La Liga·Etapa 23·
La Liga·Etapa 23·Statistici estimate
Goluri
43%
24%
33%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,601,382,99sigur0,64–2,570,53–2,241,16–4,81mai sigur0,38–2,820,30–2,460,68–5,29
Șuturi pe poartă
52%
13%
35%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,904,269,16sigur3,04–6,772,51–6,005,55–12,76mai sigur2,55–7,262,05–6,464,60–13,72
Total șuturi
67%
27%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție14,4711,7626,23sigur10,54–18,398,20–15,3218,74–33,71mai sigur9,45–19,487,24–16,2816,69–35,76
Șuturi din careu
55%
36%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție9,168,1817,34sigur6,22–12,105,50–10,8611,71–22,96mai sigur5,39–12,934,76–11,6010,15–24,53
Șuturi blocate
59%
14%
27%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,052,967,01sigur2,17–5,931,31–4,613,48–10,55mai sigur1,63–6,480,81–5,112,44–11,58
Cornere
61%
28%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,644,299,93sigur3,42–7,852,29–6,295,71–14,14mai sigur2,85–8,421,76–6,824,61–15,25
Posesie %
56%
40%
gazdeoaspețipredicție51,8048,45sigur45,01–58,5941,67–55,24mai sigur43,34–60,2640,00–56,91
Pase
60%
40%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție473442915sigur406–541376–509782–1049mai sigur388–559358–526746–1085
Precizie pase %
31%
65%
gazdeoaspețipredicție68,1571,59sigur64,12–72,1867,27–75,91mai sigur62,83–73,4865,96–77,22
Faulturi
48%
44%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,6911,4823,17sigur8,85–14,538,54–14,4317,39–28,95mai sigur8,10–15,287,79–15,1715,89–30,46
Ofsaiduri
51%
18%
31%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,662,094,75sigur1,50–3,821,00–3,182,50–7,00mai sigur1,20–4,120,71–3,471,91–7,59
Cartonașe galbene
35%
21%
43%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,751,963,71sigur0,70–2,800,83–3,091,53–5,89mai sigur0,44–3,070,54–3,380,97–6,45
Cartonașe roșii
85%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,070,100,17sigur0,00–0,230,00–0,290,00–0,52mai sigur0,00–0,380,00–0,420,00–0,80
Parade portar
33%
17%
51%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,603,155,75sigur1,16–4,041,59–4,702,76–8,74mai sigur0,78–4,421,17–5,131,94–9,55
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,60 0,64–2,57 0,38–2,82 | 1,38 0,53–2,24 0,30–2,46 | 2,99 1,16–4,81 0,68–5,29 | 43% 24% 33% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,90 3,04–6,77 2,55–7,26 | 4,26 2,51–6,00 2,05–6,46 | 9,16 5,55–12,76 4,60–13,72 | 52% 13% 35% |
| Total șuturi | 14,47 10,54–18,39 9,45–19,48 | 11,76 8,20–15,32 7,24–16,28 | 26,23 18,74–33,71 16,69–35,76 | 67% 27% |
| Șuturi din careu | 9,16 6,22–12,10 5,39–12,93 | 8,18 5,50–10,86 4,76–11,60 | 17,34 11,71–22,96 10,15–24,53 | 55% 36% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,05 2,17–5,93 1,63–6,48 | 2,96 1,31–4,61 0,81–5,11 | 7,01 3,48–10,55 2,44–11,58 | 59% 14% 27% |
| Cornere | 5,64 3,42–7,85 2,85–8,42 | 4,29 2,29–6,29 1,76–6,82 | 9,93 5,71–14,14 4,61–15,25 | 61% 28% |
| Posesie % | 51,80 45,01–58,59 43,34–60,26 | 48,45 41,67–55,24 40,00–56,91 | — | 56% 40% |
| Pase | 473 406–541 388–559 | 442 376–509 358–526 | 915 782–1049 746–1085 | 60% 40% |
| Precizie pase % | 68,15 64,12–72,18 62,83–73,48 | 71,59 67,27–75,91 65,96–77,22 | — | 31% 65% |
| Faulturi | 11,69 8,85–14,53 8,10–15,28 | 11,48 8,54–14,43 7,79–15,17 | 23,17 17,39–28,95 15,89–30,46 | 48% 44% |
| Ofsaiduri | 2,66 1,50–3,82 1,20–4,12 | 2,09 1,00–3,18 0,71–3,47 | 4,75 2,50–7,00 1,91–7,59 | 51% 18% 31% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,75 0,70–2,80 0,44–3,07 | 1,96 0,83–3,09 0,54–3,38 | 3,71 1,53–5,89 0,97–6,45 | 35% 21% 43% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,07 0,00–0,23 0,00–0,38 | 0,10 0,00–0,29 0,00–0,42 | 0,17 0,00–0,52 0,00–0,80 | 85% |
| Parade portar | 2,60 1,16–4,04 0,78–4,42 | 3,15 1,59–4,70 1,17–5,13 | 5,75 2,76–8,74 1,94–9,55 | 33% 17% 51% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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