Bundesliga·Etapa 8·
Bundesliga·Etapa 8·Statistici estimate
Goluri
51%
24%
25%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,731,152,89sigur0,77–2,700,30–2,011,07–4,71mai sigur0,52–2,950,07–2,240,59–5,19
Șuturi pe poartă
61%
26%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,253,869,12sigur3,39–7,122,12–5,615,51–12,72mai sigur2,90–7,611,65–6,074,56–13,68
Total șuturi
62%
31%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,8211,8325,65sigur9,90–17,758,27–15,3918,17–33,14mai sigur8,81–18,847,31–16,3516,12–35,19
Șuturi din careu
64%
27%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție9,447,4516,89sigur6,50–12,384,77–10,1311,27–22,51mai sigur5,67–13,214,03–10,879,70–24,08
Șuturi blocate
47%
16%
37%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,383,056,43sigur1,50–5,271,39–4,702,89–9,97mai sigur0,96–5,810,90–5,191,86–11,00
Cornere
52%
36%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,604,9110,50sigur3,38–7,812,91–6,916,29–14,72mai sigur2,81–8,382,37–7,445,18–15,82
Posesie %
60%
35%
gazdeoaspețipredicție53,1447,85sigur46,35–59,9341,06–54,63mai sigur44,68–61,6039,39–56,30
Pase
70%
30%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție457394850sigur389–524327–460717–984mai sigur371–542310–478681–1020
Precizie pase %
52%
43%
gazdeoaspețipredicție70,2469,41sigur66,21–74,2765,09–73,74mai sigur64,92–75,5663,78–75,05
Faulturi
54%
38%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,7810,8422,62sigur8,94–14,627,89–13,7816,84–28,40mai sigur8,19–15,377,14–14,5315,33–29,90
Ofsaiduri
69%
16%
15%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,751,264,01sigur1,59–3,910,17–2,361,76–6,27mai sigur1,29–4,210,00–2,651,17–6,86
Cartonașe galbene
36%
22%
42%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,671,833,51sigur0,63–2,720,70–2,961,33–5,69mai sigur0,36–2,990,41–3,250,77–6,24
Cartonașe roșii
83%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,100,110,20sigur0,00–0,260,00–0,290,00–0,55mai sigur0,00–0,410,00–0,430,00–0,83
Parade portar
32%
16%
53%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,723,396,11sigur1,28–4,151,83–4,953,11–9,10mai sigur0,89–4,541,41–5,372,30–9,91
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,73 0,77–2,70 0,52–2,95 | 1,15 0,30–2,01 0,07–2,24 | 2,89 1,07–4,71 0,59–5,19 | 51% 24% 25% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 5,25 3,39–7,12 2,90–7,61 | 3,86 2,12–5,61 1,65–6,07 | 9,12 5,51–12,72 4,56–13,68 | 61% 26% |
| Total șuturi | 13,82 9,90–17,75 8,81–18,84 | 11,83 8,27–15,39 7,31–16,35 | 25,65 18,17–33,14 16,12–35,19 | 62% 31% |
| Șuturi din careu | 9,44 6,50–12,38 5,67–13,21 | 7,45 4,77–10,13 4,03–10,87 | 16,89 11,27–22,51 9,70–24,08 | 64% 27% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,38 1,50–5,27 0,96–5,81 | 3,05 1,39–4,70 0,90–5,19 | 6,43 2,89–9,97 1,86–11,00 | 47% 16% 37% |
| Cornere | 5,60 3,38–7,81 2,81–8,38 | 4,91 2,91–6,91 2,37–7,44 | 10,50 6,29–14,72 5,18–15,82 | 52% 36% |
| Posesie % | 53,14 46,35–59,93 44,68–61,60 | 47,85 41,06–54,63 39,39–56,30 | — | 60% 35% |
| Pase | 457 389–524 371–542 | 394 327–460 310–478 | 850 717–984 681–1020 | 70% 30% |
| Precizie pase % | 70,24 66,21–74,27 64,92–75,56 | 69,41 65,09–73,74 63,78–75,05 | — | 52% 43% |
| Faulturi | 11,78 8,94–14,62 8,19–15,37 | 10,84 7,89–13,78 7,14–14,53 | 22,62 16,84–28,40 15,33–29,90 | 54% 38% |
| Ofsaiduri | 2,75 1,59–3,91 1,29–4,21 | 1,26 0,17–2,36 0,00–2,65 | 4,01 1,76–6,27 1,17–6,86 | 69% 16% 15% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,67 0,63–2,72 0,36–2,99 | 1,83 0,70–2,96 0,41–3,25 | 3,51 1,33–5,69 0,77–6,24 | 36% 22% 42% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,10 0,00–0,26 0,00–0,41 | 0,11 0,00–0,29 0,00–0,43 | 0,20 0,00–0,55 0,00–0,83 | 83% |
| Parade portar | 2,72 1,28–4,15 0,89–4,54 | 3,39 1,83–4,95 1,41–5,37 | 6,11 3,11–9,10 2,30–9,91 | 32% 16% 53% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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