Premiership·Etapa 27·
Premiership·Etapa 27·Statistici estimate
Goluri
38%
26%
36%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,341,282,62sigur0,37–2,300,43–2,140,80–4,44mai sigur0,12–2,560,20–2,370,32–4,92
Șuturi pe poartă
40%
14%
46%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,094,348,43sigur2,23–5,962,60–6,084,83–12,04mai sigur1,74–6,452,13–6,553,87–12,99
Total șuturi
45%
47%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,8112,9725,78sigur8,89–16,749,41–16,5318,29–33,27mai sigur7,80–17,838,45–17,4916,24–35,32
Șuturi din careu
48%
42%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție8,488,1616,64sigur5,53–11,425,48–10,8411,01–22,26mai sigur4,71–12,254,74–11,589,45–23,83
Șuturi blocate
36%
15%
50%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,514,007,51sigur1,63–5,392,35–5,653,97–11,04mai sigur1,08–5,941,85–6,142,94–12,08
Cornere
52%
35%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,314,649,95sigur3,10–7,532,64–6,645,73–14,16mai sigur2,52–8,102,10–7,174,63–15,27
Posesie %
27%
69%
gazdeoaspețipredicție45,5655,15sigur38,77–52,3648,37–61,94mai sigur37,10–54,0246,70–63,61
Pase
29%
71%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție419485904sigur352–486419–551771–1038mai sigur334–505401–569735–1074
Precizie pase %
14%
83%
gazdeoaspețipredicție64,6272,50sigur60,59–68,6568,18–76,82mai sigur59,30–69,9466,87–78,13
Faulturi
40%
52%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,9412,6424,58sigur9,10–14,779,70–15,5918,80–30,36mai sigur8,34–15,538,95–16,3417,29–31,87
Ofsaiduri
35%
23%
42%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,591,743,32sigur0,42–2,750,64–2,831,07–5,58mai sigur0,12–3,050,36–3,120,48–6,16
Cartonașe galbene
30%
23%
47%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,361,783,14sigur0,31–2,410,65–2,910,96–5,32mai sigur0,05–2,680,36–3,200,40–5,87
Cartonașe roșii
86%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,060,100,16sigur0,00–0,220,00–0,290,00–0,51mai sigur0,00–0,370,00–0,420,00–0,79
Parade portar
45%
17%
38%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,002,785,78sigur1,56–4,431,22–4,342,79–8,77mai sigur1,17–4,820,80–4,761,97–9,58
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,34 0,37–2,30 0,12–2,56 | 1,28 0,43–2,14 0,20–2,37 | 2,62 0,80–4,44 0,32–4,92 | 38% 26% 36% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,09 2,23–5,96 1,74–6,45 | 4,34 2,60–6,08 2,13–6,55 | 8,43 4,83–12,04 3,87–12,99 | 40% 14% 46% |
| Total șuturi | 12,81 8,89–16,74 7,80–17,83 | 12,97 9,41–16,53 8,45–17,49 | 25,78 18,29–33,27 16,24–35,32 | 45% 47% |
| Șuturi din careu | 8,48 5,53–11,42 4,71–12,25 | 8,16 5,48–10,84 4,74–11,58 | 16,64 11,01–22,26 9,45–23,83 | 48% 42% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,51 1,63–5,39 1,08–5,94 | 4,00 2,35–5,65 1,85–6,14 | 7,51 3,97–11,04 2,94–12,08 | 36% 15% 50% |
| Cornere | 5,31 3,10–7,53 2,52–8,10 | 4,64 2,64–6,64 2,10–7,17 | 9,95 5,73–14,16 4,63–15,27 | 52% 35% |
| Posesie % | 45,56 38,77–52,36 37,10–54,02 | 55,15 48,37–61,94 46,70–63,61 | — | 27% 69% |
| Pase | 419 352–486 334–505 | 485 419–551 401–569 | 904 771–1038 735–1074 | 29% 71% |
| Precizie pase % | 64,62 60,59–68,65 59,30–69,94 | 72,50 68,18–76,82 66,87–78,13 | — | 14% 83% |
| Faulturi | 11,94 9,10–14,77 8,34–15,53 | 12,64 9,70–15,59 8,95–16,34 | 24,58 18,80–30,36 17,29–31,87 | 40% 52% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,59 0,42–2,75 0,12–3,05 | 1,74 0,64–2,83 0,36–3,12 | 3,32 1,07–5,58 0,48–6,16 | 35% 23% 42% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,36 0,31–2,41 0,05–2,68 | 1,78 0,65–2,91 0,36–3,20 | 3,14 0,96–5,32 0,40–5,87 | 30% 23% 47% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,06 0,00–0,22 0,00–0,37 | 0,10 0,00–0,29 0,00–0,42 | 0,16 0,00–0,51 0,00–0,79 | 86% |
| Parade portar | 3,00 1,56–4,43 1,17–4,82 | 2,78 1,22–4,34 0,80–4,76 | 5,78 2,79–8,77 1,97–9,58 | 45% 17% 38% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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