La Liga·Etapa 6·
La Liga·Etapa 6·Statistici estimate
Goluri
22%
23%
56%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,071,852,91sigur0,10–2,030,99–2,701,09–4,73mai sigur0,00–2,290,76–2,930,61–5,21
Șuturi pe poartă
21%
67%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,605,479,07sigur1,74–5,463,73–7,215,46–12,67mai sigur1,25–5,953,26–7,684,51–13,63
Total șuturi
16%
79%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,1315,7226,85sigur7,20–15,0512,16–19,2819,36–34,33mai sigur6,11–16,1411,20–20,2417,31–36,38
Șuturi din careu
15%
78%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,6610,3316,99sigur3,72–9,607,65–13,0111,37–22,61mai sigur2,89–10,436,91–13,759,80–24,18
Șuturi blocate
33%
15%
51%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,993,606,59sigur1,11–4,871,95–5,253,06–10,13mai sigur0,57–5,421,45–5,742,02–11,16
Cornere
24%
64%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,165,8410,00sigur1,95–6,373,84–7,845,79–14,21mai sigur1,37–6,953,30–8,374,68–15,32
Posesie %
88%
gazdeoaspețipredicție39,6760,67sigur32,88–46,4653,88–67,45mai sigur31,21–48,1352,21–69,12
Pase
94%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție372557929sigur305–439490–623795–1062mai sigur286–457473–641759–1098
Precizie pase %
91%
gazdeoaspețipredicție65,5076,22sigur61,47–69,5371,90–80,54mai sigur60,18–70,8270,59–81,85
Faulturi
38%
54%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,9411,9522,89sigur8,10–13,789,01–14,9017,11–28,67mai sigur7,35–14,538,26–15,6515,60–30,18
Ofsaiduri
47%
19%
34%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,562,194,76sigur1,40–3,721,10–3,282,51–7,01mai sigur1,10–4,030,81–3,571,92–7,60
Cartonașe galbene
39%
21%
40%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,861,893,76sigur0,82–2,910,77–3,021,58–5,93mai sigur0,55–3,170,48–3,311,03–6,48
Cartonașe roșii
83%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,080,110,20sigur0,00–0,240,00–0,300,00–0,55mai sigur0,00–0,390,00–0,430,00–0,83
Parade portar
60%
15%
25%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,542,415,95sigur2,11–4,980,85–3,962,96–8,94mai sigur1,72–5,370,43–4,392,14–9,75
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,07 0,10–2,03 0,00–2,29 | 1,85 0,99–2,70 0,76–2,93 | 2,91 1,09–4,73 0,61–5,21 | 22% 23% 56% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 3,60 1,74–5,46 1,25–5,95 | 5,47 3,73–7,21 3,26–7,68 | 9,07 5,46–12,67 4,51–13,63 | 21% 67% |
| Total șuturi | 11,13 7,20–15,05 6,11–16,14 | 15,72 12,16–19,28 11,20–20,24 | 26,85 19,36–34,33 17,31–36,38 | 16% 79% |
| Șuturi din careu | 6,66 3,72–9,60 2,89–10,43 | 10,33 7,65–13,01 6,91–13,75 | 16,99 11,37–22,61 9,80–24,18 | 15% 78% |
| Șuturi blocate | 2,99 1,11–4,87 0,57–5,42 | 3,60 1,95–5,25 1,45–5,74 | 6,59 3,06–10,13 2,02–11,16 | 33% 15% 51% |
| Cornere | 4,16 1,95–6,37 1,37–6,95 | 5,84 3,84–7,84 3,30–8,37 | 10,00 5,79–14,21 4,68–15,32 | 24% 64% |
| Posesie % | 39,67 32,88–46,46 31,21–48,13 | 60,67 53,88–67,45 52,21–69,12 | — | 88% |
| Pase | 372 305–439 286–457 | 557 490–623 473–641 | 929 795–1062 759–1098 | 94% |
| Precizie pase % | 65,50 61,47–69,53 60,18–70,82 | 76,22 71,90–80,54 70,59–81,85 | — | 91% |
| Faulturi | 10,94 8,10–13,78 7,35–14,53 | 11,95 9,01–14,90 8,26–15,65 | 22,89 17,11–28,67 15,60–30,18 | 38% 54% |
| Ofsaiduri | 2,56 1,40–3,72 1,10–4,03 | 2,19 1,10–3,28 0,81–3,57 | 4,76 2,51–7,01 1,92–7,60 | 47% 19% 34% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,86 0,82–2,91 0,55–3,17 | 1,89 0,77–3,02 0,48–3,31 | 3,76 1,58–5,93 1,03–6,48 | 39% 21% 40% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,08 0,00–0,24 0,00–0,39 | 0,11 0,00–0,30 0,00–0,43 | 0,20 0,00–0,55 0,00–0,83 | 83% |
| Parade portar | 3,54 2,11–4,98 1,72–5,37 | 2,41 0,85–3,96 0,43–4,39 | 5,95 2,96–8,94 2,14–9,75 | 60% 15% 25% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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