Bundesliga·Etapa 10·
Bundesliga·Etapa 10·Statistici estimate
Goluri
39%
25%
36%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,441,392,83sigur0,47–2,410,54–2,251,01–4,65mai sigur0,22–2,660,31–2,470,53–5,13
Șuturi pe poartă
50%
14%
37%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,564,098,65sigur2,70–6,422,34–5,835,04–12,25mai sigur2,21–6,911,88–6,294,09–13,21
Total șuturi
65%
28%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,8111,4325,24sigur9,89–17,737,87–14,9917,75–32,73mai sigur8,79–18,836,91–15,9515,70–34,78
Șuturi din careu
54%
36%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție8,137,2315,36sigur5,19–11,074,55–9,919,74–20,99mai sigur4,36–11,903,81–10,658,17–22,55
Șuturi blocate
60%
15%
26%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,782,646,42sigur1,90–5,660,99–4,292,89–9,96mai sigur1,36–6,210,50–4,791,85–10,99
Cornere
59%
29%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,744,5110,25sigur3,52–7,952,51–6,516,03–14,46mai sigur2,95–8,521,98–7,054,93–15,57
Posesie %
66%
30%
gazdeoaspețipredicție54,2246,25sigur47,43–61,0139,47–53,04mai sigur45,76–62,6837,80–54,71
Pase
80%
20%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție473371843sigur405–540304–437710–977mai sigur387–558287–455674–1013
Precizie pase %
49%
45%
gazdeoaspețipredicție67,2266,85sigur63,19–71,2562,52–71,17mai sigur61,90–72,5561,21–72,48
Faulturi
31%
61%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,7712,6523,41sigur7,93–13,609,70–15,5917,63–29,19mai sigur7,17–14,368,95–16,3416,12–30,70
Ofsaiduri
31%
22%
48%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,581,993,57sigur0,42–2,740,90–3,091,32–5,82mai sigur0,11–3,040,61–3,380,73–6,41
Cartonașe galbene
33%
20%
47%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,942,294,22sigur0,89–2,991,16–3,422,05–6,40mai sigur0,62–3,250,87–3,711,49–6,96
Cartonașe roșii
82%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,080,130,21sigur0,00–0,240,00–0,310,00–0,55mai sigur0,00–0,390,00–0,450,00–0,84
Parade portar
33%
17%
50%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,653,195,84sigur1,21–4,091,64–4,752,85–8,84mai sigur0,83–4,471,21–5,172,04–9,65
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,44 0,47–2,41 0,22–2,66 | 1,39 0,54–2,25 0,31–2,47 | 2,83 1,01–4,65 0,53–5,13 | 39% 25% 36% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,56 2,70–6,42 2,21–6,91 | 4,09 2,34–5,83 1,88–6,29 | 8,65 5,04–12,25 4,09–13,21 | 50% 14% 37% |
| Total șuturi | 13,81 9,89–17,73 8,79–18,83 | 11,43 7,87–14,99 6,91–15,95 | 25,24 17,75–32,73 15,70–34,78 | 65% 28% |
| Șuturi din careu | 8,13 5,19–11,07 4,36–11,90 | 7,23 4,55–9,91 3,81–10,65 | 15,36 9,74–20,99 8,17–22,55 | 54% 36% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,78 1,90–5,66 1,36–6,21 | 2,64 0,99–4,29 0,50–4,79 | 6,42 2,89–9,96 1,85–10,99 | 60% 15% 26% |
| Cornere | 5,74 3,52–7,95 2,95–8,52 | 4,51 2,51–6,51 1,98–7,05 | 10,25 6,03–14,46 4,93–15,57 | 59% 29% |
| Posesie % | 54,22 47,43–61,01 45,76–62,68 | 46,25 39,47–53,04 37,80–54,71 | — | 66% 30% |
| Pase | 473 405–540 387–558 | 371 304–437 287–455 | 843 710–977 674–1013 | 80% 20% |
| Precizie pase % | 67,22 63,19–71,25 61,90–72,55 | 66,85 62,52–71,17 61,21–72,48 | — | 49% 45% |
| Faulturi | 10,77 7,93–13,60 7,17–14,36 | 12,65 9,70–15,59 8,95–16,34 | 23,41 17,63–29,19 16,12–30,70 | 31% 61% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,58 0,42–2,74 0,11–3,04 | 1,99 0,90–3,09 0,61–3,38 | 3,57 1,32–5,82 0,73–6,41 | 31% 22% 48% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,94 0,89–2,99 0,62–3,25 | 2,29 1,16–3,42 0,87–3,71 | 4,22 2,05–6,40 1,49–6,96 | 33% 20% 47% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,08 0,00–0,24 0,00–0,39 | 0,13 0,00–0,31 0,00–0,45 | 0,21 0,00–0,55 0,00–0,84 | 82% |
| Parade portar | 2,65 1,21–4,09 0,83–4,47 | 3,19 1,64–4,75 1,21–5,17 | 5,84 2,85–8,84 2,04–9,65 | 33% 17% 50% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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