La Liga·Etapa 9·
La Liga·Etapa 9·Statistici estimate
Goluri
19%
22%
60%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,991,952,94sigur0,02–1,951,10–2,811,11–4,76mai sigur0,00–2,210,87–3,030,64–5,24
Șuturi pe poartă
20%
69%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,475,508,97sigur1,61–5,333,75–7,245,36–12,57mai sigur1,12–5,823,29–7,714,41–13,53
Total șuturi
16%
78%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,9415,4426,37sigur7,01–14,8611,87–19,0018,89–33,86mai sigur5,92–15,9510,91–19,9616,84–35,91
Șuturi din careu
14%
80%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,3910,2316,62sigur3,44–9,337,55–12,9110,99–22,24mai sigur2,61–10,166,81–13,659,43–23,81
Șuturi blocate
20%
69%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,024,907,91sigur1,13–4,903,24–6,554,38–11,45mai sigur0,59–5,442,75–7,043,34–12,48
Cornere
30%
57%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,445,549,98sigur2,22–6,653,54–7,545,76–14,19mai sigur1,65–7,233,01–8,074,66–15,30
Posesie %
18%
78%
gazdeoaspețipredicție43,1757,51sigur36,38–49,9650,73–64,30mai sigur34,71–51,6349,06–65,97
Pase
15%
85%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție407531939sigur340–474465–598805–1072mai sigur322–493447–615769–1108
Precizie pase %
92%
gazdeoaspețipredicție64,8776,41sigur60,84–68,9072,09–80,73mai sigur59,55–70,1970,78–82,04
Faulturi
41%
51%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,7611,3622,12sigur7,93–13,608,41–14,3016,34–27,90mai sigur7,17–14,367,67–15,0514,83–29,41
Ofsaiduri
53%
18%
29%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,782,114,89sigur1,62–3,941,02–3,202,64–7,15mai sigur1,32–4,250,73–3,492,05–7,74
Cartonașe galbene
40%
22%
38%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,871,833,70sigur0,82–2,920,70–2,961,53–5,88mai sigur0,56–3,190,41–3,250,97–6,44
Cartonașe roșii
86%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,080,070,16sigur0,00–0,240,00–0,260,00–0,50mai sigur0,00–0,390,00–0,390,00–0,79
Parade portar
58%
15%
26%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,542,516,04sigur2,10–4,970,95–4,063,05–9,04mai sigur1,71–5,360,53–4,492,24–9,85
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 0,99 0,02–1,95 0,00–2,21 | 1,95 1,10–2,81 0,87–3,03 | 2,94 1,11–4,76 0,64–5,24 | 19% 22% 60% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 3,47 1,61–5,33 1,12–5,82 | 5,50 3,75–7,24 3,29–7,71 | 8,97 5,36–12,57 4,41–13,53 | 20% 69% |
| Total șuturi | 10,94 7,01–14,86 5,92–15,95 | 15,44 11,87–19,00 10,91–19,96 | 26,37 18,89–33,86 16,84–35,91 | 16% 78% |
| Șuturi din careu | 6,39 3,44–9,33 2,61–10,16 | 10,23 7,55–12,91 6,81–13,65 | 16,62 10,99–22,24 9,43–23,81 | 14% 80% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,02 1,13–4,90 0,59–5,44 | 4,90 3,24–6,55 2,75–7,04 | 7,91 4,38–11,45 3,34–12,48 | 20% 69% |
| Cornere | 4,44 2,22–6,65 1,65–7,23 | 5,54 3,54–7,54 3,01–8,07 | 9,98 5,76–14,19 4,66–15,30 | 30% 57% |
| Posesie % | 43,17 36,38–49,96 34,71–51,63 | 57,51 50,73–64,30 49,06–65,97 | — | 18% 78% |
| Pase | 407 340–474 322–493 | 531 465–598 447–615 | 939 805–1072 769–1108 | 15% 85% |
| Precizie pase % | 64,87 60,84–68,90 59,55–70,19 | 76,41 72,09–80,73 70,78–82,04 | — | 92% |
| Faulturi | 10,76 7,93–13,60 7,17–14,36 | 11,36 8,41–14,30 7,67–15,05 | 22,12 16,34–27,90 14,83–29,41 | 41% 51% |
| Ofsaiduri | 2,78 1,62–3,94 1,32–4,25 | 2,11 1,02–3,20 0,73–3,49 | 4,89 2,64–7,15 2,05–7,74 | 53% 18% 29% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,87 0,82–2,92 0,56–3,19 | 1,83 0,70–2,96 0,41–3,25 | 3,70 1,53–5,88 0,97–6,44 | 40% 22% 38% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,08 0,00–0,24 0,00–0,39 | 0,07 0,00–0,26 0,00–0,39 | 0,16 0,00–0,50 0,00–0,79 | 86% |
| Parade portar | 3,54 2,10–4,97 1,71–5,36 | 2,51 0,95–4,06 0,53–4,49 | 6,04 3,05–9,04 2,24–9,85 | 58% 15% 26% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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