Premiership·Etapa 31·
Premiership·Etapa 31·Statistici estimate
Goluri
44%
25%
31%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,551,272,82sigur0,58–2,520,42–2,131,00–4,65mai sigur0,33–2,770,19–2,360,52–5,13
Șuturi pe poartă
48%
13%
38%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,634,258,87sigur2,76–6,492,50–5,995,27–12,48mai sigur2,27–6,982,04–6,454,31–13,43
Total șuturi
52%
40%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,5612,8026,36sigur9,64–17,499,23–16,3618,87–33,85mai sigur8,55–18,588,27–17,3216,82–35,90
Șuturi din careu
51%
40%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție8,668,0816,74sigur5,72–11,605,40–10,7611,11–22,36mai sigur4,89–12,434,66–11,509,55–23,93
Șuturi blocate
39%
14%
46%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,824,087,90sigur1,94–5,702,43–5,734,36–11,43mai sigur1,39–6,241,94–6,233,33–12,47
Cornere
56%
32%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,804,8210,62sigur3,59–8,012,82–6,826,41–14,84mai sigur3,01–8,592,29–7,365,30–15,95
Posesie %
52%
43%
gazdeoaspețipredicție51,4649,41sigur44,67–58,2542,63–56,20mai sigur43,00–59,9240,96–57,87
Pase
62%
38%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție451414866sigur384–519348–481732–999mai sigur366–537330–498696–1035
Precizie pase %
36%
59%
gazdeoaspețipredicție68,0970,37sigur64,06–72,1266,05–74,70mai sigur62,77–73,4164,74–76,01
Faulturi
41%
51%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,7313,3826,11sigur9,89–15,5710,43–16,3220,33–31,89mai sigur9,14–16,329,69–17,0718,82–33,40
Ofsaiduri
53%
22%
25%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,941,253,19sigur0,78–3,100,16–2,350,94–5,44mai sigur0,48–3,400,00–2,640,35–6,03
Cartonașe galbene
31%
20%
48%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,792,244,03sigur0,74–2,841,11–3,371,85–6,21mai sigur0,48–3,110,82–3,661,30–6,77
Cartonașe roșii
84%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,070,120,19sigur0,00–0,230,00–0,300,00–0,53mai sigur0,00–0,380,00–0,440,00–0,82
Parade portar
33%
16%
51%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,633,205,84sigur1,20–4,071,64–4,762,84–8,83mai sigur0,81–4,461,22–5,182,03–9,64
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,55 0,58–2,52 0,33–2,77 | 1,27 0,42–2,13 0,19–2,36 | 2,82 1,00–4,65 0,52–5,13 | 44% 25% 31% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,63 2,76–6,49 2,27–6,98 | 4,25 2,50–5,99 2,04–6,45 | 8,87 5,27–12,48 4,31–13,43 | 48% 13% 38% |
| Total șuturi | 13,56 9,64–17,49 8,55–18,58 | 12,80 9,23–16,36 8,27–17,32 | 26,36 18,87–33,85 16,82–35,90 | 52% 40% |
| Șuturi din careu | 8,66 5,72–11,60 4,89–12,43 | 8,08 5,40–10,76 4,66–11,50 | 16,74 11,11–22,36 9,55–23,93 | 51% 40% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,82 1,94–5,70 1,39–6,24 | 4,08 2,43–5,73 1,94–6,23 | 7,90 4,36–11,43 3,33–12,47 | 39% 14% 46% |
| Cornere | 5,80 3,59–8,01 3,01–8,59 | 4,82 2,82–6,82 2,29–7,36 | 10,62 6,41–14,84 5,30–15,95 | 56% 32% |
| Posesie % | 51,46 44,67–58,25 43,00–59,92 | 49,41 42,63–56,20 40,96–57,87 | — | 52% 43% |
| Pase | 451 384–519 366–537 | 414 348–481 330–498 | 866 732–999 696–1035 | 62% 38% |
| Precizie pase % | 68,09 64,06–72,12 62,77–73,41 | 70,37 66,05–74,70 64,74–76,01 | — | 36% 59% |
| Faulturi | 12,73 9,89–15,57 9,14–16,32 | 13,38 10,43–16,32 9,69–17,07 | 26,11 20,33–31,89 18,82–33,40 | 41% 51% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,94 0,78–3,10 0,48–3,40 | 1,25 0,16–2,35 0,00–2,64 | 3,19 0,94–5,44 0,35–6,03 | 53% 22% 25% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,79 0,74–2,84 0,48–3,11 | 2,24 1,11–3,37 0,82–3,66 | 4,03 1,85–6,21 1,30–6,77 | 31% 20% 48% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,07 0,00–0,23 0,00–0,38 | 0,12 0,00–0,30 0,00–0,44 | 0,19 0,00–0,53 0,00–0,82 | 84% |
| Parade portar | 2,63 1,20–4,07 0,81–4,46 | 3,20 1,64–4,76 1,22–5,18 | 5,84 2,84–8,83 2,03–9,64 | 33% 16% 51% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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