Bundesliga·Etapa 9·
Bundesliga·Etapa 9·Statistici estimate
Goluri
49%
25%
27%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,621,132,76sigur0,65–2,590,28–1,990,93–4,58mai sigur0,40–2,840,05–2,220,45–5,06
Șuturi pe poartă
64%
24%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,593,979,56sigur3,73–7,462,23–5,715,96–13,17mai sigur3,24–7,951,76–6,185,00–14,12
Total șuturi
82%
13%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție16,6511,2727,92sigur12,72–20,577,71–14,8420,43–35,41mai sigur11,63–21,666,75–15,8018,38–37,46
Șuturi din careu
73%
19%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,347,2517,59sigur7,40–13,294,57–9,9311,97–23,22mai sigur6,57–14,113,83–10,6710,40–24,78
Șuturi blocate
67%
20%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,622,897,51sigur2,74–6,501,24–4,543,98–11,05mai sigur2,19–7,050,75–5,042,94–12,08
Cornere
70%
20%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,274,0710,34sigur4,06–8,492,07–6,076,13–14,56mai sigur3,49–9,061,54–6,605,02–15,66
Posesie %
75%
21%
gazdeoaspețipredicție56,2743,87sigur49,48–63,0637,09–50,66mai sigur47,81–64,7335,41–52,33
Pase
84%
16%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție446325771sigur379–513259–392637–905mai sigur360–531241–409601–940
Precizie pase %
70%
26%
gazdeoaspețipredicție68,3363,75sigur64,30–72,3659,43–68,08mai sigur63,01–73,6558,12–69,39
Faulturi
43%
49%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,8212,1924,00sigur8,98–14,659,24–15,1318,22–29,78mai sigur8,22–15,418,49–15,8816,72–31,29
Ofsaiduri
37%
23%
40%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,611,693,30sigur0,45–2,770,60–2,781,04–5,55mai sigur0,15–3,070,31–3,070,45–6,14
Cartonașe galbene
34%
19%
47%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,042,404,43sigur0,99–3,091,27–3,532,26–6,61mai sigur0,72–3,350,98–3,821,70–7,17
Cartonașe roșii
82%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,090,130,21sigur0,00–0,250,00–0,310,00–0,56mai sigur0,00–0,400,00–0,450,00–0,84
Parade portar
24%
15%
61%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,513,736,24sigur1,07–3,942,18–5,293,25–9,23mai sigur0,68–4,331,75–5,712,44–10,04
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,62 0,65–2,59 0,40–2,84 | 1,13 0,28–1,99 0,05–2,22 | 2,76 0,93–4,58 0,45–5,06 | 49% 25% 27% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 5,59 3,73–7,46 3,24–7,95 | 3,97 2,23–5,71 1,76–6,18 | 9,56 5,96–13,17 5,00–14,12 | 64% 24% |
| Total șuturi | 16,65 12,72–20,57 11,63–21,66 | 11,27 7,71–14,84 6,75–15,80 | 27,92 20,43–35,41 18,38–37,46 | 82% 13% |
| Șuturi din careu | 10,34 7,40–13,29 6,57–14,11 | 7,25 4,57–9,93 3,83–10,67 | 17,59 11,97–23,22 10,40–24,78 | 73% 19% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,62 2,74–6,50 2,19–7,05 | 2,89 1,24–4,54 0,75–5,04 | 7,51 3,98–11,05 2,94–12,08 | 67% 20% |
| Cornere | 6,27 4,06–8,49 3,49–9,06 | 4,07 2,07–6,07 1,54–6,60 | 10,34 6,13–14,56 5,02–15,66 | 70% 20% |
| Posesie % | 56,27 49,48–63,06 47,81–64,73 | 43,87 37,09–50,66 35,41–52,33 | — | 75% 21% |
| Pase | 446 379–513 360–531 | 325 259–392 241–409 | 771 637–905 601–940 | 84% 16% |
| Precizie pase % | 68,33 64,30–72,36 63,01–73,65 | 63,75 59,43–68,08 58,12–69,39 | — | 70% 26% |
| Faulturi | 11,82 8,98–14,65 8,22–15,41 | 12,19 9,24–15,13 8,49–15,88 | 24,00 18,22–29,78 16,72–31,29 | 43% 49% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,61 0,45–2,77 0,15–3,07 | 1,69 0,60–2,78 0,31–3,07 | 3,30 1,04–5,55 0,45–6,14 | 37% 23% 40% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 2,04 0,99–3,09 0,72–3,35 | 2,40 1,27–3,53 0,98–3,82 | 4,43 2,26–6,61 1,70–7,17 | 34% 19% 47% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,09 0,00–0,25 0,00–0,40 | 0,13 0,00–0,31 0,00–0,45 | 0,21 0,00–0,56 0,00–0,84 | 82% |
| Parade portar | 2,51 1,07–3,94 0,68–4,33 | 3,73 2,18–5,29 1,75–5,71 | 6,24 3,25–9,23 2,44–10,04 | 24% 15% 61% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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