52mai sigur0,00–0,370,00–0,430,00–0,80
Parade portar
37%
16%
47%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,893,206,10sigur1,46–4,331,65–4,763,10–9,09mai sigur1,07–4,721,22–5,192,29–9,90
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,52 0,55–2,48 0,30–2,73 | 1,27 0,42–2,13 0,19–2,36 | 2,79 0,97–4,61 0,49–5,09 | 43% 25% 32% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,88 3,02–6,74 2,53–7,23 | 4,21 2,46–5,95 2,00–6,41 | 9,09 5,48–12,69 4,53–13,65 | 52% 13% 35% |
| Total șuturi | 14,43 10,50–18,35 9,41–19,44 | 13,25 9,69–16,82 8,73–17,78 | 27,68 20,19–35,17 18,14–37,22 | 55% 37% |
| Șuturi din careu | 9,16 6,22–12,10 5,39–12,93 | 8,76 6,08–11,44 5,34–12,18 | 17,92 12,29–23,54 10,73–25,11 | 49% 42% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,41 1,53–5,29 0,98–5,83 | 3,11 1,46–4,76 0,97–5,26 | 6,52 2,98–10,05 1,95–11,09 | 47% 16% 38% |
| Cornere | 5,34 3,13–7,55 2,55–8,13 | 4,98 2,97–6,98 2,44–7,51 | 10,32 6,10–14,53 5,00–15,64 | 48% 39% |
| Posesie % | 60,03 53,24–66,82 51,57–68,49 | 40,27 33,48–47,05 31,81–48,72 | — | 87% |
| Pase | 550 483–617 465–635 | 354 287–420 270–438 | 904 770–1037 734–1073 | 95% |
| Precizie pase % | 73,28 69,26–77,31 67,96–78,61 | 67,12 62,79–71,44 61,49–72,75 | — | 77% 19% |
| Faulturi | 12,98 10,14–15,82 9,38–16,57 | 12,23 9,28–15,17 8,53–15,92 | 25,20 19,42–30,99 17,92–32,49 | 52% 40% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,81 0,65–2,97 0,35–3,27 | 2,11 1,01–3,20 0,73–3,49 | 3,92 1,66–6,17 1,07–6,76 | 34% 21% 45% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,71 0,66–2,76 0,39–3,03 | 1,93 0,80–3,06 0,51–3,35 | 3,64 1,46–5,81 0,90–6,37 | 35% 22% 44% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,06 0,00–0,22 0,00–0,37 | 0,11 0,00–0,29 0,00–0,43 | 0,17 0,00–0,52 0,00–0,80 | 85% |
| Parade portar | 2,89 1,46–4,33 1,07–4,72 | 3,20 1,65–4,76 1,22–5,19 | 6,10 3,10–9,09 2,29–9,90 | 37% 16% 47% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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