Premiership·Etapa 11·
Premiership·Etapa 11·Statistici estimate
Goluri
44%
25%
31%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,511,222,73sigur0,54–2,480,37–2,070,91–4,55mai sigur0,29–2,730,14–2,300,43–5,03
Șuturi pe poartă
50%
13%
36%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,674,138,80sigur2,81–6,542,39–5,875,20–12,41mai sigur2,32–7,021,92–6,344,24–13,37
Total șuturi
57%
36%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,5912,2325,81sigur9,66–17,518,67–15,7918,33–33,30mai sigur8,57–18,607,71–16,7516,28–35,35
Șuturi din careu
51%
39%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție8,587,9416,53sigur5,64–11,535,26–10,6310,90–22,15mai sigur4,81–12,354,53–11,369,34–23,72
Șuturi blocate
40%
14%
46%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,804,037,83sigur1,92–5,692,37–5,684,30–11,37mai sigur1,38–6,231,88–6,173,26–12,40
Cornere
56%
32%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,814,8310,64sigur3,60–8,022,83–6,836,42–14,85mai sigur3,02–8,602,29–7,365,32–15,96
Posesie %
52%
43%
gazdeoaspețipredicție51,5849,63sigur44,78–58,3742,84–56,41mai sigur43,12–60,0441,17–58,09
Pase
63%
37%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție446407852sigur379–513340–473719–986mai sigur360–531323–491683–1022
Precizie pase %
40%
55%
gazdeoaspețipredicție67,6969,18sigur63,66–71,7264,85–73,50mai sigur62,36–73,0163,54–74,81
Faulturi
40%
53%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,8613,7126,58sigur10,03–15,7010,77–16,6620,80–32,36mai sigur9,27–16,4610,02–17,4119,29–33,87
Ofsaiduri
53%
22%
25%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,931,283,20sigur0,77–3,090,18–2,370,95–5,46mai sigur0,47–3,390,00–2,660,36–6,05
Cartonașe galbene
31%
19%
49%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,912,394,30sigur0,86–2,961,26–3,522,12–6,48mai sigur0,59–3,220,97–3,811,56–7,03
Cartonașe roșii
83%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,070,120,19sigur0,00–0,230,00–0,300,00–0,54mai sigur0,00–0,380,00–0,440,00–0,82
Parade portar
32%
16%
52%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,613,265,87sigur1,18–4,051,70–4,822,88–8,87mai sigur0,79–4,441,28–5,242,07–9,68
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,51 0,54–2,48 0,29–2,73 | 1,22 0,37–2,07 0,14–2,30 | 2,73 0,91–4,55 0,43–5,03 | 44% 25% 31% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,67 2,81–6,54 2,32–7,02 | 4,13 2,39–5,87 1,92–6,34 | 8,80 5,20–12,41 4,24–13,37 | 50% 13% 36% |
| Total șuturi | 13,59 9,66–17,51 8,57–18,60 | 12,23 8,67–15,79 7,71–16,75 | 25,81 18,33–33,30 16,28–35,35 | 57% 36% |
| Șuturi din careu | 8,58 5,64–11,53 4,81–12,35 | 7,94 5,26–10,63 4,53–11,36 | 16,53 10,90–22,15 9,34–23,72 | 51% 39% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,80 1,92–5,69 1,38–6,23 | 4,03 2,37–5,68 1,88–6,17 | 7,83 4,30–11,37 3,26–12,40 | 40% 14% 46% |
| Cornere | 5,81 3,60–8,02 3,02–8,60 | 4,83 2,83–6,83 2,29–7,36 | 10,64 6,42–14,85 5,32–15,96 | 56% 32% |
| Posesie % | 51,58 44,78–58,37 43,12–60,04 | 49,63 42,84–56,41 41,17–58,09 | — | 52% 43% |
| Pase | 446 379–513 360–531 | 407 340–473 323–491 | 852 719–986 683–1022 | 63% 37% |
| Precizie pase % | 67,69 63,66–71,72 62,36–73,01 | 69,18 64,85–73,50 63,54–74,81 | — | 40% 55% |
| Faulturi | 12,86 10,03–15,70 9,27–16,46 | 13,71 10,77–16,66 10,02–17,41 | 26,58 20,80–32,36 19,29–33,87 | 40% 53% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,93 0,77–3,09 0,47–3,39 | 1,28 0,18–2,37 0,00–2,66 | 3,20 0,95–5,46 0,36–6,05 | 53% 22% 25% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,91 0,86–2,96 0,59–3,22 | 2,39 1,26–3,52 0,97–3,81 | 4,30 2,12–6,48 1,56–7,03 | 31% 19% 49% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,07 0,00–0,23 0,00–0,38 | 0,12 0,00–0,30 0,00–0,44 | 0,19 0,00–0,54 0,00–0,82 | 83% |
| Parade portar | 2,61 1,18–4,05 0,79–4,44 | 3,26 1,70–4,82 1,28–5,24 | 5,87 2,88–8,87 2,07–9,68 | 32% 16% 52% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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