Premier League·Etapa 27·
Premier League·Etapa 27·Statistici estimate
Goluri
48%
26%
26%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,521,042,56sigur0,55–2,480,19–1,900,73–4,38mai sigur0,30–2,730,00–2,120,25–4,86
Șuturi pe poartă
63%
25%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,123,628,73sigur3,25–6,981,87–5,365,13–12,34mai sigur2,76–7,471,41–5,824,17–13,29
Total șuturi
82%
13%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție15,5910,4426,03sigur11,66–19,516,87–14,0018,54–33,51mai sigur10,57–20,615,91–14,9616,49–35,56
Șuturi din careu
72%
21%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție9,606,7916,39sigur6,66–12,544,11–9,4710,77–22,01mai sigur5,83–13,373,37–10,219,20–23,58
Șuturi blocate
64%
14%
22%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,002,566,56sigur2,11–5,880,91–4,223,02–10,09mai sigur1,57–6,420,42–4,711,99–11,13
Cornere
61%
27%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,744,3410,08sigur3,53–7,952,34–6,345,86–14,29mai sigur2,95–8,531,81–6,874,76–15,40
Posesie %
58%
37%
gazdeoaspețipredicție51,7447,27sigur44,95–58,5340,49–54,06mai sigur43,28–60,2038,82–55,73
Pase
73%
27%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție468394863sigur401–536328–461729–996mai sigur383–554310–478693–1032
Precizie pase %
46%
49%
gazdeoaspețipredicție68,3568,59sigur64,32–72,3864,26–72,91mai sigur63,03–73,6762,95–74,22
Faulturi
35%
57%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,7315,2428,97sigur10,89–16,5712,30–18,1923,19–34,75mai sigur10,14–17,3211,55–18,9321,68–36,26
Ofsaiduri
34%
23%
44%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,571,813,38sigur0,41–2,730,72–2,901,13–5,64mai sigur0,11–3,030,43–3,190,54–6,22
Cartonașe galbene
30%
19%
51%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,892,454,34sigur0,84–2,941,33–3,582,16–6,52mai sigur0,57–3,201,03–3,871,61–7,08
Cartonașe roșii
80%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,090,140,24sigur0,00–0,250,00–0,330,00–0,58mai sigur0,00–0,400,00–0,460,00–0,87
Parade portar
29%
16%
55%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,503,335,84sigur1,07–3,941,78–4,892,84–8,83mai sigur0,68–4,331,35–5,312,03–9,64
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,52 0,55–2,48 0,30–2,73 | 1,04 0,19–1,90 0,00–2,12 | 2,56 0,73–4,38 0,25–4,86 | 48% 26% 26% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 5,12 3,25–6,98 2,76–7,47 | 3,62 1,87–5,36 1,41–5,82 | 8,73 5,13–12,34 4,17–13,29 | 63% 25% |
| Total șuturi | 15,59 11,66–19,51 10,57–20,61 | 10,44 6,87–14,00 5,91–14,96 | 26,03 18,54–33,51 16,49–35,56 | 82% 13% |
| Șuturi din careu | 9,60 6,66–12,54 5,83–13,37 | 6,79 4,11–9,47 3,37–10,21 | 16,39 10,77–22,01 9,20–23,58 | 72% 21% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,00 2,11–5,88 1,57–6,42 | 2,56 0,91–4,22 0,42–4,71 | 6,56 3,02–10,09 1,99–11,13 | 64% 14% 22% |
| Cornere | 5,74 3,53–7,95 2,95–8,53 | 4,34 2,34–6,34 1,81–6,87 | 10,08 5,86–14,29 4,76–15,40 | 61% 27% |
| Posesie % | 51,74 44,95–58,53 43,28–60,20 | 47,27 40,49–54,06 38,82–55,73 | — | 58% 37% |
| Pase | 468 401–536 383–554 | 394 328–461 310–478 | 863 729–996 693–1032 | 73% 27% |
| Precizie pase % | 68,35 64,32–72,38 63,03–73,67 | 68,59 64,26–72,91 62,95–74,22 | — | 46% 49% |
| Faulturi | 13,73 10,89–16,57 10,14–17,32 | 15,24 12,30–18,19 11,55–18,93 | 28,97 23,19–34,75 21,68–36,26 | 35% 57% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,57 0,41–2,73 0,11–3,03 | 1,81 0,72–2,90 0,43–3,19 | 3,38 1,13–5,64 0,54–6,22 | 34% 23% 44% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,89 0,84–2,94 0,57–3,20 | 2,45 1,33–3,58 1,03–3,87 | 4,34 2,16–6,52 1,61–7,08 | 30% 19% 51% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,09 0,00–0,25 0,00–0,40 | 0,14 0,00–0,33 0,00–0,46 | 0,24 0,00–0,58 0,00–0,87 | 80% |
| Parade portar | 2,50 1,07–3,94 0,68–4,33 | 3,33 1,78–4,89 1,35–5,31 | 5,84 2,84–8,83 2,03–9,64 | 29% 16% 55% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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