Premiership·Etapa 28·
Premiership·Etapa 28·Statistici estimate
Goluri
56%
23%
20%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,770,962,72sigur0,80–2,740,10–1,810,90–4,55mai sigur0,55–2,990,00–2,040,42–5,03
Șuturi pe poartă
68%
21%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,343,438,76sigur3,47–7,201,68–5,175,16–12,37mai sigur2,99–7,691,22–5,634,20–13,32
Total șuturi
78%
17%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție15,1710,8125,97sigur11,24–19,097,25–14,3718,49–33,46mai sigur10,15–20,186,29–15,3316,44–35,51
Șuturi din careu
77%
16%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,226,6516,88sigur7,28–13,173,97–9,3411,26–22,50mai sigur6,45–14,003,24–10,079,69–24,07
Șuturi blocate
58%
14%
28%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,433,347,77sigur2,55–6,311,69–5,004,24–11,31mai sigur2,01–6,861,20–5,493,20–12,35
Cornere
63%
26%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,884,3210,20sigur3,67–8,102,31–6,325,99–14,41mai sigur3,10–8,671,78–6,854,88–15,52
Posesie %
73%
23%
gazdeoaspețipredicție55,7344,47sigur48,94–62,5237,68–51,25mai sigur47,27–64,1936,01–52,92
Pase
86%
14%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție504374878sigur437–571307–440744–1011mai sigur418–589290–458708–1047
Precizie pase %
67%
29%
gazdeoaspețipredicție72,7168,87sigur68,68–76,7464,55–73,19mai sigur67,39–78,0363,24–74,50
Faulturi
33%
60%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,8212,4923,31sigur7,99–13,669,54–15,4317,53–29,09mai sigur7,23–14,428,79–16,1816,03–30,60
Ofsaiduri
44%
24%
32%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,621,362,98sigur0,46–2,780,27–2,450,73–5,24mai sigur0,16–3,090,00–2,740,14–5,83
Cartonașe galbene
33%
21%
46%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,802,153,95sigur0,75–2,851,02–3,281,77–6,12mai sigur0,48–3,110,73–3,571,21–6,68
Cartonașe roșii
83%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,080,120,20sigur0,00–0,240,00–0,310,00–0,55mai sigur0,00–0,390,00–0,440,00–0,83
Parade portar
25%
15%
60%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,343,475,81sigur0,91–3,781,91–5,032,82–8,80mai sigur0,52–4,171,49–5,452,01–9,62
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,77 0,80–2,74 0,55–2,99 | 0,96 0,10–1,81 0,00–2,04 | 2,72 0,90–4,55 0,42–5,03 | 56% 23% 20% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 5,34 3,47–7,20 2,99–7,69 | 3,43 1,68–5,17 1,22–5,63 | 8,76 5,16–12,37 4,20–13,32 | 68% 21% |
| Total șuturi | 15,17 11,24–19,09 10,15–20,18 | 10,81 7,25–14,37 6,29–15,33 | 25,97 18,49–33,46 16,44–35,51 | 78% 17% |
| Șuturi din careu | 10,22 7,28–13,17 6,45–14,00 | 6,65 3,97–9,34 3,24–10,07 | 16,88 11,26–22,50 9,69–24,07 | 77% 16% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,43 2,55–6,31 2,01–6,86 | 3,34 1,69–5,00 1,20–5,49 | 7,77 4,24–11,31 3,20–12,35 | 58% 14% 28% |
| Cornere | 5,88 3,67–8,10 3,10–8,67 | 4,32 2,31–6,32 1,78–6,85 | 10,20 5,99–14,41 4,88–15,52 | 63% 26% |
| Posesie % | 55,73 48,94–62,52 47,27–64,19 | 44,47 37,68–51,25 36,01–52,92 | — | 73% 23% |
| Pase | 504 437–571 418–589 | 374 307–440 290–458 | 878 744–1011 708–1047 | 86% 14% |
| Precizie pase % | 72,71 68,68–76,74 67,39–78,03 | 68,87 64,55–73,19 63,24–74,50 | — | 67% 29% |
| Faulturi | 10,82 7,99–13,66 7,23–14,42 | 12,49 9,54–15,43 8,79–16,18 | 23,31 17,53–29,09 16,03–30,60 | 33% 60% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,62 0,46–2,78 0,16–3,09 | 1,36 0,27–2,45 0,00–2,74 | 2,98 0,73–5,24 0,14–5,83 | 44% 24% 32% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,80 0,75–2,85 0,48–3,11 | 2,15 1,02–3,28 0,73–3,57 | 3,95 1,77–6,12 1,21–6,68 | 33% 21% 46% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,08 0,00–0,24 0,00–0,39 | 0,12 0,00–0,31 0,00–0,44 | 0,20 0,00–0,55 0,00–0,83 | 83% |
| Parade portar | 2,34 0,91–3,78 0,52–4,17 | 3,47 1,91–5,03 1,49–5,45 | 5,81 2,82–8,80 2,01–9,62 | 25% 15% 60% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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