Premier League·Etapa 12·
Premier League·Etapa 12·Statistici estimate
Goluri
36%
27%
36%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,221,222,44sigur0,25–2,190,37–2,080,62–4,26mai sigur0,00–2,440,14–2,300,14–4,74
Șuturi pe poartă
38%
14%
49%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,944,348,28sigur2,07–5,802,60–6,084,67–11,88mai sigur1,58–6,292,13–6,553,72–12,84
Total șuturi
40%
52%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,0812,8324,91sigur8,16–16,019,27–16,3917,42–32,40mai sigur7,07–17,108,31–17,3515,37–34,45
Șuturi din careu
41%
49%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție7,908,3216,21sigur4,95–10,845,64–11,0010,59–21,84mai sigur4,12–11,674,90–11,749,02–23,41
Șuturi blocate
36%
16%
48%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,163,566,72sigur1,28–5,041,91–5,223,19–10,26mai sigur0,73–5,581,42–5,712,15–11,29
Cornere
46%
13%
41%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,924,699,61sigur2,71–7,132,69–6,695,39–13,82mai sigur2,13–7,712,15–7,224,29–14,93
Posesie %
42%
53%
gazdeoaspețipredicție48,9551,27sigur42,16–55,7444,48–58,05mai sigur40,49–57,4142,81–59,72
Pase
41%
58%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție419445864sigur352–487379–512731–998mai sigur334–505361–529695–1034
Precizie pase %
21%
75%
gazdeoaspețipredicție64,5970,27sigur60,56–68,6265,95–74,59mai sigur59,27–69,9164,64–75,90
Faulturi
50%
43%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție14,5914,0928,68sigur11,75–17,4311,15–17,0322,90–34,46mai sigur10,99–18,1810,40–17,7821,39–35,97
Ofsaiduri
46%
23%
31%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,751,393,15sigur0,59–2,910,30–2,480,89–5,40mai sigur0,29–3,220,01–2,770,30–5,99
Cartonașe galbene
42%
19%
39%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,372,304,67sigur1,32–3,421,17–3,432,49–6,85mai sigur1,05–3,680,88–3,721,94–7,41
Cartonașe roșii
80%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,100,130,23sigur0,00–0,260,00–0,320,00–0,58mai sigur0,00–0,410,00–0,450,00–0,86
Parade portar
46%
17%
37%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,082,815,90sigur1,65–4,521,26–4,372,91–8,89mai sigur1,26–4,910,83–4,802,09–9,70
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,22 0,25–2,19 0,00–2,44 | 1,22 0,37–2,08 0,14–2,30 | 2,44 0,62–4,26 0,14–4,74 | 36% 27% 36% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 3,94 2,07–5,80 1,58–6,29 | 4,34 2,60–6,08 2,13–6,55 | 8,28 4,67–11,88 3,72–12,84 | 38% 14% 49% |
| Total șuturi | 12,08 8,16–16,01 7,07–17,10 | 12,83 9,27–16,39 8,31–17,35 | 24,91 17,42–32,40 15,37–34,45 | 40% 52% |
| Șuturi din careu | 7,90 4,95–10,84 4,12–11,67 | 8,32 5,64–11,00 4,90–11,74 | 16,21 10,59–21,84 9,02–23,41 | 41% 49% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,16 1,28–5,04 0,73–5,58 | 3,56 1,91–5,22 1,42–5,71 | 6,72 3,19–10,26 2,15–11,29 | 36% 16% 48% |
| Cornere | 4,92 2,71–7,13 2,13–7,71 | 4,69 2,69–6,69 2,15–7,22 | 9,61 5,39–13,82 4,29–14,93 | 46% 13% 41% |
| Posesie % | 48,95 42,16–55,74 40,49–57,41 | 51,27 44,48–58,05 42,81–59,72 | — | 42% 53% |
| Pase | 419 352–487 334–505 | 445 379–512 361–529 | 864 731–998 695–1034 | 41% 58% |
| Precizie pase % | 64,59 60,56–68,62 59,27–69,91 | 70,27 65,95–74,59 64,64–75,90 | — | 21% 75% |
| Faulturi | 14,59 11,75–17,43 10,99–18,18 | 14,09 11,15–17,03 10,40–17,78 | 28,68 22,90–34,46 21,39–35,97 | 50% 43% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,75 0,59–2,91 0,29–3,22 | 1,39 0,30–2,48 0,01–2,77 | 3,15 0,89–5,40 0,30–5,99 | 46% 23% 31% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 2,37 1,32–3,42 1,05–3,68 | 2,30 1,17–3,43 0,88–3,72 | 4,67 2,49–6,85 1,94–7,41 | 42% 19% 39% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,10 0,00–0,26 0,00–0,41 | 0,13 0,00–0,32 0,00–0,45 | 0,23 0,00–0,58 0,00–0,86 | 80% |
| Parade portar | 3,08 1,65–4,52 1,26–4,91 | 2,81 1,26–4,37 0,83–4,80 | 5,90 2,91–8,89 2,09–9,70 | 46% 17% 37% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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