Bundesliga·Etapa 10·
Bundesliga·Etapa 10·Statistici estimate
Goluri
53%
21%
26%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,061,393,45sigur1,09–3,030,54–2,251,63–5,28mai sigur0,84–3,280,31–2,481,15–5,76
Șuturi pe poartă
65%
24%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,984,2310,22sigur4,12–7,852,49–5,976,61–13,82mai sigur3,63–8,342,02–6,445,65–14,78
Total șuturi
81%
14%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție16,5911,4728,06sigur12,66–20,517,91–15,0320,57–35,55mai sigur11,57–21,606,95–15,9918,52–37,60
Șuturi din careu
79%
15%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,487,5419,02sigur8,54–14,434,86–10,2213,40–24,65mai sigur7,71–15,264,12–10,9611,83–26,21
Șuturi blocate
62%
25%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,713,338,03sigur2,82–6,591,67–4,984,50–11,57mai sigur2,28–7,131,18–5,473,46–12,60
Cornere
71%
19%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,324,0710,39sigur4,11–8,532,07–6,076,18–14,60mai sigur3,53–9,111,54–6,615,07–15,71
Posesie %
55%
40%
gazdeoaspețipredicție51,4848,39sigur44,69–58,2741,61–55,18mai sigur43,02–59,9439,94–56,85
Pase
55%
45%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție452437889sigur385–520371–504756–1023mai sigur367–538353–521720–1059
Precizie pase %
46%
49%
gazdeoaspețipredicție72,2972,62sigur68,26–76,3268,29–76,94mai sigur66,97–77,6166,98–78,25
Faulturi
39%
53%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,4512,3523,80sigur8,61–14,299,41–15,3018,02–29,59mai sigur7,86–15,058,66–16,0416,52–31,09
Ofsaiduri
31%
22%
47%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,561,943,50sigur0,40–2,720,84–3,031,24–5,75mai sigur0,10–3,020,55–3,320,65–6,34
Cartonașe galbene
26%
20%
54%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,602,333,92sigur0,55–2,651,20–3,451,75–6,10mai sigur0,28–2,910,91–3,751,19–6,66
Cartonașe roșii
85%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,070,100,17sigur0,00–0,230,00–0,280,00–0,51mai sigur0,00–0,380,00–0,420,00–0,80
Parade portar
27%
15%
58%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,683,696,37sigur1,24–4,122,14–5,253,38–9,37mai sigur0,86–4,501,71–5,672,57–10,18
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 2,06 1,09–3,03 0,84–3,28 | 1,39 0,54–2,25 0,31–2,48 | 3,45 1,63–5,28 1,15–5,76 | 53% 21% 26% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 5,98 4,12–7,85 3,63–8,34 | 4,23 2,49–5,97 2,02–6,44 | 10,22 6,61–13,82 5,65–14,78 | 65% 24% |
| Total șuturi | 16,59 12,66–20,51 11,57–21,60 | 11,47 7,91–15,03 6,95–15,99 | 28,06 20,57–35,55 18,52–37,60 | 81% 14% |
| Șuturi din careu | 11,48 8,54–14,43 7,71–15,26 | 7,54 4,86–10,22 4,12–10,96 | 19,02 13,40–24,65 11,83–26,21 | 79% 15% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,71 2,82–6,59 2,28–7,13 | 3,33 1,67–4,98 1,18–5,47 | 8,03 4,50–11,57 3,46–12,60 | 62% 25% |
| Cornere | 6,32 4,11–8,53 3,53–9,11 | 4,07 2,07–6,07 1,54–6,61 | 10,39 6,18–14,60 5,07–15,71 | 71% 19% |
| Posesie % | 51,48 44,69–58,27 43,02–59,94 | 48,39 41,61–55,18 39,94–56,85 | — | 55% 40% |
| Pase | 452 385–520 367–538 | 437 371–504 353–521 | 889 756–1023 720–1059 | 55% 45% |
| Precizie pase % | 72,29 68,26–76,32 66,97–77,61 | 72,62 68,29–76,94 66,98–78,25 | — | 46% 49% |
| Faulturi | 11,45 8,61–14,29 7,86–15,05 | 12,35 9,41–15,30 8,66–16,04 | 23,80 18,02–29,59 16,52–31,09 | 39% 53% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,56 0,40–2,72 0,10–3,02 | 1,94 0,84–3,03 0,55–3,32 | 3,50 1,24–5,75 0,65–6,34 | 31% 22% 47% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,60 0,55–2,65 0,28–2,91 | 2,33 1,20–3,45 0,91–3,75 | 3,92 1,75–6,10 1,19–6,66 | 26% 20% 54% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,07 0,00–0,23 0,00–0,38 | 0,10 0,00–0,28 0,00–0,42 | 0,17 0,00–0,51 0,00–0,80 | 85% |
| Parade portar | 2,68 1,24–4,12 0,86–4,50 | 3,69 2,14–5,25 1,71–5,67 | 6,37 3,38–9,37 2,57–10,18 | 27% 15% 58% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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