La Liga·Etapa 9·
La Liga·Etapa 9·Statistici estimate
Goluri
45%
27%
27%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,360,982,34sigur0,39–2,320,13–1,840,52–4,16mai sigur0,14–2,570,00–2,070,04–4,64
Șuturi pe poartă
61%
26%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,643,327,95sigur2,77–6,501,58–5,064,35–11,56mai sigur2,28–6,991,11–5,533,39–12,51
Total șuturi
71%
23%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,6510,4624,11sigur9,72–17,576,90–14,0316,62–31,60mai sigur8,63–18,675,94–14,9814,57–33,65
Șuturi din careu
62%
29%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție8,366,7015,07sigur5,42–11,304,02–9,389,44–20,69mai sigur4,59–12,133,28–10,127,88–22,26
Șuturi blocate
58%
15%
27%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,852,796,63sigur1,96–5,731,13–4,443,10–10,17mai sigur1,42–6,270,64–4,932,06–11,20
Cornere
66%
23%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,483,739,20sigur3,26–7,691,73–5,734,99–13,42mai sigur2,69–8,261,19–6,263,88–14,52
Posesie %
87%
gazdeoaspețipredicție60,2939,87sigur53,50–67,0833,08–46,65mai sigur51,83–68,7531,41–48,32
Pase
96%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție560346906sigur492–627280–412772–1039mai sigur474–645262–430736–1075
Precizie pase %
71%
25%
gazdeoaspețipredicție71,2966,53sigur67,26–75,3162,20–70,85mai sigur65,96–76,6160,89–72,16
Faulturi
37%
55%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,0813,2525,34sigur9,25–14,9210,31–16,2019,56–31,12mai sigur8,49–15,689,56–16,9518,05–32,62
Ofsaiduri
55%
20%
25%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,271,513,78sigur1,11–3,430,42–2,601,52–6,03mai sigur0,80–3,730,13–2,890,93–6,62
Cartonașe galbene
30%
18%
51%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,012,614,63sigur0,96–3,061,48–3,742,45–6,80mai sigur0,70–3,331,19–4,031,89–7,36
Cartonașe roșii
81%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,100,120,23sigur0,00–0,260,00–0,310,00–0,57mai sigur0,00–0,410,00–0,440,00–0,86
Parade portar
30%
16%
54%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,503,235,73sigur1,06–3,931,68–4,792,74–8,73mai sigur0,68–4,321,25–5,211,93–9,54
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,36 0,39–2,32 0,14–2,57 | 0,98 0,13–1,84 0,00–2,07 | 2,34 0,52–4,16 0,04–4,64 | 45% 27% 27% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,64 2,77–6,50 2,28–6,99 | 3,32 1,58–5,06 1,11–5,53 | 7,95 4,35–11,56 3,39–12,51 | 61% 26% |
| Total șuturi | 13,65 9,72–17,57 8,63–18,67 | 10,46 6,90–14,03 5,94–14,98 | 24,11 16,62–31,60 14,57–33,65 | 71% 23% |
| Șuturi din careu | 8,36 5,42–11,30 4,59–12,13 | 6,70 4,02–9,38 3,28–10,12 | 15,07 9,44–20,69 7,88–22,26 | 62% 29% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,85 1,96–5,73 1,42–6,27 | 2,79 1,13–4,44 0,64–4,93 | 6,63 3,10–10,17 2,06–11,20 | 58% 15% 27% |
| Cornere | 5,48 3,26–7,69 2,69–8,26 | 3,73 1,73–5,73 1,19–6,26 | 9,20 4,99–13,42 3,88–14,52 | 66% 23% |
| Posesie % | 60,29 53,50–67,08 51,83–68,75 | 39,87 33,08–46,65 31,41–48,32 | — | 87% |
| Pase | 560 492–627 474–645 | 346 280–412 262–430 | 906 772–1039 736–1075 | 96% |
| Precizie pase % | 71,29 67,26–75,31 65,96–76,61 | 66,53 62,20–70,85 60,89–72,16 | — | 71% 25% |
| Faulturi | 12,08 9,25–14,92 8,49–15,68 | 13,25 10,31–16,20 9,56–16,95 | 25,34 19,56–31,12 18,05–32,62 | 37% 55% |
| Ofsaiduri | 2,27 1,11–3,43 0,80–3,73 | 1,51 0,42–2,60 0,13–2,89 | 3,78 1,52–6,03 0,93–6,62 | 55% 20% 25% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 2,01 0,96–3,06 0,70–3,33 | 2,61 1,48–3,74 1,19–4,03 | 4,63 2,45–6,80 1,89–7,36 | 30% 18% 51% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,10 0,00–0,26 0,00–0,41 | 0,12 0,00–0,31 0,00–0,44 | 0,23 0,00–0,57 0,00–0,86 | 81% |
| Parade portar | 2,50 1,06–3,93 0,68–4,32 | 3,23 1,68–4,79 1,25–5,21 | 5,73 2,74–8,73 1,93–9,54 | 30% 16% 54% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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