Jupiler Pro League·Etapa 32·
Jupiler Pro League·Etapa 32·Statistici estimate
Goluri
33%
24%
43%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,371,602,97sigur0,40–2,340,75–2,461,15–4,79mai sigur0,15–2,590,52–2,680,67–5,27
Șuturi pe poartă
40%
13%
47%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,634,929,55sigur2,77–6,493,18–6,665,95–13,16mai sigur2,28–6,982,71–7,134,99–14,12
Total șuturi
49%
44%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,8113,4727,28sigur9,88–17,739,91–17,0419,80–34,77mai sigur8,79–18,838,95–18,0017,75–36,82
Șuturi din careu
41%
50%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție8,789,2818,06sigur5,83–11,726,60–11,9612,43–23,68mai sigur5,00–12,555,86–12,7010,87–25,25
Șuturi blocate
44%
15%
41%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,703,617,31sigur1,82–5,591,95–5,263,78–10,85mai sigur1,28–6,131,46–5,752,74–11,88
Cornere
45%
42%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,395,2710,66sigur3,18–7,603,27–7,276,44–14,87mai sigur2,60–8,182,73–7,805,34–15,98
Posesie %
37%
59%
gazdeoaspețipredicție47,4752,31sigur40,68–54,2645,53–59,10mai sigur39,01–55,9343,85–60,77
Pase
34%
66%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție434484918sigur367–501418–551785–1052mai sigur349–519400–568749–1088
Precizie pase %
18%
78%
gazdeoaspețipredicție68,3874,97sigur64,35–72,4170,64–79,29mai sigur63,06–73,7169,33–80,60
Faulturi
30%
62%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,0511,9622,01sigur7,21–12,899,01–14,9016,23–27,79mai sigur6,46–13,658,27–15,6514,72–29,30
Ofsaiduri
45%
21%
34%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,061,803,86sigur0,90–3,220,70–2,891,61–6,12mai sigur0,60–3,530,42–3,181,02–6,71
Cartonașe galbene
36%
22%
42%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,721,883,60sigur0,67–2,770,75–3,011,42–5,78mai sigur0,40–3,030,46–3,300,86–6,33
Cartonașe roșii
83%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,080,110,20sigur0,00–0,240,00–0,300,00–0,54mai sigur0,00–0,390,00–0,430,00–0,83
Parade portar
43%
16%
41%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,233,156,38sigur1,80–4,671,60–4,713,39–9,38mai sigur1,41–5,061,17–5,132,58–10,19
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,37 0,40–2,34 0,15–2,59 | 1,60 0,75–2,46 0,52–2,68 | 2,97 1,15–4,79 0,67–5,27 | 33% 24% 43% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,63 2,77–6,49 2,28–6,98 | 4,92 3,18–6,66 2,71–7,13 | 9,55 5,95–13,16 4,99–14,12 | 40% 13% 47% |
| Total șuturi | 13,81 9,88–17,73 8,79–18,83 | 13,47 9,91–17,04 8,95–18,00 | 27,28 19,80–34,77 17,75–36,82 | 49% 44% |
| Șuturi din careu | 8,78 5,83–11,72 5,00–12,55 | 9,28 6,60–11,96 5,86–12,70 | 18,06 12,43–23,68 10,87–25,25 | 41% 50% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,70 1,82–5,59 1,28–6,13 | 3,61 1,95–5,26 1,46–5,75 | 7,31 3,78–10,85 2,74–11,88 | 44% 15% 41% |
| Cornere | 5,39 3,18–7,60 2,60–8,18 | 5,27 3,27–7,27 2,73–7,80 | 10,66 6,44–14,87 5,34–15,98 | 45% 42% |
| Posesie % | 47,47 40,68–54,26 39,01–55,93 | 52,31 45,53–59,10 43,85–60,77 | — | 37% 59% |
| Pase | 434 367–501 349–519 | 484 418–551 400–568 | 918 785–1052 749–1088 | 34% 66% |
| Precizie pase % | 68,38 64,35–72,41 63,06–73,71 | 74,97 70,64–79,29 69,33–80,60 | — | 18% 78% |
| Faulturi | 10,05 7,21–12,89 6,46–13,65 | 11,96 9,01–14,90 8,27–15,65 | 22,01 16,23–27,79 14,72–29,30 | 30% 62% |
| Ofsaiduri | 2,06 0,90–3,22 0,60–3,53 | 1,80 0,70–2,89 0,42–3,18 | 3,86 1,61–6,12 1,02–6,71 | 45% 21% 34% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,72 0,67–2,77 0,40–3,03 | 1,88 0,75–3,01 0,46–3,30 | 3,60 1,42–5,78 0,86–6,33 | 36% 22% 42% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,08 0,00–0,24 0,00–0,39 | 0,11 0,00–0,30 0,00–0,43 | 0,20 0,00–0,54 0,00–0,83 | 83% |
| Parade portar | 3,23 1,80–4,67 1,41–5,06 | 3,15 1,60–4,71 1,17–5,13 | 6,38 3,39–9,38 2,58–10,19 | 43% 16% 41% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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