La Liga·Etapa 8·
La Liga·Etapa 8·Statistici estimate
Goluri
41%
25%
34%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,481,312,79sigur0,51–2,450,46–2,170,97–4,61mai sigur0,26–2,700,23–2,390,49–5,09
Șuturi pe poartă
45%
13%
42%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,814,679,48sigur2,94–6,672,93–6,415,87–13,08mai sigur2,45–7,162,46–6,884,92–14,04
Total șuturi
50%
42%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,5613,0326,59sigur9,63–17,489,46–16,5919,10–34,07mai sigur8,54–18,578,51–17,5517,05–36,12
Șuturi din careu
53%
38%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție9,318,4817,79sigur6,37–12,255,80–11,1612,17–23,42mai sigur5,54–13,085,06–11,9010,60–24,98
Șuturi blocate
48%
15%
37%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,853,447,28sigur1,96–5,731,78–5,093,75–10,82mai sigur1,42–6,271,29–5,582,71–11,85
Cornere
46%
41%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,064,849,89sigur2,84–7,272,83–6,845,68–14,11mai sigur2,27–7,852,30–7,374,57–15,21
Posesie %
55%
41%
gazdeoaspețipredicție51,6648,67sigur44,87–58,4541,89–55,45mai sigur43,20–60,1240,21–57,13
Pase
67%
33%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție481428909sigur414–549361–494775–1043mai sigur396–567344–512740–1078
Precizie pase %
37%
58%
gazdeoaspețipredicție68,2170,31sigur64,18–72,2465,98–74,63mai sigur62,89–73,5364,67–75,94
Faulturi
39%
53%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,6212,4424,06sigur8,79–14,469,50–15,3918,28–29,85mai sigur8,03–15,228,75–16,1316,78–31,35
Ofsaiduri
29%
18%
53%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,952,634,59sigur0,79–3,111,54–3,732,33–6,84mai sigur0,49–3,411,25–4,011,74–7,43
Cartonașe galbene
37%
20%
43%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,042,224,26sigur0,99–3,091,09–3,352,08–6,44mai sigur0,73–3,360,80–3,641,53–7,00
Cartonașe roșii
82%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,120,100,21sigur0,00–0,280,00–0,280,00–0,56mai sigur0,00–0,430,00–0,420,00–0,84
Parade portar
43%
16%
41%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,173,106,27sigur1,73–4,601,54–4,663,27–9,26mai sigur1,34–4,991,12–5,082,46–10,07
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,48 0,51–2,45 0,26–2,70 | 1,31 0,46–2,17 0,23–2,39 | 2,79 0,97–4,61 0,49–5,09 | 41% 25% 34% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,81 2,94–6,67 2,45–7,16 | 4,67 2,93–6,41 2,46–6,88 | 9,48 5,87–13,08 4,92–14,04 | 45% 13% 42% |
| Total șuturi | 13,56 9,63–17,48 8,54–18,57 | 13,03 9,46–16,59 8,51–17,55 | 26,59 19,10–34,07 17,05–36,12 | 50% 42% |
| Șuturi din careu | 9,31 6,37–12,25 5,54–13,08 | 8,48 5,80–11,16 5,06–11,90 | 17,79 12,17–23,42 10,60–24,98 | 53% 38% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,85 1,96–5,73 1,42–6,27 | 3,44 1,78–5,09 1,29–5,58 | 7,28 3,75–10,82 2,71–11,85 | 48% 15% 37% |
| Cornere | 5,06 2,84–7,27 2,27–7,85 | 4,84 2,83–6,84 2,30–7,37 | 9,89 5,68–14,11 4,57–15,21 | 46% 41% |
| Posesie % | 51,66 44,87–58,45 43,20–60,12 | 48,67 41,89–55,45 40,21–57,13 | — | 55% 41% |
| Pase | 481 414–549 396–567 | 428 361–494 344–512 | 909 775–1043 740–1078 | 67% 33% |
| Precizie pase % | 68,21 64,18–72,24 62,89–73,53 | 70,31 65,98–74,63 64,67–75,94 | — | 37% 58% |
| Faulturi | 11,62 8,79–14,46 8,03–15,22 | 12,44 9,50–15,39 8,75–16,13 | 24,06 18,28–29,85 16,78–31,35 | 39% 53% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,95 0,79–3,11 0,49–3,41 | 2,63 1,54–3,73 1,25–4,01 | 4,59 2,33–6,84 1,74–7,43 | 29% 18% 53% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 2,04 0,99–3,09 0,73–3,36 | 2,22 1,09–3,35 0,80–3,64 | 4,26 2,08–6,44 1,53–7,00 | 37% 20% 43% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,12 0,00–0,28 0,00–0,43 | 0,10 0,00–0,28 0,00–0,42 | 0,21 0,00–0,56 0,00–0,84 | 82% |
| Parade portar | 3,17 1,73–4,60 1,34–4,99 | 3,10 1,54–4,66 1,12–5,08 | 6,27 3,27–9,26 2,46–10,07 | 43% 16% 41% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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