Bundesliga·Etapa 16·
Bundesliga·Etapa 16·Statistici estimate
Goluri
35%
25%
39%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,341,442,78sigur0,37–2,310,58–2,290,96–4,60mai sigur0,12–2,560,35–2,520,48–5,08
Șuturi pe poartă
49%
14%
38%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,534,128,65sigur2,67–6,392,38–5,865,05–12,26mai sigur2,18–6,881,91–6,334,09–13,21
Total șuturi
61%
32%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție14,2312,3026,54sigur10,31–18,168,74–15,8719,05–34,03mai sigur9,22–19,257,78–16,8317,00–36,08
Șuturi din careu
51%
39%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție8,257,5915,84sigur5,31–11,194,91–10,2710,22–21,46mai sigur4,48–12,024,18–11,018,65–23,03
Șuturi blocate
50%
16%
34%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,522,986,50sigur1,64–5,401,33–4,632,96–10,04mai sigur1,09–5,950,83–5,121,93–11,07
Cornere
57%
31%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,644,5910,23sigur3,43–7,862,59–6,596,01–14,44mai sigur2,86–8,432,05–7,124,91–15,55
Posesie %
43%
52%
gazdeoaspețipredicție48,4550,48sigur41,66–55,2443,69–57,26mai sigur39,99–56,9142,02–58,93
Pase
44%
56%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție405423828sigur337–472356–489694–961mai sigur319–490339–507658–997
Precizie pase %
29%
66%
gazdeoaspețipredicție66,6770,42sigur62,64–70,7066,09–74,74mai sigur61,35–71,9964,78–76,05
Faulturi
35%
57%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,7011,9922,68sigur7,86–13,539,04–14,9316,90–28,47mai sigur7,10–14,298,29–15,6815,40–29,97
Ofsaiduri
17%
17%
66%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,362,734,09sigur0,20–2,521,64–3,831,84–6,35mai sigur0,00–2,821,35–4,111,25–6,94
Cartonașe galbene
33%
21%
46%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,692,013,70sigur0,64–2,740,88–3,141,52–5,88mai sigur0,38–3,010,59–3,430,97–6,44
Cartonașe roșii
83%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,100,100,19sigur0,00–0,260,00–0,280,00–0,54mai sigur0,00–0,410,00–0,420,00–0,82
Parade portar
33%
17%
50%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,633,155,78sigur1,20–4,071,59–4,712,79–8,77mai sigur0,81–4,461,17–5,131,98–9,59
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,34 0,37–2,31 0,12–2,56 | 1,44 0,58–2,29 0,35–2,52 | 2,78 0,96–4,60 0,48–5,08 | 35% 25% 39% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,53 2,67–6,39 2,18–6,88 | 4,12 2,38–5,86 1,91–6,33 | 8,65 5,05–12,26 4,09–13,21 | 49% 14% 38% |
| Total șuturi | 14,23 10,31–18,16 9,22–19,25 | 12,30 8,74–15,87 7,78–16,83 | 26,54 19,05–34,03 17,00–36,08 | 61% 32% |
| Șuturi din careu | 8,25 5,31–11,19 4,48–12,02 | 7,59 4,91–10,27 4,18–11,01 | 15,84 10,22–21,46 8,65–23,03 | 51% 39% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,52 1,64–5,40 1,09–5,95 | 2,98 1,33–4,63 0,83–5,12 | 6,50 2,96–10,04 1,93–11,07 | 50% 16% 34% |
| Cornere | 5,64 3,43–7,86 2,86–8,43 | 4,59 2,59–6,59 2,05–7,12 | 10,23 6,01–14,44 4,91–15,55 | 57% 31% |
| Posesie % | 48,45 41,66–55,24 39,99–56,91 | 50,48 43,69–57,26 42,02–58,93 | — | 43% 52% |
| Pase | 405 337–472 319–490 | 423 356–489 339–507 | 828 694–961 658–997 | 44% 56% |
| Precizie pase % | 66,67 62,64–70,70 61,35–71,99 | 70,42 66,09–74,74 64,78–76,05 | — | 29% 66% |
| Faulturi | 10,70 7,86–13,53 7,10–14,29 | 11,99 9,04–14,93 8,29–15,68 | 22,68 16,90–28,47 15,40–29,97 | 35% 57% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,36 0,20–2,52 0,00–2,82 | 2,73 1,64–3,83 1,35–4,11 | 4,09 1,84–6,35 1,25–6,94 | 17% 17% 66% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,69 0,64–2,74 0,38–3,01 | 2,01 0,88–3,14 0,59–3,43 | 3,70 1,52–5,88 0,97–6,44 | 33% 21% 46% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,10 0,00–0,26 0,00–0,41 | 0,10 0,00–0,28 0,00–0,42 | 0,19 0,00–0,54 0,00–0,82 | 83% |
| Parade portar | 2,63 1,20–4,07 0,81–4,46 | 3,15 1,59–4,71 1,17–5,13 | 5,78 2,79–8,77 1,98–9,59 | 33% 17% 50% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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