Bundesliga·Etapa 14·
Bundesliga·Etapa 14·Statistici estimate
Goluri
38%
24%
38%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,551,533,08sigur0,58–2,520,67–2,381,25–4,90mai sigur0,33–2,770,45–2,610,77–5,38
Șuturi pe poartă
49%
38%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,074,629,69sigur3,20–6,932,88–6,376,08–13,29mai sigur2,71–7,422,42–6,835,13–14,25
Total șuturi
45%
47%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,7913,9527,74sigur9,86–17,7110,39–17,5120,25–35,22mai sigur8,77–18,809,43–18,4718,20–37,28
Șuturi din careu
38%
53%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție8,689,4918,17sigur5,74–11,626,81–12,1712,55–23,80mai sigur4,91–12,456,07–12,9110,98–25,36
Șuturi blocate
39%
14%
47%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,824,107,92sigur1,94–5,702,45–5,764,39–11,46mai sigur1,40–6,251,96–6,253,35–12,49
Cornere
44%
43%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,135,0810,21sigur2,92–7,353,08–7,086,00–14,42mai sigur2,35–7,922,54–7,614,89–15,53
Posesie %
60%
35%
gazdeoaspețipredicție52,9147,42sigur46,12–59,7040,64–54,21mai sigur44,45–61,3738,97–55,88
Pase
72%
28%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție501432933sigur434–568366–499799–1067mai sigur415–586348–516764–1102
Precizie pase %
30%
65%
gazdeoaspețipredicție70,4473,96sigur66,41–74,4769,64–78,29mai sigur65,12–75,7668,33–79,59
Faulturi
37%
55%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,8511,9322,78sigur8,02–13,698,98–14,8717,00–28,56mai sigur7,26–14,458,23–15,6215,49–30,07
Ofsaiduri
53%
21%
26%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,111,433,54sigur0,95–3,270,34–2,521,29–5,79mai sigur0,65–3,570,05–2,810,70–6,38
Cartonașe galbene
35%
22%
42%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,661,833,49sigur0,61–2,700,70–2,961,31–5,66mai sigur0,34–2,970,41–3,250,75–6,22
Cartonașe roșii
85%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,090,080,17sigur0,00–0,250,00–0,270,00–0,52mai sigur0,00–0,400,00–0,400,00–0,80
Parade portar
43%
16%
41%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,243,186,42sigur1,80–4,681,62–4,743,43–9,41mai sigur1,42–5,061,20–5,162,62–10,22
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,55 0,58–2,52 0,33–2,77 | 1,53 0,67–2,38 0,45–2,61 | 3,08 1,25–4,90 0,77–5,38 | 38% 24% 38% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 5,07 3,20–6,93 2,71–7,42 | 4,62 2,88–6,37 2,42–6,83 | 9,69 6,08–13,29 5,13–14,25 | 49% 38% |
| Total șuturi | 13,79 9,86–17,71 8,77–18,80 | 13,95 10,39–17,51 9,43–18,47 | 27,74 20,25–35,22 18,20–37,28 | 45% 47% |
| Șuturi din careu | 8,68 5,74–11,62 4,91–12,45 | 9,49 6,81–12,17 6,07–12,91 | 18,17 12,55–23,80 10,98–25,36 | 38% 53% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,82 1,94–5,70 1,40–6,25 | 4,10 2,45–5,76 1,96–6,25 | 7,92 4,39–11,46 3,35–12,49 | 39% 14% 47% |
| Cornere | 5,13 2,92–7,35 2,35–7,92 | 5,08 3,08–7,08 2,54–7,61 | 10,21 6,00–14,42 4,89–15,53 | 44% 43% |
| Posesie % | 52,91 46,12–59,70 44,45–61,37 | 47,42 40,64–54,21 38,97–55,88 | — | 60% 35% |
| Pase | 501 434–568 415–586 | 432 366–499 348–516 | 933 799–1067 764–1102 | 72% 28% |
| Precizie pase % | 70,44 66,41–74,47 65,12–75,76 | 73,96 69,64–78,29 68,33–79,59 | — | 30% 65% |
| Faulturi | 10,85 8,02–13,69 7,26–14,45 | 11,93 8,98–14,87 8,23–15,62 | 22,78 17,00–28,56 15,49–30,07 | 37% 55% |
| Ofsaiduri | 2,11 0,95–3,27 0,65–3,57 | 1,43 0,34–2,52 0,05–2,81 | 3,54 1,29–5,79 0,70–6,38 | 53% 21% 26% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,66 0,61–2,70 0,34–2,97 | 1,83 0,70–2,96 0,41–3,25 | 3,49 1,31–5,66 0,75–6,22 | 35% 22% 42% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,09 0,00–0,25 0,00–0,40 | 0,08 0,00–0,27 0,00–0,40 | 0,17 0,00–0,52 0,00–0,80 | 85% |
| Parade portar | 3,24 1,80–4,68 1,42–5,06 | 3,18 1,62–4,74 1,20–5,16 | 6,42 3,43–9,41 2,62–10,22 | 43% 16% 41% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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