Bundesliga·Etapa 16·
Bundesliga·Etapa 16·Statistici estimate
Goluri
36%
27%
37%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,251,292,54sigur0,29–2,220,43–2,140,72–4,36mai sigur0,03–2,470,21–2,370,24–4,84
Șuturi pe poartă
40%
14%
46%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,314,548,86sigur2,45–6,182,80–6,295,25–12,46mai sigur1,96–6,672,34–6,754,30–13,42
Total șuturi
41%
52%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,1713,9127,08sigur9,24–17,0910,35–17,4819,59–34,57mai sigur8,15–18,189,39–18,4417,54–36,62
Șuturi din careu
42%
49%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție8,398,7617,14sigur5,44–11,336,07–11,4411,52–22,77mai sigur4,62–12,165,34–12,179,95–24,33
Șuturi blocate
37%
15%
48%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,453,837,28sigur1,57–5,332,18–5,493,75–10,82mai sigur1,03–5,881,69–5,982,71–11,85
Cornere
34%
54%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,775,6010,37sigur2,56–6,983,60–7,606,15–14,58mai sigur1,98–7,563,07–8,135,05–15,69
Posesie %
32%
64%
gazdeoaspețipredicție46,7553,70sigur39,96–53,5446,91–60,48mai sigur38,29–55,2145,24–62,15
Pase
35%
64%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție364409773sigur297–431342–475639–906mai sigur279–449325–493603–942
Precizie pase %
15%
82%
gazdeoaspețipredicție62,2169,70sigur58,18–66,2465,37–74,02mai sigur56,89–67,5364,06–75,33
Faulturi
37%
55%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,9413,1425,08sigur9,11–14,7810,19–16,0819,30–30,86mai sigur8,35–15,549,44–16,8317,79–32,37
Ofsaiduri
44%
23%
32%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,701,433,13sigur0,54–2,860,34–2,520,87–5,38mai sigur0,24–3,160,05–2,810,29–5,97
Cartonașe galbene
39%
20%
41%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,132,174,30sigur1,08–3,181,04–3,302,12–6,48mai sigur0,81–3,440,75–3,591,56–7,04
Cartonașe roșii
78%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,120,140,26sigur0,00–0,280,00–0,330,00–0,61mai sigur0,00–0,430,00–0,460,00–0,89
Parade portar
47%
16%
37%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,343,026,37sigur1,90–4,781,47–4,583,37–9,36mai sigur1,52–5,161,04–5,012,56–10,17
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,25 0,29–2,22 0,03–2,47 | 1,29 0,43–2,14 0,21–2,37 | 2,54 0,72–4,36 0,24–4,84 | 36% 27% 37% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,31 2,45–6,18 1,96–6,67 | 4,54 2,80–6,29 2,34–6,75 | 8,86 5,25–12,46 4,30–13,42 | 40% 14% 46% |
| Total șuturi | 13,17 9,24–17,09 8,15–18,18 | 13,91 10,35–17,48 9,39–18,44 | 27,08 19,59–34,57 17,54–36,62 | 41% 52% |
| Șuturi din careu | 8,39 5,44–11,33 4,62–12,16 | 8,76 6,07–11,44 5,34–12,17 | 17,14 11,52–22,77 9,95–24,33 | 42% 49% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,45 1,57–5,33 1,03–5,88 | 3,83 2,18–5,49 1,69–5,98 | 7,28 3,75–10,82 2,71–11,85 | 37% 15% 48% |
| Cornere | 4,77 2,56–6,98 1,98–7,56 | 5,60 3,60–7,60 3,07–8,13 | 10,37 6,15–14,58 5,05–15,69 | 34% 54% |
| Posesie % | 46,75 39,96–53,54 38,29–55,21 | 53,70 46,91–60,48 45,24–62,15 | — | 32% 64% |
| Pase | 364 297–431 279–449 | 409 342–475 325–493 | 773 639–906 603–942 | 35% 64% |
| Precizie pase % | 62,21 58,18–66,24 56,89–67,53 | 69,70 65,37–74,02 64,06–75,33 | — | 15% 82% |
| Faulturi | 11,94 9,11–14,78 8,35–15,54 | 13,14 10,19–16,08 9,44–16,83 | 25,08 19,30–30,86 17,79–32,37 | 37% 55% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,70 0,54–2,86 0,24–3,16 | 1,43 0,34–2,52 0,05–2,81 | 3,13 0,87–5,38 0,29–5,97 | 44% 23% 32% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 2,13 1,08–3,18 0,81–3,44 | 2,17 1,04–3,30 0,75–3,59 | 4,30 2,12–6,48 1,56–7,04 | 39% 20% 41% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,12 0,00–0,28 0,00–0,43 | 0,14 0,00–0,33 0,00–0,46 | 0,26 0,00–0,61 0,00–0,89 | 78% |
| Parade portar | 3,34 1,90–4,78 1,52–5,16 | 3,02 1,47–4,58 1,04–5,01 | 6,37 3,37–9,36 2,56–10,17 | 47% 16% 37% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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