La Liga·Etapa 9·
La Liga·Etapa 9·Statistici estimate
Goluri
37%
28%
35%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,181,132,32sigur0,22–2,150,28–1,990,49–4,14mai sigur0,00–2,400,05–2,220,01–4,62
Șuturi pe poartă
42%
13%
45%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,444,569,00sigur2,58–6,302,81–6,305,39–12,60mai sigur2,09–6,792,35–6,764,44–13,56
Total șuturi
54%
39%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție14,6113,6028,21sigur10,68–18,5310,04–17,1720,72–35,70mai sigur9,59–19,629,08–18,1218,67–37,75
Șuturi din careu
46%
44%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție8,618,4717,08sigur5,67–11,555,79–11,1511,46–22,70mai sigur4,84–12,385,05–11,899,89–24,27
Șuturi blocate
44%
14%
42%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,074,008,08sigur2,19–5,962,35–5,664,54–11,61mai sigur1,65–6,501,86–6,153,51–12,65
Cornere
47%
41%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,415,1810,58sigur3,19–7,623,17–7,186,37–14,80mai sigur2,62–8,202,64–7,715,26–15,90
Posesie %
21%
76%
gazdeoaspețipredicție43,5056,21sigur36,71–50,2949,42–62,99mai sigur35,04–51,9647,75–64,66
Pase
16%
84%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție349470819sigur282–416403–536685–953mai sigur264–435386–554650–988
Precizie pase %
88%
gazdeoaspețipredicție61,2671,01sigur57,23–65,2966,68–75,33mai sigur55,94–66,5865,37–76,64
Faulturi
35%
57%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,1813,6425,82sigur9,34–15,0210,70–16,5920,04–31,60mai sigur8,58–15,779,95–17,3318,53–33,11
Ofsaiduri
47%
23%
31%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,861,473,32sigur0,69–3,020,37–2,561,07–5,58mai sigur0,39–3,320,09–2,850,48–6,17
Cartonașe galbene
36%
19%
46%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,182,464,64sigur1,13–3,231,33–3,592,46–6,82mai sigur0,86–3,501,04–3,881,90–7,37
Cartonașe roșii
79%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,130,120,25sigur0,00–0,290,00–0,310,00–0,60mai sigur0,00–0,440,00–0,440,00–0,88
Parade portar
42%
17%
41%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,053,016,06sigur1,61–4,491,45–4,573,07–9,05mai sigur1,23–4,871,03–4,992,25–9,86
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,18 0,22–2,15 0,00–2,40 | 1,13 0,28–1,99 0,05–2,22 | 2,32 0,49–4,14 0,01–4,62 | 37% 28% 35% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,44 2,58–6,30 2,09–6,79 | 4,56 2,81–6,30 2,35–6,76 | 9,00 5,39–12,60 4,44–13,56 | 42% 13% 45% |
| Total șuturi | 14,61 10,68–18,53 9,59–19,62 | 13,60 10,04–17,17 9,08–18,12 | 28,21 20,72–35,70 18,67–37,75 | 54% 39% |
| Șuturi din careu | 8,61 5,67–11,55 4,84–12,38 | 8,47 5,79–11,15 5,05–11,89 | 17,08 11,46–22,70 9,89–24,27 | 46% 44% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,07 2,19–5,96 1,65–6,50 | 4,00 2,35–5,66 1,86–6,15 | 8,08 4,54–11,61 3,51–12,65 | 44% 14% 42% |
| Cornere | 5,41 3,19–7,62 2,62–8,20 | 5,18 3,17–7,18 2,64–7,71 | 10,58 6,37–14,80 5,26–15,90 | 47% 41% |
| Posesie % | 43,50 36,71–50,29 35,04–51,96 | 56,21 49,42–62,99 47,75–64,66 | — | 21% 76% |
| Pase | 349 282–416 264–435 | 470 403–536 386–554 | 819 685–953 650–988 | 16% 84% |
| Precizie pase % | 61,26 57,23–65,29 55,94–66,58 | 71,01 66,68–75,33 65,37–76,64 | — | 88% |
| Faulturi | 12,18 9,34–15,02 8,58–15,77 | 13,64 10,70–16,59 9,95–17,33 | 25,82 20,04–31,60 18,53–33,11 | 35% 57% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,86 0,69–3,02 0,39–3,32 | 1,47 0,37–2,56 0,09–2,85 | 3,32 1,07–5,58 0,48–6,17 | 47% 23% 31% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 2,18 1,13–3,23 0,86–3,50 | 2,46 1,33–3,59 1,04–3,88 | 4,64 2,46–6,82 1,90–7,37 | 36% 19% 46% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,13 0,00–0,29 0,00–0,44 | 0,12 0,00–0,31 0,00–0,44 | 0,25 0,00–0,60 0,00–0,88 | 79% |
| Parade portar | 3,05 1,61–4,49 1,23–4,87 | 3,01 1,45–4,57 1,03–4,99 | 6,06 3,07–9,05 2,25–9,86 | 42% 17% 41% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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