Premier League·Etapa 11·
Premier League·Etapa 11·Statistici estimate
Goluri
21%
24%
55%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,931,692,63sigur0,00–1,900,84–2,550,80–4,45mai sigur0,00–2,150,61–2,780,33–4,93
Șuturi pe poartă
24%
65%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,745,389,12sigur1,87–5,603,64–7,125,51–12,72mai sigur1,38–6,093,17–7,594,56–13,68
Total șuturi
25%
68%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,3515,3327,68sigur8,43–16,2811,76–18,8920,19–35,17mai sigur7,34–17,3710,80–19,8518,14–37,22
Șuturi din careu
18%
75%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,8310,0516,88sigur3,88–9,777,37–12,7411,26–22,50mai sigur3,05–10,606,64–13,479,69–24,07
Șuturi blocate
27%
15%
58%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,813,836,64sigur0,92–4,692,18–5,483,10–10,17mai sigur0,38–5,231,69–5,982,06–11,21
Cornere
30%
58%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,035,159,18sigur1,82–6,243,15–7,154,96–13,39mai sigur1,24–6,822,61–7,683,86–14,50
Posesie %
15%
83%
gazdeoaspețipredicție41,5358,37sigur34,74–48,3251,59–65,16mai sigur33,07–49,9949,92–66,83
Pase
13%
86%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție351483834sigur284–418417–549700–968mai sigur265–436399–567665–1003
Precizie pase %
94%
gazdeoaspețipredicție64,7977,22sigur60,76–68,8272,90–81,54mai sigur59,47–70,1271,59–82,85
Faulturi
61%
32%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție16,1314,0930,22sigur13,29–18,9711,14–17,0324,44–36,00mai sigur12,54–19,7210,40–17,7822,93–37,51
Ofsaiduri
43%
20%
37%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,222,054,26sigur1,06–3,380,95–3,142,01–6,52mai sigur0,75–3,680,66–3,431,42–7,11
Cartonașe galbene
52%
17%
31%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,112,475,58sigur2,06–4,161,34–3,603,40–7,76mai sigur1,80–4,431,05–3,892,85–8,32
Cartonașe roșii
19%
71%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,240,140,38sigur0,08–0,400,00–0,320,03–0,72mai sigur0,00–0,550,00–0,460,00–1,01
Parade portar
56%
15%
29%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,542,676,21sigur2,10–4,981,11–4,233,22–9,20mai sigur1,72–5,360,69–4,652,41–10,02
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 0,93 0,00–1,90 0,00–2,15 | 1,69 0,84–2,55 0,61–2,78 | 2,63 0,80–4,45 0,33–4,93 | 21% 24% 55% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 3,74 1,87–5,60 1,38–6,09 | 5,38 3,64–7,12 3,17–7,59 | 9,12 5,51–12,72 4,56–13,68 | 24% 65% |
| Total șuturi | 12,35 8,43–16,28 7,34–17,37 | 15,33 11,76–18,89 10,80–19,85 | 27,68 20,19–35,17 18,14–37,22 | 25% 68% |
| Șuturi din careu | 6,83 3,88–9,77 3,05–10,60 | 10,05 7,37–12,74 6,64–13,47 | 16,88 11,26–22,50 9,69–24,07 | 18% 75% |
| Șuturi blocate | 2,81 0,92–4,69 0,38–5,23 | 3,83 2,18–5,48 1,69–5,98 | 6,64 3,10–10,17 2,06–11,21 | 27% 15% 58% |
| Cornere | 4,03 1,82–6,24 1,24–6,82 | 5,15 3,15–7,15 2,61–7,68 | 9,18 4,96–13,39 3,86–14,50 | 30% 58% |
| Posesie % | 41,53 34,74–48,32 33,07–49,99 | 58,37 51,59–65,16 49,92–66,83 | — | 15% 83% |
| Pase | 351 284–418 265–436 | 483 417–549 399–567 | 834 700–968 665–1003 | 13% 86% |
| Precizie pase % | 64,79 60,76–68,82 59,47–70,12 | 77,22 72,90–81,54 71,59–82,85 | — | 94% |
| Faulturi | 16,13 13,29–18,97 12,54–19,72 | 14,09 11,14–17,03 10,40–17,78 | 30,22 24,44–36,00 22,93–37,51 | 61% 32% |
| Ofsaiduri | 2,22 1,06–3,38 0,75–3,68 | 2,05 0,95–3,14 0,66–3,43 | 4,26 2,01–6,52 1,42–7,11 | 43% 20% 37% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 3,11 2,06–4,16 1,80–4,43 | 2,47 1,34–3,60 1,05–3,89 | 5,58 3,40–7,76 2,85–8,32 | 52% 17% 31% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,24 0,08–0,40 0,00–0,55 | 0,14 0,00–0,32 0,00–0,46 | 0,38 0,03–0,72 0,00–1,01 | 19% 71% |
| Parade portar | 3,54 2,10–4,98 1,72–5,36 | 2,67 1,11–4,23 0,69–4,65 | 6,21 3,22–9,20 2,41–10,02 | 56% 15% 29% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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