La Liga·Etapa 21·
La Liga·Etapa 21·Statistici estimate
Goluri
65%
20%
14%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,030,832,86sigur1,06–3,000,00–1,691,04–4,68mai sigur0,81–3,250,00–1,910,56–5,16
Șuturi pe poartă
82%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,443,179,61sigur4,58–8,301,42–4,916,00–13,21mai sigur4,09–8,790,96–5,385,05–14,17
Total șuturi
94%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție17,709,2326,93sigur13,78–21,625,67–12,7919,44–34,42mai sigur12,68–22,724,71–13,7517,39–36,47
Șuturi din careu
89%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,766,1417,89sigur8,82–14,703,45–8,8212,27–23,52mai sigur7,99–15,532,72–9,5510,70–25,08
Șuturi blocate
80%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,792,106,90sigur2,91–6,680,45–3,753,36–10,43mai sigur2,37–7,220,00–4,252,33–11,47
Cornere
85%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție7,293,4810,77sigur5,08–9,511,48–5,486,56–14,99mai sigur4,51–10,080,95–6,015,45–16,09
Posesie %
90%
gazdeoaspețipredicție61,0738,82sigur54,28–67,8632,04–45,61mai sigur52,61–69,5330,37–47,28
Pase
96%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție579368946sigur511–646301–434813–1080mai sigur493–664284–452777–1116
Precizie pase %
78%
19%
gazdeoaspețipredicție76,4370,06sigur72,40–80,4665,74–74,39mai sigur71,11–81,7564,43–75,70
Faulturi
42%
50%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,1611,6322,79sigur8,32–13,998,69–14,5817,01–28,57mai sigur7,56–14,757,94–15,3315,50–30,08
Ofsaiduri
35%
19%
46%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,182,484,66sigur1,02–3,341,39–3,572,40–6,91mai sigur0,71–3,641,10–3,861,81–7,50
Cartonașe galbene
30%
22%
48%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,551,973,52sigur0,50–2,590,84–3,101,34–5,70mai sigur0,23–2,860,55–3,390,78–6,25
Cartonașe roșii
86%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,080,080,15sigur0,00–0,240,00–0,270,00–0,50mai sigur0,00–0,390,00–0,400,00–0,78
Parade portar
17%
71%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,324,246,56sigur0,88–3,752,69–5,803,57–9,55mai sigur0,49–4,142,26–6,222,76–10,36
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 2,03 1,06–3,00 0,81–3,25 | 0,83 0,00–1,69 0,00–1,91 | 2,86 1,04–4,68 0,56–5,16 | 65% 20% 14% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 6,44 4,58–8,30 4,09–8,79 | 3,17 1,42–4,91 0,96–5,38 | 9,61 6,00–13,21 5,05–14,17 | 82% |
| Total șuturi | 17,70 13,78–21,62 12,68–22,72 | 9,23 5,67–12,79 4,71–13,75 | 26,93 19,44–34,42 17,39–36,47 | 94% |
| Șuturi din careu | 11,76 8,82–14,70 7,99–15,53 | 6,14 3,45–8,82 2,72–9,55 | 17,89 12,27–23,52 10,70–25,08 | 89% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,79 2,91–6,68 2,37–7,22 | 2,10 0,45–3,75 0,00–4,25 | 6,90 3,36–10,43 2,33–11,47 | 80% |
| Cornere | 7,29 5,08–9,51 4,51–10,08 | 3,48 1,48–5,48 0,95–6,01 | 10,77 6,56–14,99 5,45–16,09 | 85% |
| Posesie % | 61,07 54,28–67,86 52,61–69,53 | 38,82 32,04–45,61 30,37–47,28 | — | 90% |
| Pase | 579 511–646 493–664 | 368 301–434 284–452 | 946 813–1080 777–1116 | 96% |
| Precizie pase % | 76,43 72,40–80,46 71,11–81,75 | 70,06 65,74–74,39 64,43–75,70 | — | 78% 19% |
| Faulturi | 11,16 8,32–13,99 7,56–14,75 | 11,63 8,69–14,58 7,94–15,33 | 22,79 17,01–28,57 15,50–30,08 | 42% 50% |
| Ofsaiduri | 2,18 1,02–3,34 0,71–3,64 | 2,48 1,39–3,57 1,10–3,86 | 4,66 2,40–6,91 1,81–7,50 | 35% 19% 46% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,55 0,50–2,59 0,23–2,86 | 1,97 0,84–3,10 0,55–3,39 | 3,52 1,34–5,70 0,78–6,25 | 30% 22% 48% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,08 0,00–0,24 0,00–0,39 | 0,08 0,00–0,27 0,00–0,40 | 0,15 0,00–0,50 0,00–0,78 | 86% |
| Parade portar | 2,32 0,88–3,75 0,49–4,14 | 4,24 2,69–5,80 2,26–6,22 | 6,56 3,57–9,55 2,76–10,36 | 17% 71% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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