Premiership·Etapa 19·
Premiership·Etapa 19·Statistici estimate
Goluri
42%
26%
32%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,391,172,56sigur0,42–2,360,32–2,030,74–4,38mai sigur0,17–2,610,09–2,250,26–4,86
Șuturi pe poartă
58%
13%
29%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,693,588,27sigur2,82–6,551,84–5,334,67–11,88mai sigur2,33–7,041,38–5,793,71–12,83
Total șuturi
81%
14%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție14,549,6824,21sigur10,61–18,466,12–13,2416,73–31,70mai sigur9,52–19,555,16–14,2014,68–33,75
Șuturi din careu
69%
23%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție9,316,8216,13sigur6,37–12,254,14–9,5010,50–21,75mai sigur5,54–13,083,40–10,248,94–23,32
Șuturi blocate
68%
20%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,432,717,13sigur2,55–6,311,05–4,363,60–10,67mai sigur2,00–6,850,56–4,852,56–11,71
Cornere
59%
29%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,424,229,64sigur3,20–7,632,22–6,225,42–13,85mai sigur2,63–8,201,69–6,754,32–14,96
Posesie %
57%
38%
gazdeoaspețipredicție52,3548,33sigur45,56–59,1441,55–55,12mai sigur43,89–60,8139,88–56,79
Pase
64%
36%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție441399840sigur374–508332–465706–973mai sigur356–527315–482670–1009
Precizie pase %
32%
63%
gazdeoaspețipredicție65,0768,23sigur61,04–69,1063,90–72,55mai sigur59,74–70,3962,60–73,86
Faulturi
46%
46%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,7613,7627,52sigur10,92–16,5910,82–16,7121,74–33,30mai sigur10,16–17,3510,07–17,4620,23–34,81
Ofsaiduri
30%
23%
47%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,401,803,20sigur0,24–2,560,70–2,890,95–5,45mai sigur0,00–2,870,42–3,180,36–6,04
Cartonașe galbene
32%
20%
49%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,892,344,24sigur0,84–2,941,22–3,472,06–6,42mai sigur0,58–3,210,92–3,771,50–6,97
Cartonașe roșii
82%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,090,110,21sigur0,00–0,260,00–0,300,00–0,55mai sigur0,00–0,410,00–0,430,00–0,84
Parade portar
34%
16%
50%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,713,235,95sigur1,28–4,151,68–4,792,95–8,94mai sigur0,89–4,541,25–5,212,14–9,75
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,39 0,42–2,36 0,17–2,61 | 1,17 0,32–2,03 0,09–2,25 | 2,56 0,74–4,38 0,26–4,86 | 42% 26% 32% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,69 2,82–6,55 2,33–7,04 | 3,58 1,84–5,33 1,38–5,79 | 8,27 4,67–11,88 3,71–12,83 | 58% 13% 29% |
| Total șuturi | 14,54 10,61–18,46 9,52–19,55 | 9,68 6,12–13,24 5,16–14,20 | 24,21 16,73–31,70 14,68–33,75 | 81% 14% |
| Șuturi din careu | 9,31 6,37–12,25 5,54–13,08 | 6,82 4,14–9,50 3,40–10,24 | 16,13 10,50–21,75 8,94–23,32 | 69% 23% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,43 2,55–6,31 2,00–6,85 | 2,71 1,05–4,36 0,56–4,85 | 7,13 3,60–10,67 2,56–11,71 | 68% 20% |
| Cornere | 5,42 3,20–7,63 2,63–8,20 | 4,22 2,22–6,22 1,69–6,75 | 9,64 5,42–13,85 4,32–14,96 | 59% 29% |
| Posesie % | 52,35 45,56–59,14 43,89–60,81 | 48,33 41,55–55,12 39,88–56,79 | — | 57% 38% |
| Pase | 441 374–508 356–527 | 399 332–465 315–482 | 840 706–973 670–1009 | 64% 36% |
| Precizie pase % | 65,07 61,04–69,10 59,74–70,39 | 68,23 63,90–72,55 62,60–73,86 | — | 32% 63% |
| Faulturi | 13,76 10,92–16,59 10,16–17,35 | 13,76 10,82–16,71 10,07–17,46 | 27,52 21,74–33,30 20,23–34,81 | 46% 46% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,40 0,24–2,56 0,00–2,87 | 1,80 0,70–2,89 0,42–3,18 | 3,20 0,95–5,45 0,36–6,04 | 30% 23% 47% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,89 0,84–2,94 0,58–3,21 | 2,34 1,22–3,47 0,92–3,77 | 4,24 2,06–6,42 1,50–6,97 | 32% 20% 49% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,09 0,00–0,26 0,00–0,41 | 0,11 0,00–0,30 0,00–0,43 | 0,21 0,00–0,55 0,00–0,84 | 82% |
| Parade portar | 2,71 1,28–4,15 0,89–4,54 | 3,23 1,68–4,79 1,25–5,21 | 5,95 2,95–8,94 2,14–9,75 | 34% 16% 50% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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