Premiership·Etapa 9·
Premiership·Etapa 9·Statistici estimate
Goluri
26%
23%
51%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,191,772,95sigur0,22–2,150,91–2,621,13–4,78mai sigur0,00–2,410,69–2,850,65–5,26
Șuturi pe poartă
28%
60%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,385,6710,05sigur2,52–6,243,92–7,416,44–13,65mai sigur2,03–6,733,46–7,875,49–14,61
Total șuturi
31%
63%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,2615,4828,74sigur9,33–17,1811,92–19,0521,25–36,23mai sigur8,24–18,2710,96–20,0119,20–38,28
Șuturi din careu
31%
60%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție8,5910,2318,82sigur5,65–11,537,55–12,9113,20–24,45mai sigur4,82–12,366,81–13,6511,63–26,01
Șuturi blocate
34%
15%
51%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,404,007,40sigur1,52–5,282,35–5,653,86–10,93mai sigur0,97–5,821,85–6,142,83–11,97
Cornere
33%
55%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,005,9210,92sigur2,79–7,213,92–7,926,70–15,13mai sigur2,21–7,793,38–8,455,59–16,24
Posesie %
93%
gazdeoaspețipredicție37,2963,72sigur30,50–44,0856,93–70,50mai sigur28,83–45,7555,26–72,18
Pase
98%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție340578918sigur273–407511–644784–1052mai sigur255–425494–662749–1087
Precizie pase %
96%
gazdeoaspețipredicție64,9978,69sigur60,96–69,0274,37–83,02mai sigur59,67–70,3173,06–84,33
Faulturi
40%
52%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,6012,2923,88sigur8,76–14,439,34–15,2318,10–29,66mai sigur8,00–15,198,59–15,9816,60–31,17
Ofsaiduri
36%
22%
42%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,681,833,51sigur0,52–2,840,74–2,921,26–5,76mai sigur0,22–3,140,45–3,210,67–6,35
Cartonașe galbene
42%
22%
36%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,881,753,63sigur0,83–2,930,62–2,871,45–5,80mai sigur0,56–3,200,33–3,170,89–6,36
Cartonașe roșii
83%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,100,090,19sigur0,00–0,260,00–0,280,00–0,54mai sigur0,00–0,410,00–0,410,00–0,82
Parade portar
52%
15%
33%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,612,996,61sigur2,18–5,051,44–4,553,61–9,60mai sigur1,79–5,441,01–4,972,80–10,41
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,19 0,22–2,15 0,00–2,41 | 1,77 0,91–2,62 0,69–2,85 | 2,95 1,13–4,78 0,65–5,26 | 26% 23% 51% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,38 2,52–6,24 2,03–6,73 | 5,67 3,92–7,41 3,46–7,87 | 10,05 6,44–13,65 5,49–14,61 | 28% 60% |
| Total șuturi | 13,26 9,33–17,18 8,24–18,27 | 15,48 11,92–19,05 10,96–20,01 | 28,74 21,25–36,23 19,20–38,28 | 31% 63% |
| Șuturi din careu | 8,59 5,65–11,53 4,82–12,36 | 10,23 7,55–12,91 6,81–13,65 | 18,82 13,20–24,45 11,63–26,01 | 31% 60% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,40 1,52–5,28 0,97–5,82 | 4,00 2,35–5,65 1,85–6,14 | 7,40 3,86–10,93 2,83–11,97 | 34% 15% 51% |
| Cornere | 5,00 2,79–7,21 2,21–7,79 | 5,92 3,92–7,92 3,38–8,45 | 10,92 6,70–15,13 5,59–16,24 | 33% 55% |
| Posesie % | 37,29 30,50–44,08 28,83–45,75 | 63,72 56,93–70,50 55,26–72,18 | — | 93% |
| Pase | 340 273–407 255–425 | 578 511–644 494–662 | 918 784–1052 749–1087 | 98% |
| Precizie pase % | 64,99 60,96–69,02 59,67–70,31 | 78,69 74,37–83,02 73,06–84,33 | — | 96% |
| Faulturi | 11,60 8,76–14,43 8,00–15,19 | 12,29 9,34–15,23 8,59–15,98 | 23,88 18,10–29,66 16,60–31,17 | 40% 52% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,68 0,52–2,84 0,22–3,14 | 1,83 0,74–2,92 0,45–3,21 | 3,51 1,26–5,76 0,67–6,35 | 36% 22% 42% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,88 0,83–2,93 0,56–3,20 | 1,75 0,62–2,87 0,33–3,17 | 3,63 1,45–5,80 0,89–6,36 | 42% 22% 36% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,10 0,00–0,26 0,00–0,41 | 0,09 0,00–0,28 0,00–0,41 | 0,19 0,00–0,54 0,00–0,82 | 83% |
| Parade portar | 3,61 2,18–5,05 1,79–5,44 | 2,99 1,44–4,55 1,01–4,97 | 6,61 3,61–9,60 2,80–10,41 | 52% 15% 33% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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