Premiership·Etapa 17·
Premiership·Etapa 17·Statistici estimate
Goluri
62%
21%
17%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,000,962,96sigur1,03–2,970,10–1,811,14–4,78mai sigur0,78–3,220,00–2,040,66–5,26
Șuturi pe poartă
79%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,303,319,61sigur4,44–8,171,56–5,056,00–13,21mai sigur3,95–8,661,10–5,515,05–14,17
Total șuturi
91%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție17,7310,3228,05sigur13,80–21,656,76–13,8820,56–35,54mai sigur12,71–22,745,80–14,8418,51–37,59
Șuturi din careu
80%
14%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,207,0618,26sigur8,26–14,144,38–9,7412,63–23,88mai sigur7,43–14,973,64–10,4811,07–25,45
Șuturi blocate
69%
20%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,133,238,36sigur3,25–7,011,58–4,884,82–11,90mai sigur2,71–7,561,08–5,373,79–12,93
Cornere
75%
16%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție7,054,2611,31sigur4,83–9,262,26–6,267,09–15,52mai sigur4,26–9,831,73–6,805,99–16,63
Posesie %
93%
gazdeoaspețipredicție62,8836,54sigur56,09–69,6729,76–43,33mai sigur54,42–71,3428,09–45,00
Pase
99%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție608334943sigur541–676268–401809–1076mai sigur523–694250–418773–1112
Precizie pase %
85%
gazdeoaspețipredicție77,0468,58sigur73,01–81,0764,25–72,90mai sigur71,72–82,3762,94–74,21
Faulturi
46%
46%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,5211,5623,08sigur8,68–14,368,62–14,5117,30–28,86mai sigur7,93–15,127,87–15,2515,80–30,37
Ofsaiduri
50%
23%
27%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,871,343,21sigur0,71–3,030,24–2,430,95–5,46mai sigur0,41–3,330,00–2,720,36–6,05
Cartonașe galbene
29%
23%
49%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,341,813,15sigur0,29–2,390,68–2,940,98–5,33mai sigur0,03–2,660,39–3,230,42–5,89
Cartonașe roșii
87%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,050,100,15sigur0,00–0,220,00–0,280,00–0,50mai sigur0,00–0,370,00–0,420,00–0,78
Parade portar
20%
13%
67%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,464,086,54sigur1,02–3,892,53–5,643,55–9,53mai sigur0,63–4,282,10–6,072,74–10,34
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 2,00 1,03–2,97 0,78–3,22 | 0,96 0,10–1,81 0,00–2,04 | 2,96 1,14–4,78 0,66–5,26 | 62% 21% 17% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 6,30 4,44–8,17 3,95–8,66 | 3,31 1,56–5,05 1,10–5,51 | 9,61 6,00–13,21 5,05–14,17 | 79% |
| Total șuturi | 17,73 13,80–21,65 12,71–22,74 | 10,32 6,76–13,88 5,80–14,84 | 28,05 20,56–35,54 18,51–37,59 | 91% |
| Șuturi din careu | 11,20 8,26–14,14 7,43–14,97 | 7,06 4,38–9,74 3,64–10,48 | 18,26 12,63–23,88 11,07–25,45 | 80% 14% |
| Șuturi blocate | 5,13 3,25–7,01 2,71–7,56 | 3,23 1,58–4,88 1,08–5,37 | 8,36 4,82–11,90 3,79–12,93 | 69% 20% |
| Cornere | 7,05 4,83–9,26 4,26–9,83 | 4,26 2,26–6,26 1,73–6,80 | 11,31 7,09–15,52 5,99–16,63 | 75% 16% |
| Posesie % | 62,88 56,09–69,67 54,42–71,34 | 36,54 29,76–43,33 28,09–45,00 | — | 93% |
| Pase | 608 541–676 523–694 | 334 268–401 250–418 | 943 809–1076 773–1112 | 99% |
| Precizie pase % | 77,04 73,01–81,07 71,72–82,37 | 68,58 64,25–72,90 62,94–74,21 | — | 85% |
| Faulturi | 11,52 8,68–14,36 7,93–15,12 | 11,56 8,62–14,51 7,87–15,25 | 23,08 17,30–28,86 15,80–30,37 | 46% 46% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,87 0,71–3,03 0,41–3,33 | 1,34 0,24–2,43 0,00–2,72 | 3,21 0,95–5,46 0,36–6,05 | 50% 23% 27% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,34 0,29–2,39 0,03–2,66 | 1,81 0,68–2,94 0,39–3,23 | 3,15 0,98–5,33 0,42–5,89 | 29% 23% 49% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,05 0,00–0,22 0,00–0,37 | 0,10 0,00–0,28 0,00–0,42 | 0,15 0,00–0,50 0,00–0,78 | 87% |
| Parade portar | 2,46 1,02–3,89 0,63–4,28 | 4,08 2,53–5,64 2,10–6,07 | 6,54 3,55–9,53 2,74–10,34 | 20% 13% 67% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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