Bundesliga·Etapa 11·
Bundesliga·Etapa 11·Statistici estimate
Goluri
34%
25%
40%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,341,472,81sigur0,37–2,310,62–2,320,99–4,63mai sigur0,12–2,560,39–2,550,51–5,11
Șuturi pe poartă
40%
13%
47%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,614,879,48sigur2,75–6,473,13–6,615,87–13,08mai sigur2,26–6,962,66–7,084,92–14,04
Total șuturi
35%
58%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,3113,8426,16sigur8,39–16,2410,28–17,4118,67–33,64mai sigur7,30–17,339,32–18,3616,62–35,70
Șuturi din careu
46%
45%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție8,378,3216,69sigur5,43–11,315,64–11,0011,06–22,31mai sigur4,60–12,144,90–11,749,50–23,88
Șuturi blocate
35%
15%
50%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,193,716,90sigur1,30–5,072,06–5,363,36–10,43mai sigur0,76–5,611,56–5,852,33–11,47
Cornere
39%
48%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,925,2910,21sigur2,71–7,143,29–7,295,99–14,42mai sigur2,13–7,712,75–7,824,89–15,53
Posesie %
17%
79%
gazdeoaspețipredicție42,7957,61sigur36,00–49,5850,82–64,39mai sigur34,33–51,2549,15–66,07
Pase
88%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție416556972sigur349–483490–623838–1106mai sigur330–501472–640803–1141
Precizie pase %
93%
gazdeoaspețipredicție65,5577,51sigur61,52–69,5773,18–81,83mai sigur60,22–70,8771,88–83,14
Faulturi
60%
32%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,1610,4722,63sigur9,32–15,007,52–13,4116,85–28,41mai sigur8,57–15,756,77–14,1615,34–29,92
Ofsaiduri
48%
21%
30%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,041,593,63sigur0,88–3,200,49–2,681,38–5,88mai sigur0,58–3,500,21–2,970,79–6,47
Cartonașe galbene
45%
20%
35%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,281,994,27sigur1,23–3,330,86–3,122,09–6,45mai sigur0,96–3,590,57–3,411,53–7,00
Cartonașe roșii
82%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,120,100,21sigur0,00–0,280,00–0,280,00–0,56mai sigur0,00–0,430,00–0,420,00–0,84
Parade portar
43%
16%
41%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,143,086,23sigur1,71–4,581,53–4,643,23–9,22mai sigur1,32–4,971,10–5,062,42–10,03
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,34 0,37–2,31 0,12–2,56 | 1,47 0,62–2,32 0,39–2,55 | 2,81 0,99–4,63 0,51–5,11 | 34% 25% 40% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,61 2,75–6,47 2,26–6,96 | 4,87 3,13–6,61 2,66–7,08 | 9,48 5,87–13,08 4,92–14,04 | 40% 13% 47% |
| Total șuturi | 12,31 8,39–16,24 7,30–17,33 | 13,84 10,28–17,41 9,32–18,36 | 26,16 18,67–33,64 16,62–35,70 | 35% 58% |
| Șuturi din careu | 8,37 5,43–11,31 4,60–12,14 | 8,32 5,64–11,00 4,90–11,74 | 16,69 11,06–22,31 9,50–23,88 | 46% 45% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,19 1,30–5,07 0,76–5,61 | 3,71 2,06–5,36 1,56–5,85 | 6,90 3,36–10,43 2,33–11,47 | 35% 15% 50% |
| Cornere | 4,92 2,71–7,14 2,13–7,71 | 5,29 3,29–7,29 2,75–7,82 | 10,21 5,99–14,42 4,89–15,53 | 39% 48% |
| Posesie % | 42,79 36,00–49,58 34,33–51,25 | 57,61 50,82–64,39 49,15–66,07 | — | 17% 79% |
| Pase | 416 349–483 330–501 | 556 490–623 472–640 | 972 838–1106 803–1141 | 88% |
| Precizie pase % | 65,55 61,52–69,57 60,22–70,87 | 77,51 73,18–81,83 71,88–83,14 | — | 93% |
| Faulturi | 12,16 9,32–15,00 8,57–15,75 | 10,47 7,52–13,41 6,77–14,16 | 22,63 16,85–28,41 15,34–29,92 | 60% 32% |
| Ofsaiduri | 2,04 0,88–3,20 0,58–3,50 | 1,59 0,49–2,68 0,21–2,97 | 3,63 1,38–5,88 0,79–6,47 | 48% 21% 30% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 2,28 1,23–3,33 0,96–3,59 | 1,99 0,86–3,12 0,57–3,41 | 4,27 2,09–6,45 1,53–7,00 | 45% 20% 35% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,12 0,00–0,28 0,00–0,43 | 0,10 0,00–0,28 0,00–0,42 | 0,21 0,00–0,56 0,00–0,84 | 82% |
| Parade portar | 3,14 1,71–4,58 1,32–4,97 | 3,08 1,53–4,64 1,10–5,06 | 6,23 3,23–9,22 2,42–10,03 | 43% 16% 41% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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