Jupiler Pro League·Etapa 11·
Jupiler Pro League·Etapa 11·Statistici estimate
Goluri
52%
24%
24%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,661,062,72sigur0,69–2,630,20–1,910,90–4,54mai sigur0,44–2,880,00–2,140,42–5,02
Șuturi pe poartă
64%
24%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,523,879,39sigur3,65–7,382,13–5,615,78–13,00mai sigur3,17–7,871,66–6,084,83–13,95
Total șuturi
86%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție16,5410,4727,01sigur12,62–20,476,91–14,0419,53–34,50mai sigur11,52–21,565,95–15,0017,48–36,55
Șuturi din careu
75%
18%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,547,2517,79sigur7,60–13,484,57–9,9312,16–23,41mai sigur6,77–14,313,83–10,6610,60–24,98
Șuturi blocate
61%
26%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,623,297,91sigur2,73–6,501,64–4,944,37–11,44mai sigur2,19–7,041,14–5,433,34–12,48
Cornere
73%
18%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,393,9310,32sigur4,17–8,601,93–5,936,11–14,54mai sigur3,60–9,171,40–6,475,00–15,64
Posesie %
69%
27%
gazdeoaspețipredicție54,7045,22sigur47,91–61,4938,44–52,00mai sigur46,24–63,1636,76–53,68
Pase
83%
17%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție518402920sigur450–585336–469786–1053mai sigur432–603318–486750–1089
Precizie pase %
54%
41%
gazdeoaspețipredicție72,3371,12sigur68,30–76,3666,79–75,44mai sigur67,00–77,6565,49–76,75
Faulturi
49%
42%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,3910,9822,37sigur8,55–14,238,04–13,9316,59–28,16mai sigur7,80–14,987,29–14,6815,09–29,66
Ofsaiduri
43%
22%
35%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,881,693,57sigur0,72–3,040,60–2,781,32–5,82mai sigur0,42–3,340,31–3,070,73–6,41
Cartonașe galbene
35%
22%
43%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,621,813,43sigur0,57–2,670,68–2,931,25–5,61mai sigur0,31–2,940,39–3,230,69–6,17
Cartonașe roșii
88%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,050,080,13sigur0,00–0,210,00–0,260,00–0,48mai sigur0,00–0,360,00–0,400,00–0,76
Parade portar
31%
16%
53%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,803,536,33sigur1,37–4,241,97–5,083,34–9,32mai sigur0,98–4,631,54–5,512,52–10,13
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,66 0,69–2,63 0,44–2,88 | 1,06 0,20–1,91 0,00–2,14 | 2,72 0,90–4,54 0,42–5,02 | 52% 24% 24% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 5,52 3,65–7,38 3,17–7,87 | 3,87 2,13–5,61 1,66–6,08 | 9,39 5,78–13,00 4,83–13,95 | 64% 24% |
| Total șuturi | 16,54 12,62–20,47 11,52–21,56 | 10,47 6,91–14,04 5,95–15,00 | 27,01 19,53–34,50 17,48–36,55 | 86% |
| Șuturi din careu | 10,54 7,60–13,48 6,77–14,31 | 7,25 4,57–9,93 3,83–10,66 | 17,79 12,16–23,41 10,60–24,98 | 75% 18% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,62 2,73–6,50 2,19–7,04 | 3,29 1,64–4,94 1,14–5,43 | 7,91 4,37–11,44 3,34–12,48 | 61% 26% |
| Cornere | 6,39 4,17–8,60 3,60–9,17 | 3,93 1,93–5,93 1,40–6,47 | 10,32 6,11–14,54 5,00–15,64 | 73% 18% |
| Posesie % | 54,70 47,91–61,49 46,24–63,16 | 45,22 38,44–52,00 36,76–53,68 | — | 69% 27% |
| Pase | 518 450–585 432–603 | 402 336–469 318–486 | 920 786–1053 750–1089 | 83% 17% |
| Precizie pase % | 72,33 68,30–76,36 67,00–77,65 | 71,12 66,79–75,44 65,49–76,75 | — | 54% 41% |
| Faulturi | 11,39 8,55–14,23 7,80–14,98 | 10,98 8,04–13,93 7,29–14,68 | 22,37 16,59–28,16 15,09–29,66 | 49% 42% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,88 0,72–3,04 0,42–3,34 | 1,69 0,60–2,78 0,31–3,07 | 3,57 1,32–5,82 0,73–6,41 | 43% 22% 35% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,62 0,57–2,67 0,31–2,94 | 1,81 0,68–2,93 0,39–3,23 | 3,43 1,25–5,61 0,69–6,17 | 35% 22% 43% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,05 0,00–0,21 0,00–0,36 | 0,08 0,00–0,26 0,00–0,40 | 0,13 0,00–0,48 0,00–0,76 | 88% |
| Parade portar | 2,80 1,37–4,24 0,98–4,63 | 3,53 1,97–5,08 1,54–5,51 | 6,33 3,34–9,32 2,52–10,13 | 31% 16% 53% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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