Bundesliga·Etapa 18·
Bundesliga·Etapa 18·Statistici estimate
Goluri
41%
26%
33%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,371,202,57sigur0,40–2,340,35–2,060,75–4,40mai sigur0,15–2,590,12–2,280,27–4,88
Șuturi pe poartă
47%
14%
39%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,454,178,62sigur2,59–6,312,43–5,915,01–12,22mai sigur2,10–6,801,96–6,384,06–13,18
Total șuturi
57%
35%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,3511,9125,27sigur9,43–17,288,35–15,4717,78–32,75mai sigur8,34–18,377,39–16,4315,73–34,80
Șuturi din careu
58%
33%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție8,547,2815,82sigur5,60–11,484,60–9,9610,20–21,44mai sigur4,77–12,313,86–10,708,63–23,01
Șuturi blocate
38%
16%
47%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,253,556,80sigur1,37–5,131,89–5,203,26–10,34mai sigur0,83–5,681,40–5,692,23–11,37
Cornere
46%
41%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,064,889,95sigur2,85–7,282,88–6,885,73–14,16mai sigur2,28–7,852,35–7,424,63–15,27
Posesie %
34%
61%
gazdeoaspețipredicție47,4053,16sigur40,61–54,1946,37–59,94mai sigur38,94–55,8644,70–61,61
Pase
37%
63%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție407447855sigur340–475381–514721–988mai sigur322–493363–531685–1024
Precizie pase %
18%
78%
gazdeoaspețipredicție64,0370,49sigur60,00–68,0666,17–74,82mai sigur58,71–69,3664,86–76,13
Faulturi
50%
42%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,6412,1524,80sigur9,81–15,489,21–15,1019,01–30,58mai sigur9,05–16,248,46–15,8417,51–32,08
Ofsaiduri
50%
22%
28%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,981,433,41sigur0,82–3,140,34–2,521,16–5,67mai sigur0,52–3,440,05–2,810,57–6,26
Cartonașe galbene
36%
20%
44%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,952,164,11sigur0,90–3,001,03–3,291,93–6,29mai sigur0,64–3,270,74–3,581,37–6,85
Cartonașe roșii
80%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,100,140,23sigur0,00–0,260,00–0,320,00–0,58mai sigur0,00–0,410,00–0,460,00–0,86
Parade portar
40%
17%
43%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,983,096,07sigur1,55–4,421,53–4,643,08–9,06mai sigur1,16–4,811,10–5,072,27–9,87
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,37 0,40–2,34 0,15–2,59 | 1,20 0,35–2,06 0,12–2,28 | 2,57 0,75–4,40 0,27–4,88 | 41% 26% 33% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,45 2,59–6,31 2,10–6,80 | 4,17 2,43–5,91 1,96–6,38 | 8,62 5,01–12,22 4,06–13,18 | 47% 14% 39% |
| Total șuturi | 13,35 9,43–17,28 8,34–18,37 | 11,91 8,35–15,47 7,39–16,43 | 25,27 17,78–32,75 15,73–34,80 | 57% 35% |
| Șuturi din careu | 8,54 5,60–11,48 4,77–12,31 | 7,28 4,60–9,96 3,86–10,70 | 15,82 10,20–21,44 8,63–23,01 | 58% 33% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,25 1,37–5,13 0,83–5,68 | 3,55 1,89–5,20 1,40–5,69 | 6,80 3,26–10,34 2,23–11,37 | 38% 16% 47% |
| Cornere | 5,06 2,85–7,28 2,28–7,85 | 4,88 2,88–6,88 2,35–7,42 | 9,95 5,73–14,16 4,63–15,27 | 46% 41% |
| Posesie % | 47,40 40,61–54,19 38,94–55,86 | 53,16 46,37–59,94 44,70–61,61 | — | 34% 61% |
| Pase | 407 340–475 322–493 | 447 381–514 363–531 | 855 721–988 685–1024 | 37% 63% |
| Precizie pase % | 64,03 60,00–68,06 58,71–69,36 | 70,49 66,17–74,82 64,86–76,13 | — | 18% 78% |
| Faulturi | 12,64 9,81–15,48 9,05–16,24 | 12,15 9,21–15,10 8,46–15,84 | 24,80 19,01–30,58 17,51–32,08 | 50% 42% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,98 0,82–3,14 0,52–3,44 | 1,43 0,34–2,52 0,05–2,81 | 3,41 1,16–5,67 0,57–6,26 | 50% 22% 28% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,95 0,90–3,00 0,64–3,27 | 2,16 1,03–3,29 0,74–3,58 | 4,11 1,93–6,29 1,37–6,85 | 36% 20% 44% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,10 0,00–0,26 0,00–0,41 | 0,14 0,00–0,32 0,00–0,46 | 0,23 0,00–0,58 0,00–0,86 | 80% |
| Parade portar | 2,98 1,55–4,42 1,16–4,81 | 3,09 1,53–4,64 1,10–5,07 | 6,07 3,08–9,06 2,27–9,87 | 40% 17% 43% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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