Bundesliga·Etapa 18·
Bundesliga·Etapa 18·Statistici estimate
Goluri
52%
24%
24%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,751,122,87sigur0,78–2,720,27–1,981,05–4,70mai sigur0,53–2,970,04–2,210,57–5,18
Șuturi pe poartă
67%
22%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,523,669,18sigur3,66–7,381,92–5,415,58–12,79mai sigur3,17–7,871,46–5,874,62–13,74
Total șuturi
83%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție15,8910,5826,47sigur11,97–19,827,02–14,1418,98–33,96mai sigur10,87–20,916,06–15,1016,93–36,01
Șuturi din careu
74%
18%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,317,0717,37sigur7,36–13,254,39–9,7511,75–23,00mai sigur6,53–14,083,65–10,4910,18–24,56
Șuturi blocate
64%
13%
23%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,332,877,20sigur2,45–6,211,21–4,523,66–10,73mai sigur1,90–6,760,72–5,012,63–11,77
Cornere
66%
23%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,603,859,46sigur3,39–7,821,85–5,855,24–13,67mai sigur2,82–8,391,32–6,394,14–14,78
Posesie %
80%
17%
gazdeoaspețipredicție58,0942,67sigur51,30–64,8835,89–49,46mai sigur49,63–66,5534,21–51,13
Pase
94%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție583397981sigur516–651331–464847–1115mai sigur498–669313–481811–1150
Precizie pase %
70%
25%
gazdeoaspețipredicție74,4369,80sigur70,40–78,4665,48–74,13mai sigur69,11–79,7564,17–75,43
Faulturi
26%
67%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,0612,6822,74sigur7,22–12,909,74–15,6316,96–28,52mai sigur6,47–13,658,99–16,3715,45–30,03
Ofsaiduri
36%
22%
42%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,691,833,52sigur0,53–2,850,74–2,931,27–5,77mai sigur0,22–3,150,45–3,210,68–6,36
Cartonașe galbene
28%
20%
51%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,642,243,88sigur0,59–2,691,11–3,371,70–6,06mai sigur0,33–2,960,82–3,661,15–6,62
Cartonașe roșii
85%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,060,110,17sigur0,00–0,220,00–0,300,00–0,52mai sigur0,00–0,370,00–0,430,00–0,80
Parade portar
26%
15%
58%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,463,495,95sigur1,02–3,891,93–5,052,95–8,94mai sigur0,63–4,281,51–5,472,14–9,75
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,75 0,78–2,72 0,53–2,97 | 1,12 0,27–1,98 0,04–2,21 | 2,87 1,05–4,70 0,57–5,18 | 52% 24% 24% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 5,52 3,66–7,38 3,17–7,87 | 3,66 1,92–5,41 1,46–5,87 | 9,18 5,58–12,79 4,62–13,74 | 67% 22% |
| Total șuturi | 15,89 11,97–19,82 10,87–20,91 | 10,58 7,02–14,14 6,06–15,10 | 26,47 18,98–33,96 16,93–36,01 | 83% |
| Șuturi din careu | 10,31 7,36–13,25 6,53–14,08 | 7,07 4,39–9,75 3,65–10,49 | 17,37 11,75–23,00 10,18–24,56 | 74% 18% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,33 2,45–6,21 1,90–6,76 | 2,87 1,21–4,52 0,72–5,01 | 7,20 3,66–10,73 2,63–11,77 | 64% 13% 23% |
| Cornere | 5,60 3,39–7,82 2,82–8,39 | 3,85 1,85–5,85 1,32–6,39 | 9,46 5,24–13,67 4,14–14,78 | 66% 23% |
| Posesie % | 58,09 51,30–64,88 49,63–66,55 | 42,67 35,89–49,46 34,21–51,13 | — | 80% 17% |
| Pase | 583 516–651 498–669 | 397 331–464 313–481 | 981 847–1115 811–1150 | 94% |
| Precizie pase % | 74,43 70,40–78,46 69,11–79,75 | 69,80 65,48–74,13 64,17–75,43 | — | 70% 25% |
| Faulturi | 10,06 7,22–12,90 6,47–13,65 | 12,68 9,74–15,63 8,99–16,37 | 22,74 16,96–28,52 15,45–30,03 | 26% 67% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,69 0,53–2,85 0,22–3,15 | 1,83 0,74–2,93 0,45–3,21 | 3,52 1,27–5,77 0,68–6,36 | 36% 22% 42% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,64 0,59–2,69 0,33–2,96 | 2,24 1,11–3,37 0,82–3,66 | 3,88 1,70–6,06 1,15–6,62 | 28% 20% 51% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,06 0,00–0,22 0,00–0,37 | 0,11 0,00–0,30 0,00–0,43 | 0,17 0,00–0,52 0,00–0,80 | 85% |
| Parade portar | 2,46 1,02–3,89 0,63–4,28 | 3,49 1,93–5,05 1,51–5,47 | 5,95 2,95–8,94 2,14–9,75 | 26% 15% 58% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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