Premier League·Etapa 30·
Premier League·Etapa 30·Statistici estimate
Goluri
71%
18%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,310,833,14sigur1,34–3,280,00–1,681,32–4,96mai sigur1,09–3,530,00–1,910,84–5,44
Șuturi pe poartă
81%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,573,339,91sigur4,71–8,431,59–5,086,30–13,51mai sigur4,22–8,921,13–5,545,35–14,47
Total șuturi
91%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție17,539,9627,49sigur13,61–21,466,40–13,5220,01–34,98mai sigur12,52–22,555,44–14,4817,96–37,03
Șuturi din careu
89%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,006,2418,25sigur9,06–14,953,56–8,9212,62–23,87mai sigur8,23–15,772,82–9,6611,06–25,44
Șuturi blocate
72%
17%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,382,396,78sigur2,50–6,260,74–4,053,24–10,31mai sigur1,95–6,810,25–4,542,20–11,35
Cornere
76%
15%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,183,519,69sigur3,97–8,391,51–5,515,48–13,91mai sigur3,39–8,970,98–6,054,37–15,01
Posesie %
87%
gazdeoaspețipredicție60,1440,35sigur53,35–66,9333,56–47,13mai sigur51,68–68,6031,89–48,80
Pase
94%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție536353889sigur469–603286–419755–1022mai sigur450–621269–437719–1058
Precizie pase %
84%
13%
gazdeoaspețipredicție78,0069,94sigur73,97–82,0365,61–74,26mai sigur72,68–83,3264,30–75,57
Faulturi
28%
65%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,7215,2727,99sigur9,88–15,5612,32–18,2122,20–33,77mai sigur9,12–16,3111,57–18,9620,70–35,27
Ofsaiduri
37%
20%
43%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,992,144,13sigur0,83–3,151,05–3,231,87–6,38mai sigur0,53–3,450,76–3,521,29–6,97
Cartonașe galbene
23%
17%
60%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,802,874,67sigur0,75–2,851,74–4,002,50–6,85mai sigur0,49–3,121,45–4,291,94–7,41
Cartonașe roșii
77%
15%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,100,180,28sigur0,00–0,260,00–0,360,00–0,62mai sigur0,00–0,410,00–0,500,00–0,91
Parade portar
18%
70%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,424,276,69sigur0,98–3,862,71–5,823,69–9,68mai sigur0,60–4,242,28–6,252,88–10,49
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 2,31 1,34–3,28 1,09–3,53 | 0,83 0,00–1,68 0,00–1,91 | 3,14 1,32–4,96 0,84–5,44 | 71% 18% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 6,57 4,71–8,43 4,22–8,92 | 3,33 1,59–5,08 1,13–5,54 | 9,91 6,30–13,51 5,35–14,47 | 81% |
| Total șuturi | 17,53 13,61–21,46 12,52–22,55 | 9,96 6,40–13,52 5,44–14,48 | 27,49 20,01–34,98 17,96–37,03 | 91% |
| Șuturi din careu | 12,00 9,06–14,95 8,23–15,77 | 6,24 3,56–8,92 2,82–9,66 | 18,25 12,62–23,87 11,06–25,44 | 89% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,38 2,50–6,26 1,95–6,81 | 2,39 0,74–4,05 0,25–4,54 | 6,78 3,24–10,31 2,20–11,35 | 72% 17% |
| Cornere | 6,18 3,97–8,39 3,39–8,97 | 3,51 1,51–5,51 0,98–6,05 | 9,69 5,48–13,91 4,37–15,01 | 76% 15% |
| Posesie % | 60,14 53,35–66,93 51,68–68,60 | 40,35 33,56–47,13 31,89–48,80 | — | 87% |
| Pase | 536 469–603 450–621 | 353 286–419 269–437 | 889 755–1022 719–1058 | 94% |
| Precizie pase % | 78,00 73,97–82,03 72,68–83,32 | 69,94 65,61–74,26 64,30–75,57 | — | 84% 13% |
| Faulturi | 12,72 9,88–15,56 9,12–16,31 | 15,27 12,32–18,21 11,57–18,96 | 27,99 22,20–33,77 20,70–35,27 | 28% 65% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,99 0,83–3,15 0,53–3,45 | 2,14 1,05–3,23 0,76–3,52 | 4,13 1,87–6,38 1,29–6,97 | 37% 20% 43% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,80 0,75–2,85 0,49–3,12 | 2,87 1,74–4,00 1,45–4,29 | 4,67 2,50–6,85 1,94–7,41 | 23% 17% 60% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,10 0,00–0,26 0,00–0,41 | 0,18 0,00–0,36 0,00–0,50 | 0,28 0,00–0,62 0,00–0,91 | 77% 15% |
| Parade portar | 2,42 0,98–3,86 0,60–4,24 | 4,27 2,71–5,82 2,28–6,25 | 6,69 3,69–9,68 2,88–10,49 | 18% 70% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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