La Liga·Etapa 25·
La Liga·Etapa 25·Statistici estimate
Goluri
43%
27%
30%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,381,102,49sigur0,41–2,350,25–1,960,66–4,31mai sigur0,16–2,600,02–2,190,18–4,79
Șuturi pe poartă
59%
28%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,933,758,68sigur3,06–6,792,01–5,495,07–12,28mai sigur2,57–7,281,54–5,964,12–13,24
Total șuturi
76%
18%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție15,9811,7527,73sigur12,06–19,918,19–15,3120,24–35,22mai sigur10,97–21,007,23–16,2718,19–37,27
Șuturi din careu
57%
33%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție8,937,6816,61sigur5,98–11,875,00–10,3710,99–22,23mai sigur5,15–12,704,27–11,109,42–23,80
Șuturi blocate
64%
23%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,543,017,55sigur2,65–6,421,36–4,664,01–11,08mai sigur2,11–6,960,87–5,162,98–12,12
Cornere
68%
21%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,234,1910,41sigur4,01–8,442,19–6,196,20–14,63mai sigur3,44–9,021,65–6,725,09–15,74
Posesie %
84%
14%
gazdeoaspețipredicție59,0041,40sigur52,21–65,7934,62–48,19mai sigur50,54–67,4632,95–49,86
Pase
95%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție512319831sigur445–579252–385697–965mai sigur427–597235–403662–1000
Precizie pase %
71%
25%
gazdeoaspețipredicție69,4164,62sigur65,39–73,4460,29–68,94mai sigur64,09–74,7458,98–70,25
Faulturi
46%
46%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,0413,0626,11sigur10,21–15,8810,12–16,0120,33–31,89mai sigur9,45–16,649,37–16,7618,82–33,39
Ofsaiduri
39%
24%
37%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,611,553,16sigur0,45–2,770,46–2,650,91–5,41mai sigur0,15–3,070,17–2,930,32–6,00
Cartonașe galbene
36%
20%
44%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,962,194,15sigur0,91–3,011,06–3,311,97–6,33mai sigur0,65–3,280,77–3,611,41–6,88
Cartonașe roșii
82%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,100,110,21sigur0,00–0,260,00–0,300,00–0,56mai sigur0,00–0,410,00–0,430,00–0,84
Parade portar
30%
16%
54%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,583,375,95sigur1,15–4,021,81–4,922,96–8,94mai sigur0,76–4,411,39–5,352,15–9,76
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,38 0,41–2,35 0,16–2,60 | 1,10 0,25–1,96 0,02–2,19 | 2,49 0,66–4,31 0,18–4,79 | 43% 27% 30% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,93 3,06–6,79 2,57–7,28 | 3,75 2,01–5,49 1,54–5,96 | 8,68 5,07–12,28 4,12–13,24 | 59% 28% |
| Total șuturi | 15,98 12,06–19,91 10,97–21,00 | 11,75 8,19–15,31 7,23–16,27 | 27,73 20,24–35,22 18,19–37,27 | 76% 18% |
| Șuturi din careu | 8,93 5,98–11,87 5,15–12,70 | 7,68 5,00–10,37 4,27–11,10 | 16,61 10,99–22,23 9,42–23,80 | 57% 33% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,54 2,65–6,42 2,11–6,96 | 3,01 1,36–4,66 0,87–5,16 | 7,55 4,01–11,08 2,98–12,12 | 64% 23% |
| Cornere | 6,23 4,01–8,44 3,44–9,02 | 4,19 2,19–6,19 1,65–6,72 | 10,41 6,20–14,63 5,09–15,74 | 68% 21% |
| Posesie % | 59,00 52,21–65,79 50,54–67,46 | 41,40 34,62–48,19 32,95–49,86 | — | 84% 14% |
| Pase | 512 445–579 427–597 | 319 252–385 235–403 | 831 697–965 662–1000 | 95% |
| Precizie pase % | 69,41 65,39–73,44 64,09–74,74 | 64,62 60,29–68,94 58,98–70,25 | — | 71% 25% |
| Faulturi | 13,04 10,21–15,88 9,45–16,64 | 13,06 10,12–16,01 9,37–16,76 | 26,11 20,33–31,89 18,82–33,39 | 46% 46% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,61 0,45–2,77 0,15–3,07 | 1,55 0,46–2,65 0,17–2,93 | 3,16 0,91–5,41 0,32–6,00 | 39% 24% 37% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,96 0,91–3,01 0,65–3,28 | 2,19 1,06–3,31 0,77–3,61 | 4,15 1,97–6,33 1,41–6,88 | 36% 20% 44% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,10 0,00–0,26 0,00–0,41 | 0,11 0,00–0,30 0,00–0,43 | 0,21 0,00–0,56 0,00–0,84 | 82% |
| Parade portar | 2,58 1,15–4,02 0,76–4,41 | 3,37 1,81–4,92 1,39–5,35 | 5,95 2,96–8,94 2,15–9,76 | 30% 16% 54% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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