Premiership·Etapa 13·
Premiership·Etapa 13·Statistici estimate
Goluri
40%
27%
33%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,321,172,49sigur0,35–2,290,31–2,020,67–4,31mai sigur0,10–2,540,09–2,250,19–4,79
Șuturi pe poartă
59%
28%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,843,638,47sigur2,97–6,701,89–5,374,86–12,07mai sigur2,48–7,191,42–5,843,91–13,03
Total șuturi
85%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție16,3310,4926,82sigur12,41–20,266,93–14,0519,34–34,31mai sigur11,32–21,355,97–15,0117,29–36,36
Șuturi din careu
70%
22%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție9,677,0416,71sigur6,73–12,614,36–9,7211,08–22,33mai sigur5,90–13,443,62–10,469,52–23,90
Șuturi blocate
68%
20%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,752,957,70sigur2,86–6,631,30–4,604,16–11,23mai sigur2,32–7,170,81–5,103,13–12,27
Cornere
55%
33%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,694,7510,44sigur3,48–7,902,75–6,756,22–14,65mai sigur2,90–8,482,21–7,285,12–15,76
Posesie %
78%
19%
gazdeoaspețipredicție57,3543,39sigur50,56–64,1436,60–50,17mai sigur48,89–65,8134,93–51,85
Pase
87%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție512375887sigur444–579309–442753–1020mai sigur426–597291–459717–1056
Precizie pase %
59%
36%
gazdeoaspețipredicție68,8466,55sigur64,81–72,8762,23–70,88mai sigur63,52–74,1660,92–72,19
Faulturi
44%
47%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,8112,0123,82sigur8,98–14,659,06–14,9518,04–29,61mai sigur8,22–15,418,32–15,7016,54–31,11
Ofsaiduri
46%
22%
31%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,871,523,38sigur0,71–3,030,42–2,611,13–5,64mai sigur0,41–3,330,13–2,900,54–6,23
Cartonașe galbene
36%
23%
41%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,651,773,43sigur0,61–2,700,64–2,901,25–5,60mai sigur0,34–2,970,35–3,190,69–6,16
Cartonașe roșii
86%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,070,090,16sigur0,00–0,230,00–0,280,00–0,51mai sigur0,00–0,380,00–0,410,00–0,79
Parade portar
26%
16%
59%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,383,435,81sigur0,94–3,811,88–4,992,82–8,80mai sigur0,55–4,201,45–5,412,00–9,61
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,32 0,35–2,29 0,10–2,54 | 1,17 0,31–2,02 0,09–2,25 | 2,49 0,67–4,31 0,19–4,79 | 40% 27% 33% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,84 2,97–6,70 2,48–7,19 | 3,63 1,89–5,37 1,42–5,84 | 8,47 4,86–12,07 3,91–13,03 | 59% 28% |
| Total șuturi | 16,33 12,41–20,26 11,32–21,35 | 10,49 6,93–14,05 5,97–15,01 | 26,82 19,34–34,31 17,29–36,36 | 85% |
| Șuturi din careu | 9,67 6,73–12,61 5,90–13,44 | 7,04 4,36–9,72 3,62–10,46 | 16,71 11,08–22,33 9,52–23,90 | 70% 22% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,75 2,86–6,63 2,32–7,17 | 2,95 1,30–4,60 0,81–5,10 | 7,70 4,16–11,23 3,13–12,27 | 68% 20% |
| Cornere | 5,69 3,48–7,90 2,90–8,48 | 4,75 2,75–6,75 2,21–7,28 | 10,44 6,22–14,65 5,12–15,76 | 55% 33% |
| Posesie % | 57,35 50,56–64,14 48,89–65,81 | 43,39 36,60–50,17 34,93–51,85 | — | 78% 19% |
| Pase | 512 444–579 426–597 | 375 309–442 291–459 | 887 753–1020 717–1056 | 87% |
| Precizie pase % | 68,84 64,81–72,87 63,52–74,16 | 66,55 62,23–70,88 60,92–72,19 | — | 59% 36% |
| Faulturi | 11,81 8,98–14,65 8,22–15,41 | 12,01 9,06–14,95 8,32–15,70 | 23,82 18,04–29,61 16,54–31,11 | 44% 47% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,87 0,71–3,03 0,41–3,33 | 1,52 0,42–2,61 0,13–2,90 | 3,38 1,13–5,64 0,54–6,23 | 46% 22% 31% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,65 0,61–2,70 0,34–2,97 | 1,77 0,64–2,90 0,35–3,19 | 3,43 1,25–5,60 0,69–6,16 | 36% 23% 41% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,07 0,00–0,23 0,00–0,38 | 0,09 0,00–0,28 0,00–0,41 | 0,16 0,00–0,51 0,00–0,79 | 86% |
| Parade portar | 2,38 0,94–3,81 0,55–4,20 | 3,43 1,88–4,99 1,45–5,41 | 5,81 2,82–8,80 2,00–9,61 | 26% 16% 59% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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