La Liga·Etapa 20·
La Liga·Etapa 20·Statistici estimate
Goluri
38%
27%
35%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,281,232,51sigur0,32–2,250,37–2,080,69–4,33mai sigur0,06–2,500,14–2,310,21–4,81
Șuturi pe poartă
45%
14%
41%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,294,178,46sigur2,43–6,152,43–5,914,85–12,06mai sigur1,94–6,641,96–6,383,90–13,02
Total șuturi
48%
44%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,3112,0124,33sigur8,39–16,248,45–15,5816,84–31,81mai sigur7,30–17,337,49–16,5414,79–33,86
Șuturi din careu
43%
47%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție7,858,0415,89sigur4,91–10,795,36–10,7210,27–21,52mai sigur4,08–11,624,62–11,468,70–23,08
Șuturi blocate
52%
15%
33%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,733,096,82sigur1,84–5,611,44–4,753,28–10,36mai sigur1,30–6,150,95–5,242,25–11,39
Cornere
55%
33%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,094,249,33sigur2,88–7,312,24–6,245,12–13,54mai sigur2,31–7,881,70–6,774,01–14,65
Posesie %
71%
25%
gazdeoaspețipredicție55,5045,10sigur48,71–62,2938,31–51,88mai sigur47,04–63,9636,64–53,55
Pase
83%
17%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție499385884sigur432–566318–451750–1018mai sigur414–585301–469715–1053
Precizie pase %
52%
43%
gazdeoaspețipredicție69,0668,12sigur65,03–73,0963,79–72,44mai sigur63,74–74,3962,48–73,75
Faulturi
40%
53%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,8814,7828,66sigur11,04–16,7211,84–17,7322,88–34,44mai sigur10,29–17,4711,09–18,4821,37–35,95
Ofsaiduri
18%
17%
65%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,402,714,11sigur0,24–2,561,62–3,801,86–6,37mai sigur0,00–2,861,33–4,091,27–6,95
Cartonașe galbene
33%
18%
50%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,362,865,23sigur1,31–3,411,74–3,993,05–7,40mai sigur1,05–3,681,44–4,282,49–7,96
Cartonașe roșii
82%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,110,110,21sigur0,00–0,270,00–0,290,00–0,56mai sigur0,00–0,420,00–0,430,00–0,84
Parade portar
39%
17%
43%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,702,825,52sigur1,27–4,141,26–4,372,53–8,51mai sigur0,88–4,530,84–4,801,71–9,32
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,28 0,32–2,25 0,06–2,50 | 1,23 0,37–2,08 0,14–2,31 | 2,51 0,69–4,33 0,21–4,81 | 38% 27% 35% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,29 2,43–6,15 1,94–6,64 | 4,17 2,43–5,91 1,96–6,38 | 8,46 4,85–12,06 3,90–13,02 | 45% 14% 41% |
| Total șuturi | 12,31 8,39–16,24 7,30–17,33 | 12,01 8,45–15,58 7,49–16,54 | 24,33 16,84–31,81 14,79–33,86 | 48% 44% |
| Șuturi din careu | 7,85 4,91–10,79 4,08–11,62 | 8,04 5,36–10,72 4,62–11,46 | 15,89 10,27–21,52 8,70–23,08 | 43% 47% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,73 1,84–5,61 1,30–6,15 | 3,09 1,44–4,75 0,95–5,24 | 6,82 3,28–10,36 2,25–11,39 | 52% 15% 33% |
| Cornere | 5,09 2,88–7,31 2,31–7,88 | 4,24 2,24–6,24 1,70–6,77 | 9,33 5,12–13,54 4,01–14,65 | 55% 33% |
| Posesie % | 55,50 48,71–62,29 47,04–63,96 | 45,10 38,31–51,88 36,64–53,55 | — | 71% 25% |
| Pase | 499 432–566 414–585 | 385 318–451 301–469 | 884 750–1018 715–1053 | 83% 17% |
| Precizie pase % | 69,06 65,03–73,09 63,74–74,39 | 68,12 63,79–72,44 62,48–73,75 | — | 52% 43% |
| Faulturi | 13,88 11,04–16,72 10,29–17,47 | 14,78 11,84–17,73 11,09–18,48 | 28,66 22,88–34,44 21,37–35,95 | 40% 53% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,40 0,24–2,56 0,00–2,86 | 2,71 1,62–3,80 1,33–4,09 | 4,11 1,86–6,37 1,27–6,95 | 18% 17% 65% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 2,36 1,31–3,41 1,05–3,68 | 2,86 1,74–3,99 1,44–4,28 | 5,23 3,05–7,40 2,49–7,96 | 33% 18% 50% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,11 0,00–0,27 0,00–0,42 | 0,11 0,00–0,29 0,00–0,43 | 0,21 0,00–0,56 0,00–0,84 | 82% |
| Parade portar | 2,70 1,27–4,14 0,88–4,53 | 2,82 1,26–4,37 0,84–4,80 | 5,52 2,53–8,51 1,71–9,32 | 39% 17% 43% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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