La Liga·Etapa 23·
La Liga·Etapa 23·Statistici estimate
Goluri
30%
28%
42%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,041,282,32sigur0,07–2,010,42–2,130,49–4,14mai sigur0,00–2,260,19–2,360,01–4,62
Șuturi pe poartă
34%
14%
52%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,804,478,27sigur1,94–5,662,72–6,214,66–11,87mai sigur1,45–6,152,26–6,673,71–12,83
Total șuturi
61%
31%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,0611,1324,19sigur9,14–16,997,57–14,6916,71–31,68mai sigur8,05–18,086,61–15,6514,65–33,73
Șuturi din careu
49%
41%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție7,857,4715,32sigur4,91–10,794,79–10,159,70–20,95mai sigur4,08–11,624,05–10,898,13–22,51
Șuturi blocate
46%
16%
38%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,303,056,35sigur1,41–5,181,40–4,712,81–9,88mai sigur0,87–5,720,91–5,201,78–10,92
Cornere
49%
13%
38%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,674,248,90sigur2,45–6,882,24–6,244,69–13,12mai sigur1,88–7,451,70–6,773,58–14,22
Posesie %
19%
78%
gazdeoaspețipredicție43,6857,59sigur36,89–50,4750,80–64,37mai sigur35,22–52,1449,13–66,04
Pase
17%
82%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție370482852sigur303–437415–548718–985mai sigur285–455398–566682–1021
Precizie pase %
16%
80%
gazdeoaspețipredicție65,0872,17sigur61,05–69,1167,84–76,49mai sigur59,76–70,4066,53–77,80
Faulturi
46%
46%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,1613,1226,28sigur10,32–16,0010,18–16,0720,50–32,06mai sigur9,56–16,759,43–16,8218,99–33,57
Ofsaiduri
26%
20%
55%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,592,343,93sigur0,43–2,751,25–3,441,68–6,19mai sigur0,13–3,050,96–3,721,09–6,78
Cartonașe galbene
42%
19%
39%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,362,284,63sigur1,31–3,411,15–3,412,46–6,81mai sigur1,04–3,670,86–3,701,90–7,37
Cartonașe roșii
82%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,100,100,20sigur0,00–0,260,00–0,290,00–0,55mai sigur0,00–0,410,00–0,420,00–0,83
Parade portar
42%
17%
41%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,792,775,55sigur1,35–4,221,21–4,322,56–8,55mai sigur0,96–4,610,79–4,751,75–9,36
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,04 0,07–2,01 0,00–2,26 | 1,28 0,42–2,13 0,19–2,36 | 2,32 0,49–4,14 0,01–4,62 | 30% 28% 42% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 3,80 1,94–5,66 1,45–6,15 | 4,47 2,72–6,21 2,26–6,67 | 8,27 4,66–11,87 3,71–12,83 | 34% 14% 52% |
| Total șuturi | 13,06 9,14–16,99 8,05–18,08 | 11,13 7,57–14,69 6,61–15,65 | 24,19 16,71–31,68 14,65–33,73 | 61% 31% |
| Șuturi din careu | 7,85 4,91–10,79 4,08–11,62 | 7,47 4,79–10,15 4,05–10,89 | 15,32 9,70–20,95 8,13–22,51 | 49% 41% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,30 1,41–5,18 0,87–5,72 | 3,05 1,40–4,71 0,91–5,20 | 6,35 2,81–9,88 1,78–10,92 | 46% 16% 38% |
| Cornere | 4,67 2,45–6,88 1,88–7,45 | 4,24 2,24–6,24 1,70–6,77 | 8,90 4,69–13,12 3,58–14,22 | 49% 13% 38% |
| Posesie % | 43,68 36,89–50,47 35,22–52,14 | 57,59 50,80–64,37 49,13–66,04 | — | 19% 78% |
| Pase | 370 303–437 285–455 | 482 415–548 398–566 | 852 718–985 682–1021 | 17% 82% |
| Precizie pase % | 65,08 61,05–69,11 59,76–70,40 | 72,17 67,84–76,49 66,53–77,80 | — | 16% 80% |
| Faulturi | 13,16 10,32–16,00 9,56–16,75 | 13,12 10,18–16,07 9,43–16,82 | 26,28 20,50–32,06 18,99–33,57 | 46% 46% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,59 0,43–2,75 0,13–3,05 | 2,34 1,25–3,44 0,96–3,72 | 3,93 1,68–6,19 1,09–6,78 | 26% 20% 55% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 2,36 1,31–3,41 1,04–3,67 | 2,28 1,15–3,41 0,86–3,70 | 4,63 2,46–6,81 1,90–7,37 | 42% 19% 39% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,10 0,00–0,26 0,00–0,41 | 0,10 0,00–0,29 0,00–0,42 | 0,20 0,00–0,55 0,00–0,83 | 82% |
| Parade portar | 2,79 1,35–4,22 0,96–4,61 | 2,77 1,21–4,32 0,79–4,75 | 5,55 2,56–8,55 1,75–9,36 | 42% 17% 41% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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