La Liga·Etapa 9·
La Liga·Etapa 9·Statistici estimate
Goluri
48%
25%
27%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,601,142,74sigur0,63–2,570,28–1,990,91–4,56mai sigur0,38–2,820,06–2,220,43–5,04
Șuturi pe poartă
57%
13%
30%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,763,728,48sigur2,90–6,631,98–5,464,88–12,09mai sigur2,41–7,121,51–5,933,92–13,04
Total șuturi
67%
26%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,4510,7424,19sigur9,52–17,377,18–14,3116,70–31,68mai sigur8,43–18,466,22–15,2714,65–33,73
Șuturi din careu
65%
26%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție8,936,9015,84sigur5,99–11,874,22–9,5810,21–21,46mai sigur5,16–12,703,48–10,328,65–23,03
Șuturi blocate
56%
15%
28%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,582,666,24sigur1,70–5,471,01–4,312,71–9,78mai sigur1,16–6,010,52–4,811,67–10,82
Cornere
53%
13%
34%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,914,169,07sigur2,69–7,122,16–6,164,85–13,28mai sigur2,12–7,691,62–6,693,74–14,39
Posesie %
37%
59%
gazdeoaspețipredicție48,0652,72sigur41,27–54,8545,94–59,51mai sigur39,60–56,5244,27–61,18
Pase
30%
69%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție411472883sigur344–478405–538749–1016mai sigur325–496388–556713–1052
Precizie pase %
21%
75%
gazdeoaspețipredicție66,7972,56sigur62,77–70,8268,23–76,88mai sigur61,47–72,1266,92–78,19
Faulturi
55%
38%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție14,4813,3527,83sigur11,64–17,3110,41–16,3022,04–33,61mai sigur10,88–18,079,66–17,0420,54–35,11
Ofsaiduri
62%
18%
20%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,591,454,04sigur1,43–3,750,35–2,541,78–6,29mai sigur1,13–4,050,07–2,831,19–6,88
Cartonașe galbene
38%
19%
43%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,302,464,76sigur1,25–3,351,33–3,592,58–6,94mai sigur0,98–3,621,04–3,882,03–7,50
Cartonașe roșii
83%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,090,110,20sigur0,00–0,250,00–0,300,00–0,55mai sigur0,00–0,400,00–0,430,00–0,83
Parade portar
33%
17%
50%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,583,095,67sigur1,15–4,021,54–4,652,68–8,67mai sigur0,76–4,411,11–5,071,87–9,48
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,60 0,63–2,57 0,38–2,82 | 1,14 0,28–1,99 0,06–2,22 | 2,74 0,91–4,56 0,43–5,04 | 48% 25% 27% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,76 2,90–6,63 2,41–7,12 | 3,72 1,98–5,46 1,51–5,93 | 8,48 4,88–12,09 3,92–13,04 | 57% 13% 30% |
| Total șuturi | 13,45 9,52–17,37 8,43–18,46 | 10,74 7,18–14,31 6,22–15,27 | 24,19 16,70–31,68 14,65–33,73 | 67% 26% |
| Șuturi din careu | 8,93 5,99–11,87 5,16–12,70 | 6,90 4,22–9,58 3,48–10,32 | 15,84 10,21–21,46 8,65–23,03 | 65% 26% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,58 1,70–5,47 1,16–6,01 | 2,66 1,01–4,31 0,52–4,81 | 6,24 2,71–9,78 1,67–10,82 | 56% 15% 28% |
| Cornere | 4,91 2,69–7,12 2,12–7,69 | 4,16 2,16–6,16 1,62–6,69 | 9,07 4,85–13,28 3,74–14,39 | 53% 13% 34% |
| Posesie % | 48,06 41,27–54,85 39,60–56,52 | 52,72 45,94–59,51 44,27–61,18 | — | 37% 59% |
| Pase | 411 344–478 325–496 | 472 405–538 388–556 | 883 749–1016 713–1052 | 30% 69% |
| Precizie pase % | 66,79 62,77–70,82 61,47–72,12 | 72,56 68,23–76,88 66,92–78,19 | — | 21% 75% |
| Faulturi | 14,48 11,64–17,31 10,88–18,07 | 13,35 10,41–16,30 9,66–17,04 | 27,83 22,04–33,61 20,54–35,11 | 55% 38% |
| Ofsaiduri | 2,59 1,43–3,75 1,13–4,05 | 1,45 0,35–2,54 0,07–2,83 | 4,04 1,78–6,29 1,19–6,88 | 62% 18% 20% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 2,30 1,25–3,35 0,98–3,62 | 2,46 1,33–3,59 1,04–3,88 | 4,76 2,58–6,94 2,03–7,50 | 38% 19% 43% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,09 0,00–0,25 0,00–0,40 | 0,11 0,00–0,30 0,00–0,43 | 0,20 0,00–0,55 0,00–0,83 | 83% |
| Parade portar | 2,58 1,15–4,02 0,76–4,41 | 3,09 1,54–4,65 1,11–5,07 | 5,67 2,68–8,67 1,87–9,48 | 33% 17% 50% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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